Fri 11 Sep6-0Finished

⚽ Championship

West Ham vs Wrexham Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for West Ham vs Wrexham in the Championship. Kick-off Friday 11 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: West Ham 6-0 Wrexham

West Ham vs Wrexham finished 6-0. West Ham won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.49, did not land.

West Ham face Wrexham in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Friday 11 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: West Ham have 2 wins from their last 5, while Wrexham have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a West Ham win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.4-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for West Ham vs Wrexham with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Wrexham +2 @ 1.25

87%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.37 – 1.27 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.1%	9.1%	5.8%	2.4%	0.8%
1	9.8%	12.4%	7.9%	3.3%	1.1%
2	6.7%	8.5%	5.4%	2.3%	0.7%
3	3.1%	3.9%	2.5%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.0%	1.3%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

West Ham winDrawWrexham win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for West Ham vs Wrexham comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Wrexham with a +2 start at odds 1.25, with a 87% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a West Ham win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (54%).

📊 Key numbers

West Ham 40%Draw 28%Wrexham 31%

40%28%31%

40%

West Ham Win

51%

Under 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

West Ham

West Ham come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 16 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at home to Wrexham. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at home to Fulham.

DMillwall 2-2 West HamChampionship
LWest Ham 2-3 FulhamLeague Cup
WWest Ham 6-0 WrexhamChampionship
WBolton 2-3 West HamChampionship
WWest Ham 3-0 DerbyChampionship

Wrexham

Wrexham come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Millwall. Their only defeat in that run was 0-6 at West Ham.

WWrexham 2-1 SouthamptonChampionship
LWest Ham 6-0 WrexhamChampionship
DWrexham 1-1 BurnleyChampionship
DSwansea 0-0 WrexhamChampionship
WMillwall 0-3 WrexhamChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

West Ham

A. AreolaCalf Injury
T. SoucekAnkle Injury

Wrexham

L. CacaceCalf Injury
M. CleworthMuscle Injury
O. RathboneAnkle Injury
S. RevanHamstring Injury
G. ThomasonThigh Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices West Ham at 40% to win and Wrexham at 31%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a West Ham win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
West Ham Win	40%	60%	@ 1.56
Wrexham Win	31%	18%	@ 5.30
Draw	28%	23%	@ 4.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is West Ham or Draw at 1.14 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
West Ham or Draw	68%	82%	@ 1.14
Wrexham or Draw	58%	40%	@ 2.33

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	74%	80%	@ 1.16
Under 3.5	73%	63%	@ 1.49
Under 2.5	51%	41%	@ 2.28
Over 2.5	49%	59%	@ 1.58
Over 3.5	27%	37%	@ 2.50
Under 1.5	26%	20%	@ 4.70

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	54%	57%	@ 1.63
BTTS No	46%	43%	@ 2.14

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when West Ham or Wrexham is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Wrexham +2	87%	–	@ 1.25
Wrexham +1.75	84%	68%	@ 1.40
Wrexham +1.5	80%	62%	@ 1.54
Wrexham +1.25	75%	57%	@ 1.69
West Ham +0.75	72%	86%	1.10
Wrexham +1	70%	50%	@ 1.93
West Ham +0.5	68%	83%	1.15
Wrexham +0.75	64%	44%	@ 2.19
West Ham +0.25	61%	80%	1.20
Wrexham +0.5	58%	39%	@ 2.46
West Ham 0	55%	78%	1.22
Wrexham +0.25	52%	31%	@ 3.06
West Ham -0.25	48%	69%	1.39
Wrexham 0	45%	22%	@ 4.36
West Ham -0.5	42%	61%	1.55
Wrexham -0.25	39%	20%	@ 4.67
West Ham -0.75	36%	56%	1.69
Wrexham -0.5	32%	17%	@ 5.50
West Ham -1	30%	50%	1.94
Wrexham -0.75	28%	14%	@ 6.80
West Ham -1.25	25%	43%	2.21
West Ham -1.5	20%	38%	2.48
West Ham -1.75	16%	32%	2.97

📈 How the market moved

West Ham 61%Draw 22%Wrexham 17%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for West Ham vs Wrexham?

Our model's main pick is Wrexham with a +2 start at odds 1.25, with a 87% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 80%.

Who is the favourite for West Ham vs Wrexham?

Our model makes a West Ham win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.3 scoreline for West Ham vs Wrexham.

What is the predicted score for West Ham vs Wrexham?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.37 for West Ham and 1.27 for Wrexham. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do West Ham and Wrexham play?

Kick-off is Friday 11 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.