⚽ UEFA Europa League

OFI vs CSKA Sofia Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for OFI vs CSKA Sofia in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

OFI face CSKA Sofia in the UEFA Europa League, kicking off Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 64%, projecting a 0.7-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for OFI vs CSKA Sofia with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.38

81%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.73 – 1.52 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.5%	16.0%	12.2%	6.2%	2.3%
1	7.7%	11.7%	8.9%	4.5%	1.7%
2	2.8%	4.3%	3.2%	1.6%	0.6%
3	0.7%	1.0%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-1

OFI winDrawCSKA Sofia win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for OFI vs CSKA Sofia is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.38, the selection our model is most confident in at 81%. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 64%. Goals lean under 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points no (60%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is both teams not to score at odds 2.15 (+27.9% model value).

Best value

BTTS No at odds 2.15, 60% model probability, +27.9% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

OFI 10%Draw 64%CSKA Sofia 27%

10%64%27%

64%

Draw

61%

Under 2.5 goals

60%

BTTS no

+27.9%

Best value: BTTS No

📈 Recent form

OFI

OFI come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Volos NFC. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at NAC Breda.

DAEK Athens FC 2-2 OFISuper Cup
LNAC Breda 3-2 OFIFriendlies Clubs
LGO Ahead Eagles 4-0 OFIFriendlies Clubs
WOFI 3-1 Volos NFCSuper League 1
LLevadiakos 3-2 OFISuper League 1

CSKA Sofia

CSKA Sofia come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Botev Vratsa. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at home to Maccabi Tel Aviv.

WCSKA Sofia 5-0 Botev VratsaFirst League
LCSKA Sofia 1-3 Maccabi Tel AvivUEFA Europa League
WSeptemvri Sofia 0-3 CSKA SofiaFirst League
WMaccabi Tel Aviv 0-3 CSKA SofiaUEFA Europa League
WCSKA Sofia 2-1 Dunav RuseFirst League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices OFI at 10% to win and CSKA Sofia at 27%, with the draw at 64%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	64%	@ 3.10	+97.0%
CSKA Sofia Win	27%	@ 2.98	-20.7%
OFI Win	10%	@ 2.42	-76.2%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is CSKA Sofia or Draw at 1.55 (71% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
CSKA Sofia or Draw	71%	@ 1.55	+10.5%
OFI or Draw	54%	@ 1.38	-24.8%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.7-1.5 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 61% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	34%	@ 3.60	+23.3%
Under 2.5	61%	@ 1.93	+17.6%
Under 3.5	81%	@ 1.38	+11.7%
Over 1.5	66%	@ 1.28	-15.8%
Over 2.5	39%	@ 1.85	-27.7%
Over 3.5	19%	@ 3.00	-42.8%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 60%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	60%	@ 2.15	+27.9%
BTTS Yes	40%	@ 1.60	-35.2%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Away	56%
GradientBoosting	Draw	76%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.13 for the home side, 1.49 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (16%), 0-2 (12%), 1-1 (12%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for OFI vs CSKA Sofia?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.38, with 81% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is both teams not to score at 2.15 (+27.9% value).

Who is the favourite for OFI vs CSKA Sofia?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 64%. It projects an expected 0.7-1.5 scoreline for OFI vs CSKA Sofia.

What is the predicted score for OFI vs CSKA Sofia?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.73 for OFI and 1.52 for CSKA Sofia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do OFI and CSKA Sofia play?

Kick-off is Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.