Saburtalo

Tue 11 Aug1-1Finished

Larne

⚽ UEFA Europa League

Saburtalo vs Larne Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Saburtalo vs Larne in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Tuesday 11 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Saburtalo 1-1 Larne

Saburtalo vs Larne finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Saburtalo face Larne in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Tuesday 11 August 2026, 16:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, 2 drawn. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Saburtalo vs Larne with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Larne +1.75 @ 1.29

80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.63 – 1.17 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	7.1%	4.2%	1.6%	0.5%
1	9.9%	11.6%	6.8%	2.6%	0.8%
2	8.1%	9.5%	5.5%	2.2%	0.6%
3	4.4%	5.1%	3.0%	1.2%	0.3%
4	1.8%	2.1%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Saburtalo winDrawLarne win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Saburtalo vs Larne comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Larne with a +1.75 start at odds 1.29, with a 80% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (55%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

53%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Saburtalo and Larne. Wins shown from Saburtalo’s perspective: 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-11	Saburtalo	1 – 1	Larne	D
2026-08-04	Larne	0 – 0	Saburtalo	D

📈 Recent form

Larne

Larne come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at Carrick Rangers. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WCarrick Rangers 2-5 LarnePremiership
WLarne 2-0 Cliftonville FCPremiership
WPortadown 0-2 LarnePremiership
WLarne 1-0 BangorPremiership
WLarne 2-1 GlentoranPremiership

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Saburtalo or Draw at 1.14 (71% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Saburtalo or Draw	71%	81%	@ 1.14
Larne or Draw	53%	46%	@ 2.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	77%	69%	@ 1.32
Under 3.5	69%	74%	@ 1.24
Over 2.5	53%	45%	@ 2.02
Under 2.5	47%	55%	@ 1.68
Over 3.5	31%	26%	@ 3.55
Under 1.5	23%	31%	@ 3.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	55%	47%	@ 1.95
BTTS No	45%	53%	@ 1.73

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Saburtalo or Larne is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Larne +2	83%	80%	1.18
Larne +1.75	80%	73%	1.29
Larne +1.5	76%	67%	1.38
Saburtalo +0.75	76%	–	1.14
Saburtalo +0.5	71%	–	1.20
Larne +1.25	70%	63%	1.50
Saburtalo +0.25	65%	79%	1.20
Larne +1	65%	57%	1.67
Larne +0.75	59%	48%	1.98
Saburtalo 0	59%	76%	1.24
Larne +0.5	53%	43%	2.19
Saburtalo -0.25	53%	66%	1.45
Larne +0.25	47%	34%	2.75
Saburtalo -0.5	47%	57%	1.64
Larne 0	41%	24%	3.92
Saburtalo -0.75	41%	52%	1.84
Saburtalo -1	35%	43%	2.19
Larne -0.25	35%	21%	4.50
Saburtalo -1.25	30%	37%	2.53
Saburtalo -1.5	24%	33%	2.87
Saburtalo -1.75	20%	27%	3.54
Saburtalo -2	17%	20%	4.80

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Saburtalo vs Larne?

Our model's main pick is Larne with a +1.75 start at odds 1.29, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

What is the predicted score for Saburtalo vs Larne?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.63 for Saburtalo and 1.17 for Larne. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Saburtalo and Larne play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 11 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.