Brann⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League
Apollon Limassol vs Brann Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Apollon Limassol vs Brann in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Tuesday 11 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Result: Apollon Limassol 1-2 Brann
Apollon Limassol vs Brann finished 1-2. Brann won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Apollon Limassol face Brann in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Tuesday 11 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Apollon Limassol won 1, Brann won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Apollon Limassol win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.6-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Apollon Limassol vs Brann with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.2% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 12.8% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 10.0% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Apollon Limassol vs Brann comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Apollon Limassol with a +0.75 start at odds 1.28, with a 77% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Apollon Limassol win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points no (52%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Apollon Limassol and Brann. Wins shown from Apollon Limassol’s perspective: Apollon Limassol 1 · Brann 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Apollon Limassol | 1 – 2 | Brann | L |
| 2026-08-05 | Brann | 0 – 1 | Apollon Limassol | W |
📈 Recent form
Apollon Limassol come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Anorthosis. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Brann.
- DApollon Limassol 2-2 Apoel Nicosia1. Division
- DOmonia Nicosia 0-0 Apollon Limassol1. Division
- WApollon Limassol 3-1 Anorthosis1. Division
- DAris 2-2 Apollon Limassol1. Division
- LApollon Limassol 1-2 BrannUEFA Europa Conference
Brann come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Bodo/Glimt. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Start.
- WBrann 2-1 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- WOs 1-2 BrannNM Cupen
- LStart 2-0 BrannEliteserien
- LBrann 1-2 LillestromEliteserien
- DSandefjord 0-0 BrannEliteserien
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Apollon Limassol at 48% to win and Brann at 26%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes an Apollon Limassol win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Limassol Win | 48% | 39% | @ 2.38 |
| Draw | 26% | 29% | @ 3.25 |
| Brann Win | 26% | 33% | @ 2.85 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Apollon Limassol or Draw at 1.36 (73% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Limassol or Draw | 73% | 67% | @ 1.36 |
| Brann or Draw | 52% | 61% | @ 1.50 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 76% | 70% | @ 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 73% | @ 1.26 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 51% | @ 1.81 |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 49% | @ 1.86 |
| Under 1.5 | 29% | 27% | @ 3.35 |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 30% | @ 3.10 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 52% | 45% | @ 2.04 |
| BTTS Yes | 48% | 55% | @ 1.66 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Apollon Limassol or Brann is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Limassol +1.5 | 90% | – | 1.11 |
| Apollon Limassol +1.25 | 85% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Apollon Limassol +1 | 81% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Brann +1.75 | 79% | 84% | 1.12 |
| Apollon Limassol +0.75 | 77% | – | 1.28 |
| Brann +1.5 | 75% | 79% | 1.18 |
| Apollon Limassol +0.5 | 73% | 67% | @ 1.39 |
| Brann +1.25 | 69% | 77% | 1.22 |
| Apollon Limassol +0.25 | 67% | 62% | @ 1.51 |
| Brann +1 | 63% | 74% | 1.26 |
| Apollon Limassol 0 | 61% | 56% | @ 1.68 |
| Brann +0.75 | 58% | 66% | 1.42 |
| Apollon Limassol -0.25 | 54% | 47% | @ 2.00 |
| Brann +0.5 | 52% | 60% | 1.56 |
| Apollon Limassol -0.5 | 48% | 40% | @ 2.32 |
| Brann +0.25 | 46% | 53% | 1.80 |
| Apollon Limassol -0.75 | 42% | 34% | @ 2.78 |
| Brann 0 | 39% | 44% | 2.12 |
| Apollon Limassol -1 | 37% | 26% | @ 3.63 |
| Brann -0.25 | 33% | 38% | 2.45 |
| Apollon Limassol -1.25 | 31% | 23% | @ 4.15 |
| Brann -0.5 | 27% | 33% | 2.80 |
| Apollon Limassol -1.5 | 25% | 21% | @ 4.45 |
| Apollon Limassol -1.75 | 21% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
| Brann -1 | 19% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Brann -1.25 | 15% | 16% | 5.90 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Apollon Limassol vs Brann?
Our model's main pick is Apollon Limassol with a +0.75 start at odds 1.28, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 78%.
Who is the favourite for Apollon Limassol vs Brann?
Our model makes an Apollon Limassol win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.6-0.9 scoreline for Apollon Limassol vs Brann.
What is the predicted score for Apollon Limassol vs Brann?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.56 for Apollon Limassol and 0.94 for Brann. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Apollon Limassol and Brann play?
Kick-off is Tuesday 11 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
