vs
⚽ Major League Soccer
DC United vs New England Revolution Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for DC United vs New England Revolution in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Wednesday 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
DC United face New England Revolution in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Wednesday 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, DC United won 2, New England Revolution won 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a DC United win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.8-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for DC United vs New England Revolution with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| 2 | 4.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| 3 | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for DC United vs New England Revolution is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.65, the selection our model is most confident in at 70%. On the match result, the model rates a DC United win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 (70%), both teams to score points yes (69%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between DC United and New England Revolution. Wins shown from DC United’s perspective: DC United 2 · New England Revolution 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | New England Revolution | 1 – 0 | DC United | L |
| 2024-10-05 | New England Revolution | 1 – 2 | DC United | W |
| 2024-02-25 | DC United | 3 – 1 | New England Revolution | W |
| 2023-07-15 | New England Revolution | 4 – 0 | DC United | L |
| 2023-03-25 | DC United | 1 – 2 | New England Revolution | L |
📈 Recent form
DC United come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 9. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Toronto FC. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- DCF Montreal 1-1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
- DDC United 2-2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- WDC United 2-1 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
- DDC United 4-4 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
- DDC United 1-1 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
New England Revolution come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Atlanta United FC. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Toronto FC.
- LToronto FC 2-1 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- LNew England Revolution 0-2 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- DCF Montreal 2-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- WNew England Revolution 4-1 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
- DNew England Revolution 0-0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- G. SegalLeg Injury
- K. RowlesThigh Injury
- I. FeingoldLower-Body Injury
- L. LangoniLower-Body Injury
- L. CampanaHamstring Injury
- A. FarrellLower-Body Injury
- P. MillerInjury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices DC United at 38% to win and New England Revolution at 35%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a DC United win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution Win | 35% | @ 3.35 | +18.7% |
| Draw | 26% | @ 3.65 | -4.8% |
| DC United Win | 38% | @ 2.00 | -23.0% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is New England Revolution or Draw at 1.75 (62% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution or Draw | 62% | @ 1.75 | +8.0% |
| DC United or Draw | 65% | @ 1.30 | -15.9% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 70% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 48% | @ 2.62 | +27.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | @ 1.65 | +15.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 87% | @ 1.22 | +6.7% |
| Under 3.5 | 52% | @ 1.48 | -23.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | @ 2.20 | -33.4% |
| Under 1.5 | 13% | @ 4.20 | -47.2% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 69%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 69% | @ 1.55 | +7.2% |
| BTTS No | 31% | @ 2.30 | -29.1% |
🔬 How our AI model reached this pick
| Model | Match result | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Poisson | Home | 46% |
| Dixon-Coles | Away | 47% |
| GradientBoosting | Home | 38% |
Two of our three models agree; the third sees it differently. A reasonable but not maximal signal.
Expected goals: 1.33 for the home side, 1.26 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%).
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for DC United vs New England Revolution?
Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.65, with 70% model confidence.
Who is the favourite for DC United vs New England Revolution?
Our model makes a DC United win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.8 scoreline for DC United vs New England Revolution.
What is the predicted score for DC United vs New England Revolution?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.79 for DC United and 1.81 for New England Revolution. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do DC United and New England Revolution play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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AnnecyAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.