HNK Hajduk Split

Thu 13 Aug4-0Finished

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: HNK Hajduk Split 4-0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius

HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius finished 4-0. HNK Hajduk Split won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

HNK Hajduk Split face FK Zalgiris Vilnius in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, HNK Hajduk Split won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a HNK Hajduk Split win the most likely result at 57%, projecting a 3.5-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.41

84%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 3.55 – 1.10 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.0%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%
1	3.4%	3.7%	2.1%	0.8%	0.2%
2	6.0%	6.6%	3.6%	1.3%	0.4%
3	7.1%	7.8%	4.3%	1.6%	0.4%
4	6.3%	7.0%	3.8%	1.4%	0.4%

Projected score: 3-1

HNK Hajduk Split winDrawFK Zalgiris Vilnius win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.41, with a 84% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a HNK Hajduk Split win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 57%. Goals lean over 2.5 (84%), both teams to score points yes (57%).

📊 Key numbers

HNK Hajduk Split 57%Draw 23%FK Zalgiris Vilnius 20%

57%23%20%

57%

HNK Hajduk Split Win

84%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between HNK Hajduk Split and FK Zalgiris Vilnius. Wins shown from HNK Hajduk Split’s perspective: HNK Hajduk Split 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-13	HNK Hajduk Split	4 – 0	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	W
2026-08-06	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	2 – 5	HNK Hajduk Split	W

📈 Recent form

HNK Hajduk Split

HNK Hajduk Split come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Rudes. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WVardarac 0-2 HNK Hajduk SplitCup
WRudes 0-4 HNK Hajduk SplitHNL
DRaków Częstochowa 2-2 HNK Hajduk SplitUEFA Europa Conference
WHNK Hajduk Split 4-0 NK OsijekHNL
DHNK Hajduk Split 2-2 Raków CzęstochowaUEFA Europa Conference

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

FK Zalgiris Vilnius come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Kauno Žalgiris. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at TransINVEST Vilnius.

LTransINVEST Vilnius 3-0 FK Zalgiris VilniusA Lyga
WFK Zalgiris Vilnius 3-2 Kauno ŽalgirisA Lyga
DSuduva Marijampole 0-0 FK Zalgiris VilniusA Lyga
WFK Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 ŠiauliaiA Lyga
LPanevėžys 2-0 FK Zalgiris VilniusA Lyga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices HNK Hajduk Split at 57% to win and FK Zalgiris Vilnius at 20%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a HNK Hajduk Split win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
HNK Hajduk Split Win	57%	74%	@ 1.26
Draw	23%	16%	@ 5.75
FK Zalgiris Vilnius Win	20%	10%	@ 9.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is HNK Hajduk Split or Draw at 1.04 (80% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
HNK Hajduk Split or Draw	80%	90%	@ 1.04
FK Zalgiris Vilnius or Draw	44%	26%	@ 3.35

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 3.5-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 84% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	94%	82%	@ 1.11
Over 2.5	84%	65%	@ 1.41
Over 3.5	68%	44%	@ 2.07
Under 3.5	32%	56%	@ 1.65
Under 2.5	16%	35%	@ 2.60
Under 1.5	6%	18%	@ 5.20

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	57%	52%	@ 1.77
BTTS No	43%	48%	@ 1.90

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.41, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 65%.

Who is the favourite for HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

Our model makes a HNK Hajduk Split win the most likely result at 57%. It projects an expected 3.5-1.1 scoreline for HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius.

What is the predicted score for HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 3-1, based on expected goals of 3.55 for HNK Hajduk Split and 1.10 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do HNK Hajduk Split and FK Zalgiris Vilnius play?

Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.