Sat 22 Aug4-1Finished

⚽ Serie A

Inter vs Monza Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Inter vs Monza in the Serie A. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Inter 4-1 Monza

Inter vs Monza finished 4-1. Inter won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Inter face Monza in the upcoming Serie A tips, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Inter won 4, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Inter win the most likely result at 84%, projecting a 3.0-0.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Inter vs Monza with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Inter -1 @ 1.27

72%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 3.01 – 0.74 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.4%	1.7%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%
1	7.1%	5.2%	1.9%	0.5%	0.1%
2	10.7%	7.9%	2.9%	0.7%	0.1%
3	10.7%	7.9%	2.9%	0.7%	0.1%
4	8.0%	6.0%	2.2%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 3-0

Inter winDrawMonza win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Inter vs Monza comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Inter to win by 1+ goals at odds 1.27, with a 72% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Inter win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 84%. Goals lean over 2.5 (72%), both teams to score points no (51%).

📊 Key numbers

Inter 84%Draw 11%Monza 6%

84%11%

84%

Inter Win

72%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Inter and Monza. Wins shown from Inter’s perspective: Inter 4 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-22	Inter	4 – 1	Monza	W
2025-03-08	Inter	3 – 2	Monza	W
2024-09-15	Monza	1 – 1	Inter	D
2024-01-13	Monza	1 – 5	Inter	W
2023-08-19	Inter	2 – 0	Monza	W

📈 Recent form

Inter

Inter come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 5-3 at home to Udinese. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Real Madrid.

DAS Roma 2-2 InterSerie A
WInter 5-3 UdineseSerie A
LReal Madrid 2-1 InterUEFA Champions League
WInter 3-2 NapoliSerie A
WCagliari 0-1 InterSerie A

Monza

Monza come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Sassuolo. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Lecce.

WMonza 2-1 SassuoloSerie A
LLecce 3-2 MonzaSerie A
DParma 1-1 MonzaSerie A
WTorino 0-1 MonzaCoppa Italia
LMonza 2-3 UdineseSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Inter

H. MkhitaryanSuspended
D. SpenceNot in squad
M. SpinacceInjury

Monza

E. AkinsanmiroMuscle Injury
P. CiurriaNot in squad
L. ColomboInjury
D. MotaSuspended
M. PessinaKnee Injury
D. ThiamSuspended (cards)
I. ToureKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Inter at 84% to win and Monza at 6%, with the draw at 11%. Our model makes an Inter win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Inter Win	84%	79%	@ 1.19
Draw	11%	15%	@ 6.40
Monza Win	6%	7%	@ 14.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Inter or Draw at 1.01 (94% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Inter or Draw	94%	93%	@ 1.01
Monza or Draw	18%	21%	@ 4.40

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 3.0-0.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 72% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	89%	80%	@ 1.17
Over 2.5	72%	60%	@ 1.58
Over 3.5	52%	38%	@ 2.50
Under 3.5	48%	62%	@ 1.52
Under 2.5	28%	40%	@ 2.33
Under 1.5	11%	20%	@ 4.80

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	51%	60%	@ 1.55
BTTS Yes	49%	40%	@ 2.35

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Inter or Monza is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Inter -0.25	85%	84%	1.13
Inter -0.5	82%	78%	1.20
Inter -0.75	77%	–	1.24
Inter -1	72%	–	1.27
Inter -1.25	67%	66%	1.44
Inter -1.5	62%	58%	@ 1.62
Inter -1.75	57%	54%	@ 1.78
Inter -2	51%	46%	@ 2.05
Monza +2	49%	54%	1.78
Monza +1.75	43%	46%	2.08
Monza +1.5	38%	42%	2.25
Monza +1.25	33%	34%	2.79
Monza +0.5	18%	22%	4.33
Monza +0.25	15%	16%	5.90

📈 How the market moved

Inter 79%Draw 14%Monza 7%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Inter vs Monza?

Our model's main pick is Inter to win by 1+ goals at odds 1.27, with a 72% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 78%.

Who is the favourite for Inter vs Monza?

Our model makes an Inter win the most likely result at 84%. It projects an expected 3.0-0.7 scoreline for Inter vs Monza.

What is the predicted score for Inter vs Monza?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 3-0, based on expected goals of 3.01 for Inter and 0.74 for Monza. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Inter and Monza play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.