Sat 29 Aug4-1Finished

⚽ Championship

Wolves vs Stoke City Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Wolves vs Stoke City in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 11:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Wolves 4-1 Stoke City

Wolves vs Stoke City finished 4-1. Wolves won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Wolves face Stoke City in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 11:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Wolves win the most likely result at 75%, projecting a 1.5-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Wolves vs Stoke City with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.42

77%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.52 – 0.93 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	8.0%	3.7%	1.2%	0.3%
1	13.1%	12.2%	5.7%	1.8%	0.4%
2	10.0%	9.3%	4.3%	1.3%	0.3%
3	5.1%	4.7%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.9%	1.8%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Wolves winDrawStoke City win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Wolves vs Stoke City comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.42, with a 77% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Wolves win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 75%. Goals lean under 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points no (53%).

📊 Key numbers

Wolves 75%Draw 17%Stoke City 8%

75%17%

75%

Wolves Win

56%

Under 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Wolves

Wolves come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to West Brom. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Everton.

WWolves 1-0 West BromChampionship
LEverton 1-0 WolvesLeague Cup
WSheffield Utd 0-1 WolvesChampionship
DBirmingham 2-2 WolvesChampionship
LWest Ham 4-2 WolvesChampionship

Stoke City

Stoke City come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Charlton. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WStoke City 2-1 Sheffield UtdChampionship
WWatford 1-2 Stoke CityChampionship
DCardiff 1-1 Stoke CityChampionship
WStoke City 4-0 CharltonChampionship
WStoke City 1-0 NorwichChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Wolves

J. BellegardeHamstring Injury
S. JohnstoneShoulder Injury
L. KrejciLacking Match Fitness
Y. MosqueraAnkle Injury
R. SaidKnee Injury
K. TrippierKnee Injury

Stoke City

A. AmpahHamstring Injury
L. CisseKnock
A. CresswellKnee Injury
J. TchamadeuKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Wolves at 75% to win and Stoke City at 8%, with the draw at 17%. Our model makes a Wolves win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Wolves Win	75%	63%	@ 1.47
Draw	17%	21%	@ 4.40
Stoke City Win	8%	15%	@ 6.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Wolves or Draw at 1.11 (91% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Wolves or Draw	91%	85%	@ 1.11
Stoke City or Draw	24%	37%	@ 2.60

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	77%	66%	@ 1.42
Over 1.5	70%	77%	@ 1.20
Under 2.5	56%	45%	@ 2.10
Over 2.5	44%	55%	@ 1.70
Under 1.5	30%	23%	@ 4.10
Over 3.5	23%	34%	@ 2.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	53%	49%	@ 1.88
BTTS Yes	47%	51%	@ 1.82

📈 How the market moved

Wolves 62%Draw 22%Stoke City 16%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wolves vs Stoke City?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.42, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 66%.

Who is the favourite for Wolves vs Stoke City?

Our model makes a Wolves win the most likely result at 75%. It projects an expected 1.5-0.9 scoreline for Wolves vs Stoke City.

What is the predicted score for Wolves vs Stoke City?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.52 for Wolves and 0.93 for Stoke City. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Wolves and Stoke City play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 11:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.