vs
⚽ UEFA Europa League
Universitatea Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Universitatea Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 20 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Result: Universitatea Craiova 1-1 Ararat-Armenia
Universitatea Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Ararat-Armenia Asian Handicap with a +2 start at 1.34, landed.
Universitatea Craiova face Ararat-Armenia in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 20 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 63%, projecting a 1.7-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Universitatea Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 8.1% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Universitatea Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Ararat-Armenia Asian Handicap with a +2 start at odds 1.34, the selection our model is most confident in at 89%. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 63%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (56%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Ararat-Armenia to win or draw at odds 2.71 (+72.7% model value).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Universitatea Craiova come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to KuPS. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Arges Pitesti.
- DUniversitatea Craiova 1-1 Ararat-ArmeniaUEFA Europa League
- DOţelul 1-1 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
- WUniversitatea Craiova 2-1 KuPSUEFA Europa League
- LUniversitatea Craiova 0-1 Arges PitestiLiga I
- DKuPS 1-1 Universitatea CraiovaUEFA Europa League
Ararat-Armenia come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to FC Urartu. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Van.
- DUniversitatea Craiova 1-1 Ararat-ArmeniaUEFA Europa League
- LVan 2-0 Ararat-ArmeniaPremier League
- LCelje 2-0 Ararat-ArmeniaUEFA Champions League
- WArarat-Armenia 2-1 FC UrartuPremier League
- WArarat-Armenia 2-1 CeljeUEFA Champions League
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Universitatea Craiova at 18% to win and Ararat-Armenia at 19%, with the draw at 63%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 63% | @ 4.10 | +156.6% |
| Ararat-Armenia Win | 19% | @ 5.75 | +9.9% |
| Universitatea Craiova Win | 18% | @ 1.53 | -72.0% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Ararat-Armenia or Draw at 2.40 (64% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ararat-Armenia or Draw | 64% | @ 2.40 | +52.8% |
| Universitatea Craiova or Draw | 63% | @ 1.13 | -29.0% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 | 46% | @ 2.25 | +4.0% |
| Under 3.5 | 68% | @ 1.50 | +2.8% |
| Under 1.5 | 23% | @ 4.33 | -2.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | @ 1.20 | -7.1% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | @ 1.62 | -12.9% |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | @ 2.55 | -19.7% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 56% | @ 1.65 | -7.8% |
| BTTS No | 44% | @ 2.05 | -9.5% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Universitatea Craiova or Ararat-Armenia is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ararat-Armenia 0 | 50% | @ 5.90 | +197.5% |
| Ararat-Armenia -0.25 | 44% | @ 6.40 | +180.4% |
| Ararat-Armenia -0.75 | 32% | @ 7.00 | +124.4% |
| Ararat-Armenia +0.25 | 57% | @ 3.60 | +105.1% |
| Ararat-Armenia +0.5 | 64% | @ 2.71 | +72.7% |
| Ararat-Armenia +0.75 | 69% | @ 2.48 | +70.5% |
| Ararat-Armenia +1 | 74% | @ 2.19 | +61.4% |
| Ararat-Armenia +1.25 | 79% | @ 1.89 | +49.1% |
| Ararat-Armenia +1.5 | 84% | @ 1.65 | +38.8% |
| Ararat-Armenia +1.75 | 87% | @ 1.51 | +31.2% |
| Ararat-Armenia +2 | 89% | @ 1.34 | +19.6% |
| Universitatea Craiova +0.75 | 68% | 1.10 | -25.3% |
| Universitatea Craiova +0.5 | 63% | 1.10 | -30.6% |
| Universitatea Craiova +0.25 | 56% | 1.12 | -37.1% |
| Universitatea Craiova 0 | 50% | 1.13 | -44.0% |
| Universitatea Craiova -0.25 | 43% | 1.28 | -45.0% |
| Universitatea Craiova -0.5 | 36% | 1.42 | -48.3% |
| Universitatea Craiova -0.75 | 31% | 1.52 | -52.3% |
| Universitatea Craiova -1 | 26% | 1.66 | -56.6% |
| Universitatea Craiova -1.25 | 21% | 1.93 | -59.3% |
| Universitatea Craiova -2 | 11% | 3.19 | -65.6% |
| Universitatea Craiova -1.5 | 16% | 2.15 | -65.6% |
| Universitatea Craiova -1.75 | 13% | 2.50 | -66.6% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Universitatea Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia?
Our main pick is Ararat-Armenia Asian Handicap with a +2 start at odds 1.34, with 89% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Ararat-Armenia to win or draw at 2.71 (+72.7% value).
Who is the favourite for Universitatea Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia?
Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 63%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline for Universitatea Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia.
What is the predicted score for Universitatea Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.66 for Universitatea Craiova and 1.17 for Ararat-Armenia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Universitatea Craiova and Ararat-Armenia play?
Kick-off is Thursday 20 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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