Shelbourne

Thu 13 Aug2-2Finished

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Shelbourne vs Ajax Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Shelbourne vs Ajax in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Shelbourne 2-2 Ajax

Shelbourne vs Ajax finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Shelbourne face Ajax in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Ajax won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Shelbourne win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.5-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Shelbourne vs Ajax with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.87

72%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.51 – 1.16 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.9%	8.0%	4.7%	1.8%	0.5%
1	10.5%	12.1%	7.0%	2.7%	0.8%
2	7.9%	9.2%	5.3%	2.1%	0.6%
3	4.0%	4.6%	2.7%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.5%	1.7%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Shelbourne winDrawAjax win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Shelbourne vs Ajax comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.87, with a 72% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Shelbourne win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean under 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points yes (54%).

📊 Key numbers

Shelbourne 37%Draw 28%Ajax 34%

37%28%34%

37%

Shelbourne Win

50%

Under 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Shelbourne and Ajax. Wins shown from Shelbourne’s perspective: 1 drawn · Ajax 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-13	Shelbourne	2 – 2	Ajax	D
2026-08-06	Ajax	3 – 1	Shelbourne	L

📈 Recent form

Shelbourne

Shelbourne come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at Dundalk. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Drogheda United.

WDundalk 2-3 ShelbournePremier Division
LShelbourne 1-2 Drogheda UnitedPremier Division
LShelbourne 0-1 Derry CityPremier Division
DShamrock Rovers 0-0 ShelbournePremier Division
DGalway United 1-1 ShelbournePremier Division

Ajax

Ajax come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 17 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Willem II. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at home to PSV Eindhoven.

DAjax 2-2 ExcelsiorEredivisie
WAjax 5-1 Willem IIEredivisie
WFortuna Sittard 1-5 AjaxEredivisie
LAjax 1-3 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
WTelstar 0-4 AjaxEredivisie

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Shelbourne at 37% to win and Ajax at 34%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Shelbourne win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Shelbourne Win	37%	6%	@ 15.00
Ajax Win	34%	81%	@ 1.14
Draw	28%	12%	@ 7.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Shelbourne or Draw at 3.90 (65% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Shelbourne or Draw	65%	19%	@ 3.90
Ajax or Draw	62%	94%	@ 1.01

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	86%	@ 1.08
Under 3.5	72%	51%	@ 1.87
Under 2.5	50%	30%	@ 3.05
Over 2.5	50%	70%	@ 1.33
Over 3.5	28%	49%	@ 1.92
Under 1.5	25%	14%	@ 6.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	54%	46%	@ 1.98
BTTS No	46%	54%	@ 1.71

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shelbourne vs Ajax?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.87, with a 72% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 51%.

Who is the favourite for Shelbourne vs Ajax?

Our model makes a Shelbourne win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.2 scoreline for Shelbourne vs Ajax.

What is the predicted score for Shelbourne vs Ajax?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.51 for Shelbourne and 1.16 for Ajax. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Shelbourne and Ajax play?

Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.