⚽ Championship
Wolves vs Portsmouth Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Wolves vs Portsmouth in the Championship. Kick-off Tuesday 20 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Result: Wolves 1-1 Portsmouth
Wolves vs Portsmouth finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Wolves face Portsmouth in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Tuesday 20 October 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Wolves have 2 wins from their last 5, while Portsmouth have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Wolves win the most likely result at 47%, projecting a 2.1-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Wolves vs Portsmouth with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Wolves vs Portsmouth comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is Portsmouth with a +1.75 start at odds 1.35, with a 70% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Wolves win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 47%. Goals lean over 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points yes (66%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Wolves come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Burnley. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Bolton.
- DWolves 1-1 PortsmouthChampionship
- WBurnley 1-2 WolvesChampionship
- LWolves 1-3 BoltonChampionship
- LMiddlesbrough 1-0 WolvesChampionship
- WWolves 1-0 West BromChampionship
Portsmouth come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Norwich. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Southampton.
- DWolves 1-1 PortsmouthChampionship
- WNorwich 0-1 PortsmouthChampionship
- WPortsmouth 3-2 Sheffield UtdChampionship
- LSouthampton 1-0 PortsmouthChampionship
- DPortsmouth 2-2 BlackburnChampionship
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 14 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- A. ArmstrongBack Injury
- R. GomesFoot Injury
- R. JimenezKnee Injury
- B. TraoreInjury
- K. AndersonOverload
- B. ArthurBack Injury
- C. BishopNot in squad
- L. Brooke-SmithAnkle Injury
- M. KosznovszkyKnee Injury
- J. MurphyGroin Injury
- C. OgilvieKnee Injury
- C. ShaughnessyInjury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Wolves at 47% to win and Portsmouth at 28%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Wolves win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves Win | 47% | 59% | @ 1.60 |
| Portsmouth Win | 28% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| Draw | 24% | 23% | @ 4.10 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Wolves or Draw at 1.17 (72% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves or Draw | 72% | 82% | @ 1.17 |
| Portsmouth or Draw | 54% | 41% | @ 2.30 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 68% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 76% | @ 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 53% | @ 1.80 |
| Under 3.5 | 54% | 68% | @ 1.40 |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 32% | @ 3.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 32% | 47% | @ 2.00 |
| Under 1.5 | 14% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 51% | @ 1.80 |
| BTTS No | 34% | 49% | @ 1.91 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Wolves or Portsmouth is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth +2 | 84% | 78% | @ 1.23 |
| Portsmouth +1.75 | 80% | 70% | @ 1.35 |
| Portsmouth +1.5 | 77% | 64% | @ 1.49 |
| Wolves +0.75 | 76% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Wolves +0.5 | 72% | 81% | 1.17 |
| Portsmouth +1.25 | 71% | 59% | @ 1.61 |
| Wolves +0.25 | 66% | 79% | 1.20 |
| Portsmouth +1 | 65% | 53% | @ 1.82 |
| Portsmouth +0.75 | 59% | 46% | @ 2.08 |
| Wolves 0 | 59% | 76% | 1.25 |
| Portsmouth +0.5 | 54% | 41% | @ 2.35 |
| Wolves -0.25 | 53% | 67% | 1.42 |
| Portsmouth +0.25 | 47% | 33% | @ 2.85 |
| Wolves -0.5 | 46% | 59% | 1.60 |
| Wolves -0.75 | 41% | 54% | 1.76 |
| Portsmouth 0 | 41% | 24% | @ 4.04 |
| Wolves -1 | 35% | 47% | 2.06 |
| Portsmouth -0.25 | 34% | 21% | @ 4.40 |
| Wolves -1.25 | 29% | 41% | 2.34 |
| Portsmouth -0.5 | 28% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| Portsmouth -0.75 | 24% | 14% | @ 6.80 |
| Wolves -1.5 | 23% | 36% | 2.65 |
| Wolves -1.75 | 20% | 30% | 3.19 |
| Wolves -2 | 16% | 22% | 4.32 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Wolves vs Portsmouth?
Our pick is Portsmouth with a +1.75 start at odds 1.35, with a 70% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.
Who is the favourite for Wolves vs Portsmouth?
Our model makes a Wolves win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 2.1-1.4 scoreline for Wolves vs Portsmouth.
What is the predicted score for Wolves vs Portsmouth?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.10 for Wolves and 1.38 for Portsmouth. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Wolves and Portsmouth play?
Kick-off is Tuesday 20 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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