Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Thu 20 Aug0-0Finished

Lillestrom

⚽ UEFA Europa League

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 20 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0-0 Lillestrom

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë face Lillestrom in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 20 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 64%, projecting a 1.7-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Egnatia Rrogozhinë +1.25 @ 1.30

78%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.66 – 1.17 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.9%	6.9%	4.0%	1.6%	0.5%
1	9.8%	11.5%	6.7%	2.6%	0.8%
2	8.1%	9.5%	5.6%	2.2%	0.6%
3	4.5%	5.3%	3.1%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.9%	2.2%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Egnatia Rrogozhinë winDrawLillestrom win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Egnatia Rrogozhinë with a +1.25 start at odds 1.30, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 64%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Egnatia Rrogozhinë 18%Draw 64%Lillestrom 18%

18%64%18%

64%

Draw

54%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Lillestrom. Wins shown from Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s perspective: 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-27	Lillestrom	1 – 1	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	D
2026-08-20	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0 – 0	Lillestrom	D

📈 Recent form

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Egnatia Rrogozhinë come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Vora. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at AF Elbasani.

WEgnatia Rrogozhinë 2-1 PartizaniSuperliga
LAF Elbasani 2-1 Egnatia RrogozhinëSuperliga
WEgnatia Rrogozhinë 2-1 Skenderbeu KorceSuperliga
WVora 1-3 Egnatia RrogozhinëSuperliga
DLillestrom 1-1 Egnatia RrogozhinëUEFA Europa League

Lillestrom

Lillestrom come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Aurskog Finstadbru. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Viking.

LViking 3-0 LillestromEliteserien
LLillestrom 1-2 TorreenseUEFA Europa League
WLillestrom 2-0 ValerengaEliteserien
WBrann 1-2 LillestromEliteserien
WAurskog Finstadbru 0-3 LillestromNM Cupen

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Egnatia Rrogozhinë at 18% to win and Lillestrom at 18%, with the draw at 64%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Draw	64%	27%	@ 3.55
Lillestrom Win	18%	45%	@ 2.10
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Win	18%	29%	@ 3.30

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lillestrom or Draw at 1.28 (63% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lillestrom or Draw	63%	71%	@ 1.28
Egnatia Rrogozhinë or Draw	63%	55%	@ 1.65

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	77%	72%	@ 1.28
Under 3.5	68%	71%	@ 1.28
Over 2.5	54%	49%	@ 1.88
Under 2.5	46%	51%	@ 1.79
Over 3.5	32%	29%	@ 3.20
Under 1.5	23%	28%	@ 3.25

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	56%	53%	@ 1.73
BTTS No	44%	47%	@ 1.96

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Egnatia Rrogozhinë or Lillestrom is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Egnatia Rrogozhinë +2	89%	86%	1.10
Egnatia Rrogozhinë +1.75	86%	79%	@ 1.19
Lillestrom +1.5	84%	–	1.09
Egnatia Rrogozhinë +1.5	84%	75%	@ 1.25
Lillestrom +1.25	79%	86%	1.11
Egnatia Rrogozhinë +1.25	78%	73%	@ 1.30
Lillestrom +1	74%	84%	1.12
Egnatia Rrogozhinë +1	73%	69%	@ 1.38
Lillestrom +0.75	68%	77%	1.23
Egnatia Rrogozhinë +0.75	68%	61%	@ 1.56
Lillestrom +0.5	63%	71%	1.32
Egnatia Rrogozhinë +0.5	63%	53%	@ 1.75
Lillestrom +0.25	57%	67%	1.42
Egnatia Rrogozhinë +0.25	57%	48%	@ 2.00
Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0	50%	39%	@ 2.41
Lillestrom 0	50%	61%	1.54
Lillestrom -0.25	43%	52%	1.81
Egnatia Rrogozhinë -0.25	43%	33%	@ 2.84
Lillestrom -0.5	37%	47%	2.02
Egnatia Rrogozhinë -0.5	37%	29%	@ 3.19
Lillestrom -0.75	32%	39%	2.42
Egnatia Rrogozhinë -0.75	32%	23%	@ 4.09
Lillestrom -1	27%	31%	3.02
Egnatia Rrogozhinë -1	26%	16%	@ 6.00
Lillestrom -1.25	22%	27%	3.46
Egnatia Rrogozhinë -1.25	21%	14%	@ 6.60
Lillestrom -1.5	16%	25%	3.67
Lillestrom -1.75	14%	21%	4.50
Lillestrom -2	11%	14%	6.80

📈 How the market moved

Egnatia Rrogozhinë 29%Draw 26%Lillestrom 45%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom?

Our model's main pick is Egnatia Rrogozhinë with a +1.25 start at odds 1.30, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

Who is the favourite for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 64%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom.

What is the predicted score for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.66 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë and 1.17 for Lillestrom. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Lillestrom play?

Kick-off is Thursday 20 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.