OFIOFI
Thu 20 Aug3-0Finished
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia

โšฝ UEFA Europa League

OFI vs CSKA Sofia Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for OFI vs CSKA Sofia in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Result: OFI 3-0 CSKA Sofia

OFI vs CSKA Sofia finished 3-0. OFI won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

OFI face CSKA Sofia in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, OFI won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 64%, projecting a 0.7-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for OFI vs CSKA Sofia with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Best Bet

Model pick
Under 3.5 @ 1.29
81%our model

๐ŸŽฏ Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.73 – 1.52 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 10.5% 16.0% 12.2% 6.2% 2.3%
1 7.7% 11.7% 8.9% 4.5% 1.7%
2 2.8% 4.3% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6%
3 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Projected score: 0-1
OFI winDrawCSKA Sofia win

๐Ÿง  Model summary

Our prediction for OFI vs CSKA Sofia comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.29, with a 81% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 64%. Goals lean under 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points no (60%).

๐Ÿ“Š Key numbers

OFI 10%Draw 64%CSKA Sofia 27%
10%64%27%
64%
Draw
61%
Under 2.5 goals
60%
BTTS no

๐Ÿ” Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between OFI and CSKA Sofia. Wins shown from OFIโ€™s perspective: OFI 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-08-27 CSKA Sofia 0 – 2 OFI W
2026-08-20 OFI 3 – 0 CSKA Sofia W

๐Ÿ“ˆ Recent form

OFI

OFI come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Nestos Chrisoupolis. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • DOFI 2-2 Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
  • WOFI 2-0 HoffenheimUEFA Europa League
  • WOlympiakos Piraeus 0-1 OFISuper League 1
  • WOFI 3-0 Nestos ChrisoupolisCup
  • WOFI 2-0 KifisiaSuper League 1
CSKA Sofia

CSKA Sofia come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Arda Kardzhali. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at home to OFI.

  • WCSKA Sofia 4-1 Arda KardzhaliFirst League
  • WLevski Sofia 2-4 CSKA SofiaSuper Cup
  • DSpartak Varna 1-1 CSKA SofiaFirst League
  • WCSKA Sofia 3-1 Cherno More VarnaFirst League
  • LCSKA Sofia 0-2 OFIUEFA Europa League

โšฝ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices OFI at 10% to win and CSKA Sofia at 27%, with the draw at 64%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Draw 64% 29% @ 3.30
CSKA Sofia Win 27% 36% @ 2.63
OFI Win 10% 36% @ 2.65

๐Ÿ”€ Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is CSKA Sofia or Draw at 1.42 (71% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
CSKA Sofia or Draw 71% 64% @ 1.42
OFI or Draw 54% 64% @ 1.43

๐Ÿ“ˆ Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.7-1.5 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 61% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 81% 71% @ 1.29
Over 1.5 66% 73% @ 1.27
Under 2.5 61% 51% @ 1.80
Over 2.5 39% 49% @ 1.87
Under 1.5 34% 27% @ 3.35
Over 3.5 19% 29% @ 3.20

๐Ÿฅ… Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 60%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS No 60% 45% @ 2.02
BTTS Yes 40% 55% @ 1.67

โš–๏ธ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when OFI or CSKA Sofia is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
CSKA Sofia +1.75 91% 86% 1.10
CSKA Sofia +1.5 89% – @ 1.14
CSKA Sofia +1.25 84% – 1.18
OFI +1.75 81% 86% 1.10
CSKA Sofia +1 80% 79% 1.20
OFI +1.5 78% – 1.14
CSKA Sofia +0.75 76% 71% @ 1.33
OFI +1.25 72% 80% 1.18
CSKA Sofia +0.5 71% 64% @ 1.47
OFI +1 66% – 1.20
CSKA Sofia +0.25 65% 58% @ 1.62
OFI +0.75 60% 71% 1.33
CSKA Sofia 0 58% 50% @ 1.91
OFI +0.5 54% 64% 1.47
CSKA Sofia -0.25 52% 42% @ 2.28
OFI +0.25 48% 58% 1.62
CSKA Sofia -0.5 46% 36% @ 2.57
OFI 0 42% 50% 1.89
CSKA Sofia -0.75 40% 29% @ 3.25
OFI -0.25 35% 42% 2.27
OFI -0.5 29% 36% 2.59
CSKA Sofia -1.25 28% 20% @ 4.65
OFI -0.75 24% 29% 3.27
OFI -1 20% 21% 4.54
CSKA Sofia -1.75 19% 14% @ 7.00
OFI -1.75 9% 14% 6.80

๐Ÿ“ˆ How the market moved

25%34%43%08/1508/1608/1708/1808/1908/20

OFI 35%Draw 29%CSKA Sofia 36%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

โ“ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for OFI vs CSKA Sofia?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.29, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.

Who is the favourite for OFI vs CSKA Sofia?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 64%. It projects an expected 0.7-1.5 scoreline for OFI vs CSKA Sofia.

What is the predicted score for OFI vs CSKA Sofia?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.73 for OFI and 1.52 for CSKA Sofia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do OFI and CSKA Sofia play?

Kick-off is Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.