Tue 8 Sep1-1Finished

⚽ Championship

Wrexham vs Burnley Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Wrexham vs Burnley in the Championship. Kick-off Tuesday 08 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Wrexham 1-1 Burnley

Wrexham vs Burnley finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, Burnley Asian Handicap with a +1.25 start at 1.33, landed.

Wrexham face Burnley in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Tuesday 08 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Wrexham have 1 win from their last 4, while Burnley have no wins from their last 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Burnley win the most likely result at 47%, projecting a 1.3-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Wrexham vs Burnley with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Burnley Asian Handicap +1.25 @ 1.33

86%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.27 – 1.52 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	9.3%	7.1%	3.6%	1.4%
1	7.8%	11.9%	9.0%	4.6%	1.7%
2	5.0%	7.5%	5.7%	2.9%	1.1%
3	2.1%	3.2%	2.4%	1.2%	0.5%
4	0.7%	1.0%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Wrexham winDrawBurnley win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Wrexham vs Burnley comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Burnley Asian Handicap with a +1.25 start at odds 1.33, with a 86% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Burnley win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 47%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (55%).

📊 Key numbers

Wrexham 25%Draw 28%Burnley 47%

25%28%47%

47%

Burnley Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Wrexham

Wrexham come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Millwall. Their only defeat in that run was 0-6 at West Ham.

WWrexham 2-1 SouthamptonChampionship
LWest Ham 6-0 WrexhamChampionship
DWrexham 1-1 BurnleyChampionship
DSwansea 0-0 WrexhamChampionship
WMillwall 0-3 WrexhamChampionship

Burnley

Burnley come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 8. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Swansea.

DBurnley 1-1 DerbyChampionship
LSwansea 3-1 BurnleyChampionship
DWrexham 1-1 BurnleyChampionship
LBurnley 1-2 Bristol CityChampionship
DBurnley 1-1 MiddlesbroughChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 14 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Wrexham

S. RevanHamstring Injury
G. ThomasonThigh Injury
N. BroadheadNot in squad
L. CacaceCalf Injury
B. SheafNot in squad

Burnley

E. AgyeiInjury
J. BanelInjury
A. BarnesInjury
J. BeyerHamstring Injury
J. CullenKnee Injury
L. FosterNot in squad
B. HumphreysNot in squad
Lucas PiresNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Wrexham at 25% to win and Burnley at 47%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Burnley win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Burnley Win	47%	29%	@ 3.25
Draw	28%	26%	@ 3.55
Wrexham Win	25%	45%	@ 2.06

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Burnley or Draw at 1.72 (74% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Burnley or Draw	74%	55%	@ 1.72
Wrexham or Draw	52%	71%	@ 1.32

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	77%	78%	@ 1.19
Under 3.5	69%	66%	@ 1.42
Over 2.5	53%	56%	@ 1.67
Under 2.5	47%	44%	@ 2.10
Over 3.5	31%	34%	@ 2.70
Under 1.5	23%	22%	@ 4.25

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	55%	59%	@ 1.58
BTTS No	45%	41%	@ 2.23

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Wrexham or Burnley is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Burnley +2	94%	86%	@ 1.10
Burnley +1.75	92%	80%	@ 1.18
Burnley +1.5	90%	74%	@ 1.27
Burnley +1.25	86%	72%	@ 1.33
Burnley +1	82%	67%	@ 1.41
Burnley +0.75	78%	60%	@ 1.60
Burnley +0.5	74%	53%	@ 1.77
Wrexham +1.25	69%	86%	1.10
Burnley +0.25	67%	46%	@ 2.08
Wrexham +1	63%	86%	1.11
Burnley 0	61%	37%	@ 2.55
Wrexham +0.75	57%	79%	1.20
Burnley -0.25	55%	31%	@ 3.04
Wrexham +0.5	52%	–	1.31
Wrexham +0.25	45%	69%	1.39
Burnley -0.75	43%	21%	@ 4.40
Wrexham 0	39%	63%	1.51
Burnley -1	37%	14%	@ 6.60
Wrexham -0.25	33%	54%	1.77
Burnley -1.25	31%	14%	@ 7.00
Wrexham -0.5	26%	47%	2.02
Wrexham -0.75	22%	40%	2.37
Wrexham -1	18%	33%	2.92
Wrexham -1.25	14%	28%	3.35
Wrexham -1.5	10%	26%	3.63
Wrexham -1.75	8%	20%	4.65
Wrexham -2	6%	14%	7.00

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wrexham vs Burnley?

Our model's main pick is Burnley Asian Handicap with a +1.25 start at odds 1.33, with a 86% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Wrexham vs Burnley?

Our model makes a Burnley win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.5 scoreline for Wrexham vs Burnley.

What is the predicted score for Wrexham vs Burnley?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.27 for Wrexham and 1.52 for Burnley. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Wrexham and Burnley play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 08 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.