Sat 22 Aug1-2Finished

⚽ Championship

West Ham vs Charlton Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for West Ham vs Charlton in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: West Ham 1-2 Charlton

West Ham vs Charlton finished 1-2. Charlton won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

West Ham face Charlton in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a West Ham win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.6-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for West Ham vs Charlton with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Charlton +2 @ 1.46

80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.60 – 1.03 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.2%	7.4%	3.8%	1.3%	0.3%
1	11.5%	11.9%	6.1%	2.1%	0.5%
2	9.2%	9.5%	4.9%	1.7%	0.4%
3	4.9%	5.1%	2.6%	0.9%	0.2%
4	2.0%	2.0%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

West Ham winDrawCharlton win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for West Ham vs Charlton comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Charlton with a +2 start at odds 1.46, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a West Ham win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (52%).

📊 Key numbers

West Ham 44%Draw 42%Charlton 15%

44%42%15%

44%

West Ham Win

51%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

West Ham

West Ham come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 16 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at home to Wrexham. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at home to Fulham.

DMillwall 2-2 West HamChampionship
LWest Ham 2-3 FulhamLeague Cup
WWest Ham 6-0 WrexhamChampionship
WBolton 2-3 West HamChampionship
WWest Ham 3-0 DerbyChampionship

Charlton

Charlton come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Cardiff.

LCardiff 3-1 CharltonChampionship
DCharlton 0-0 PortsmouthChampionship
DCharlton 0-0 QPRChampionship
LStoke City 4-0 CharltonChampionship
DWest Brom 1-1 CharltonChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

West Ham

PabloHealth problems
T. SoucekAnkle Injury

Charlton

J. EdwardsAnkle Injury
C. KelmanShoulder Injury
T. OumaLacking Match Fitness
K. RamsayAnkle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices West Ham at 44% to win and Charlton at 15%, with the draw at 42%. Our model makes a West Ham win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
West Ham Win	44%	68%	@ 1.37
Draw	42%	19%	@ 4.80
Charlton Win	15%	12%	@ 7.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is West Ham or Draw at 1.07 (77% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
West Ham or Draw	77%	88%	@ 1.07
Charlton or Draw	48%	32%	@ 2.95

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	74%	80%	@ 1.17
Under 3.5	73%	63%	@ 1.47
Under 2.5	51%	42%	@ 2.23
Over 2.5	49%	58%	@ 1.61
Over 3.5	27%	37%	@ 2.55
Under 1.5	26%	20%	@ 4.60

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	52%	50%	@ 1.84
BTTS No	48%	50%	@ 1.87

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when West Ham or Charlton is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Charlton +2	80%	–	@ 1.46
West Ham +0.5	77%	85%	1.08
Charlton +1.75	76%	60%	@ 1.58
Charlton +1.5	72%	54%	@ 1.76
West Ham +0.25	70%	86%	1.10
Charlton +1.25	66%	48%	@ 2.00
West Ham 0	64%	85%	1.12
Charlton +1	60%	39%	@ 2.42
West Ham -0.25	58%	76%	1.25
Charlton +0.75	54%	35%	@ 2.73
West Ham -0.5	52%	69%	1.37
Charlton +0.5	48%	31%	@ 3.01
West Ham -0.75	46%	65%	1.47
Charlton +0.25	42%	24%	@ 3.97
West Ham -1	40%	61%	1.56
Charlton 0	36%	15%	@ 6.40
West Ham -1.25	34%	52%	1.86
Charlton -0.25	29%	14%	@ 7.00
West Ham -1.5	28%	46%	2.03
West Ham -1.75	24%	40%	2.40
Charlton -0.5	23%	15%	@ 6.00

📈 How the market moved

West Ham 69%Draw 19%Charlton 12%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for West Ham vs Charlton?

Our model's main pick is Charlton with a +2 start at odds 1.46, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 69%.

Who is the favourite for West Ham vs Charlton?

Our model makes a West Ham win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.0 scoreline for West Ham vs Charlton.

What is the predicted score for West Ham vs Charlton?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.60 for West Ham and 1.03 for Charlton. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do West Ham and Charlton play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.