Thu 20 Aug3-0Finished

Kauno Žalgiris

⚽ UEFA Europa League

Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 20 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Beşiktaş 3-0 Kauno Žalgiris

Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris finished 3-0. Beşiktaş won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Beşiktaş face Kauno Žalgiris in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 20 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Beşiktaş won 1, Kauno Žalgiris won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 2.0-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Kauno Žalgiris +2 @ 2.15

92%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.99 – 1.49 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.1%	4.6%	3.4%	1.7%	0.6%
1	6.1%	9.1%	6.8%	3.4%	1.3%
2	6.1%	9.1%	6.8%	3.4%	1.3%
3	4.0%	6.0%	4.5%	2.2%	0.8%
4	2.0%	3.0%	2.2%	1.1%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-1

Beşiktaş winDrawKauno Žalgiris win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Kauno Žalgiris with a +2 start at odds 2.15, with a 92% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points yes (67%).

📊 Key numbers

Beşiktaş 18%Draw 48%Kauno Žalgiris 34%

18%48%34%

48%

Draw

68%

Over 2.5 goals

67%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Beşiktaş and Kauno Žalgiris. Wins shown from Beşiktaş’s perspective: Beşiktaş 1 · Kauno Žalgiris 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-27	Kauno Žalgiris	1 – 0	Beşiktaş	L
2026-08-20	Beşiktaş	3 – 0	Kauno Žalgiris	W

📈 Recent form

Beşiktaş

Beşiktaş come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 17 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 6-2 at home to Çorum FK. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Amed.

LAmed 3-2 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
WBeşiktaş 4-1 MarseilleUEFA Europa League
WBeşiktaş 3-0 Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig
WFenerbahçe 1-2 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
WBeşiktaş 6-2 Çorum FKSüper Lig

Kauno Žalgiris

Kauno Žalgiris come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Džiugas Telšiai. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at FK Zalgiris Vilnius.

WŠiauliai 0-2 Kauno ŽalgirisA Lyga
LFK Zalgiris Vilnius 3-2 Kauno ŽalgirisA Lyga
WPanevėžys 0-1 Kauno ŽalgirisA Lyga
WKauno Žalgiris 5-1 Suduva MarijampoleA Lyga
WKauno Žalgiris 5-0 Džiugas TelšiaiA Lyga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Beşiktaş at 18% to win and Kauno Žalgiris at 34%, with the draw at 48%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Draw	48%	10%	@ 9.00
Kauno Žalgiris Win	34%	5%	@ 17.00
Beşiktaş Win	18%	84%	@ 1.10

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 68% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	86%	83%	@ 1.11
Over 2.5	68%	66%	@ 1.38
Under 3.5	54%	54%	@ 1.68
Over 3.5	46%	46%	@ 2.00
Under 2.5	32%	34%	@ 2.70
Under 1.5	14%	17%	@ 5.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	67%	39%	@ 2.38
BTTS No	33%	61%	@ 1.50

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Beşiktaş or Kauno Žalgiris is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Kauno Žalgiris +2	92%	43%	@ 2.15
Kauno Žalgiris +1.75	90%	38%	@ 2.39
Kauno Žalgiris +1.25	84%	27%	@ 3.37
Kauno Žalgiris +0.25	64%	16%	@ 6.00
Beşiktaş -0.25	36%	84%	1.12
Beşiktaş -0.5	30%	–	1.12
Beşiktaş -0.75	25%	–	1.18
Beşiktaş -1	21%	–	1.21
Beşiktaş -1.25	16%	73%	1.26
Beşiktaş -1.5	12%	–	1.44
Beşiktaş -1.75	10%	62%	1.49
Beşiktaş -2	8%	57%	1.62

📈 How the market moved

Beşiktaş 82%Draw 12%Kauno Žalgiris 6%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Our model's main pick is Kauno Žalgiris with a +2 start at odds 2.15, with a 92% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 43%.

Who is the favourite for Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.5 scoreline for Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris.

What is the predicted score for Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.99 for Beşiktaş and 1.49 for Kauno Žalgiris. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Beşiktaş and Kauno Žalgiris play?

Kick-off is Thursday 20 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.