FC Nordsjaelland

Thu 20 Aug1-0Finished

FC St. Gallen

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Nordsjaelland vs FC St. Gallen Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Nordsjaelland vs FC St. Gallen in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 20 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 FC St. Gallen

FC Nordsjaelland vs FC St. Gallen finished 1-0. FC Nordsjaelland won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

FC Nordsjaelland face FC St. Gallen in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 20 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, FC Nordsjaelland won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely result at 62%, projecting a 4.3-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Nordsjaelland vs FC St. Gallen with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.41

88%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 4.32 – 0.91 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	0.5%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
1	2.3%	2.1%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%
2	5.0%	4.5%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%
3	7.2%	6.5%	3.0%	0.9%	0.2%
4	7.8%	7.1%	3.2%	1.0%	0.2%

Projected score: 4-0

FC Nordsjaelland winDrawFC St. Gallen win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC Nordsjaelland vs FC St. Gallen comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.41, with a 88% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 62%. Goals lean over 2.5 (88%), both teams to score points yes (59%).

📊 Key numbers

FC Nordsjaelland 62%Draw 21%FC St. Gallen 17%

62%21%17%

62%

FC Nordsjaelland Win

88%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between FC Nordsjaelland and FC St. Gallen. Wins shown from FC Nordsjaelland’s perspective: FC Nordsjaelland 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-27	FC St. Gallen	2 – 3	FC Nordsjaelland	W
2026-08-20	FC Nordsjaelland	1 – 0	FC St. Gallen	W

📈 Recent form

FC Nordsjaelland

FC Nordsjaelland come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Vatanspor. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Viborg.

LViborg 4-1 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
WVatanspor 0-3 FC NordsjaellandDBU Pokalen
WFC Nordsjaelland 2-0 AarhusSuperliga
DFC Midtjylland 2-2 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
LFC Copenhagen 2-0 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga

FC St. Gallen

FC St. Gallen come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at FC Basel 1893. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at FC Lugano.

WFC Basel 1893 1-3 FC St. GallenSuper League
LFC Lugano 4-1 FC St. GallenSuper League
LFC St. Gallen 0-3 FC SionSuper League
WServette FC 0-2 FC St. GallenSuper League
LGrasshoppers 2-0 FC St. GallenSuper League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Nordsjaelland at 62% to win and FC St. Gallen at 17%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes a FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Nordsjaelland Win	62%	54%	@ 1.70
Draw	21%	22%	@ 4.10
FC St. Gallen Win	17%	23%	@ 3.95

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Nordsjaelland or Draw at 1.20 (83% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Nordsjaelland or Draw	83%	77%	@ 1.20
FC St. Gallen or Draw	39%	46%	@ 1.98

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 4.3-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 88% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	95%	82%	@ 1.12
Over 2.5	88%	65%	@ 1.41
Over 3.5	75%	44%	@ 2.06
Under 3.5	25%	56%	@ 1.65
Under 2.5	12%	35%	@ 2.63
Under 1.5	5%	18%	@ 5.10

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	59%	64%	@ 1.43
BTTS No	41%	36%	@ 2.55

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when FC Nordsjaelland or FC St. Gallen is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Nordsjaelland +1.5	94%	85%	@ 1.12
FC Nordsjaelland +1.25	92%	84%	@ 1.12
FC Nordsjaelland +1	89%	86%	1.10
FC Nordsjaelland +0.75	86%	80%	@ 1.18
FC Nordsjaelland +0.5	83%	75%	@ 1.24
FC Nordsjaelland +0.25	78%	73%	@ 1.30
FC St. Gallen +2	73%	76%	1.23
FC Nordsjaelland 0	72%	–	@ 1.42
FC St. Gallen +1.75	68%	69%	1.37
FC Nordsjaelland -0.25	67%	64%	1.48
FC St. Gallen +1.5	64%	64%	1.46
FC Nordsjaelland -0.5	61%	57%	1.64
FC St. Gallen +1.25	57%	59%	1.60
FC Nordsjaelland -0.75	55%	54%	1.77
FC St. Gallen +1	51%	53%	1.79
FC Nordsjaelland -1	49%	47%	2.01
FC St. Gallen +0.75	45%	46%	2.04
FC Nordsjaelland -1.25	43%	41%	2.31
FC St. Gallen +0.5	39%	43%	2.19
FC Nordsjaelland -1.5	36%	36%	2.59
FC St. Gallen +0.25	33%	36%	2.60
FC Nordsjaelland -1.75	32%	31%	3.02
FC Nordsjaelland -2	27%	24%	@ 4.00
FC St. Gallen -0.25	22%	27%	3.45
FC St. Gallen -0.5	17%	25%	3.75
FC St. Gallen -0.75	14%	20%	4.65
FC St. Gallen -1	11%	14%	7.00
FC St. Gallen -1.25	8%	16%	6.00
FC St. Gallen -1.5	6%	15%	6.40

📈 How the market moved

FC Nordsjaelland 55%Draw 22%FC St. Gallen 23%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Nordsjaelland vs FC St. Gallen?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.41, with a 88% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 65%.

Who is the favourite for FC Nordsjaelland vs FC St. Gallen?

Our model makes a FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely result at 62%. It projects an expected 4.3-0.9 scoreline for FC Nordsjaelland vs FC St. Gallen.

What is the predicted score for FC Nordsjaelland vs FC St. Gallen?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 4-0, based on expected goals of 4.32 for FC Nordsjaelland and 0.91 for FC St. Gallen. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Nordsjaelland and FC St. Gallen play?

Kick-off is Thursday 20 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.