⚽ Major League Soccer
Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Wednesday 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Result: Orlando City SC 1-2 Chicago Fire
Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire finished 1-2. Chicago Fire won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Orlando City SC Asian Handicap with a +1 start at 1.34, was void (stake returned).
Orlando City SC face Chicago Fire in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Wednesday 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Orlando City SC won 3, Chicago Fire won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Orlando City SC win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.8-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| 2 | 4.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| 3 | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Orlando City SC Asian Handicap with a +1 start at odds 1.34, with a 81% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Orlando City SC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (69%), both teams to score points yes (65%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Orlando City SC and Chicago Fire. Wins shown from Orlando City SC’s perspective: Orlando City SC 3 · 1 drawn · Chicago Fire 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Orlando City SC | 1 – 2 | Chicago Fire | L |
| 2024-06-22 | Orlando City SC | 4 – 2 | Chicago Fire | W |
| 2024-05-30 | Chicago Fire | 1 – 1 | Orlando City SC | D |
| 2023-08-21 | Chicago Fire | 1 – 3 | Orlando City SC | W |
| 2023-07-01 | Orlando City SC | 3 – 1 | Chicago Fire | W |
📈 Recent form
Orlando City SC come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Toronto FC. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-4 at New England Revolution.
- LNew England Revolution 4-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- LColumbus Crew 2-1 Orlando City SCUS Open Cup
- WOrlando City SC 3-0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
- WAtlanta United FC 2-3 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- WOrlando City SC 1-0 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
Chicago Fire come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 12. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Nashville SC.
- LNashville SC 3-0 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- LChicago Fire 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- DChicago Fire 1-1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- DToronto FC 4-4 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- DSeattle Sounders 2-2 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- N. MillerKnee Injury
- M. OjedaThigh Injury
- E. AtuestaThigh Injury
- B. OjedaFoot Injury
- B. RheinMuscle Injury
- A. FrancoKnee Injury
- M. MbokaziLower-Body Injury
- C. MuellerNot in squad
- S. OregelLower-Body Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Orlando City SC at 48% to win and Chicago Fire at 28%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes an Orlando City SC win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC Win | 48% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
| Chicago Fire Win | 28% | 42% | @ 2.25 |
| Draw | 25% | 24% | @ 3.85 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Orlando City SC or Draw at 1.61 (73% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC or Draw | 73% | 58% | @ 1.61 |
| Chicago Fire or Draw | 53% | 66% | @ 1.43 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 69% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 86% | @ 1.09 |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 69% | @ 1.37 |
| Under 3.5 | 53% | 52% | @ 1.81 |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 48% | @ 1.94 |
| Under 2.5 | 31% | 31% | @ 3.00 |
| Under 1.5 | 13% | 14% | @ 6.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 70% | @ 1.32 |
| BTTS No | 35% | 30% | @ 3.05 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Orlando City SC or Chicago Fire is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC +2 | 93% | 86% | @ 1.10 |
| Orlando City SC +1.75 | 91% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Orlando City SC +1.5 | 90% | 76% | @ 1.23 |
| Orlando City SC +1.25 | 85% | 74% | @ 1.28 |
| Orlando City SC +1 | 81% | 71% | @ 1.34 |
| Chicago Fire +1.75 | 80% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Orlando City SC +0.75 | 77% | 64% | @ 1.50 |
| Chicago Fire +1.5 | 76% | – | 1.16 |
| Orlando City SC +0.5 | 73% | 57% | @ 1.64 |
| Chicago Fire +1.25 | 70% | 79% | 1.19 |
| Orlando City SC +0.25 | 66% | 52% | @ 1.83 |
| Chicago Fire +1 | 64% | 77% | 1.22 |
| Orlando City SC 0 | 60% | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| Chicago Fire +0.75 | 58% | 72% | 1.33 |
| Orlando City SC -0.25 | 54% | 39% | @ 2.44 |
| Chicago Fire +0.5 | 53% | 65% | 1.45 |
| Orlando City SC -0.5 | 47% | 35% | @ 2.68 |
| Chicago Fire +0.25 | 46% | 61% | 1.56 |
| Orlando City SC -0.75 | 42% | 28% | @ 3.36 |
| Chicago Fire 0 | 40% | 55% | 1.73 |
| Orlando City SC -1 | 36% | 23% | @ 4.15 |
| Chicago Fire -0.25 | 34% | 48% | 2.01 |
| Orlando City SC -1.25 | 30% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
| Chicago Fire -0.5 | 27% | 43% | 2.21 |
| Chicago Fire -0.75 | 23% | 36% | 2.62 |
| Orlando City SC -1.75 | 20% | 15% | @ 6.40 |
| Chicago Fire -1 | 19% | 29% | 3.29 |
| Chicago Fire -1.25 | 15% | 26% | 3.60 |
| Chicago Fire -1.5 | 10% | 24% | 3.80 |
| Chicago Fire -1.75 | 9% | 19% | 5.00 |
| Chicago Fire -2 | 7% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire?
Our model's main pick is Orlando City SC Asian Handicap with a +1 start at odds 1.34, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire?
Our model makes an Orlando City SC win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.8 scoreline for Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire.
What is the predicted score for Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.78 for Orlando City SC and 1.76 for Chicago Fire. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Orlando City SC and Chicago Fire play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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