⚽ Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:45 UTC.
Result: Sparta Rotterdam 3-3 Utrecht
Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht finished 3-3. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Sparta Rotterdam face Utrecht in the upcoming Eredivisie tips, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:45 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Sparta Rotterdam won 2, Utrecht won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Utrecht win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.2-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| 2 | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| 3 | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Utrecht with a +0.75 start at odds 1.36, with a 75% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Utrecht win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points yes (58%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Sparta Rotterdam and Utrecht. Wins shown from Sparta Rotterdam’s perspective: Sparta Rotterdam 2 · 2 drawn · Utrecht 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 – 3 | Utrecht | D |
| 2026-01-25 | Utrecht | 0 – 1 | Sparta Rotterdam | W |
| 2025-08-17 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 – 1 | Utrecht | W |
| 2025-05-14 | Utrecht | 1 – 1 | Sparta Rotterdam | D |
| 2024-11-03 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 – 4 | Utrecht | L |
📈 Recent form
Sparta Rotterdam come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 15. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at home to Heerenveen.
- LSparta Rotterdam 0-4 HeerenveenEredivisie
- LPSV Eindhoven 4-1 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
- DSparta Rotterdam 2-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
- LExcelsior 2-1 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
- DSparta Rotterdam 3-3 UtrechtEredivisie
Utrecht come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 18. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Excelsior. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Feyenoord.
- LFeyenoord 5-0 UtrechtEredivisie
- WExcelsior 1-2 UtrechtEredivisie
- DUtrecht 3-3 Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie
- LUtrecht 1-6 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
- DSparta Rotterdam 3-3 UtrechtEredivisie
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- A. KosticLacking Match Fitness
- O. AgougilInjury
- A. EngwandaHamstring Injury
- V. JensenKnee Injury
- M. JonathansKnee Injury
- N. OhioKnee Injury
- J. van OmmerenBack Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Sparta Rotterdam at 28% to win and Utrecht at 44%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes an Utrecht win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utrecht Win | 44% | 37% | @ 2.55 |
| Sparta Rotterdam Win | 28% | 37% | @ 2.55 |
| Draw | 28% | 27% | @ 3.45 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Utrecht or Draw at 1.49 (70% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utrecht or Draw | 70% | 63% | @ 1.49 |
| Sparta Rotterdam or Draw | 55% | 63% | @ 1.48 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 78% | @ 1.21 |
| Under 3.5 | 68% | 66% | @ 1.43 |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 55% | @ 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 34% | @ 2.80 |
| Under 1.5 | 22% | 22% | @ 4.20 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 60% | @ 1.55 |
| BTTS No | 42% | 40% | @ 2.30 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Sparta Rotterdam or Utrecht is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utrecht +1.75 | 90% | 86% | @ 1.11 |
| Utrecht +1.5 | 88% | 82% | @ 1.16 |
| Utrecht +1.25 | 84% | 79% | 1.19 |
| Sparta Rotterdam +1.75 | 82% | 86% | 1.11 |
| Utrecht +1 | 79% | 77% | 1.23 |
| Sparta Rotterdam +1.5 | 78% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Utrecht +0.75 | 75% | 70% | @ 1.36 |
| Sparta Rotterdam +1.25 | 72% | 79% | 1.19 |
| Utrecht +0.5 | 70% | 63% | @ 1.50 |
| Sparta Rotterdam +1 | 67% | 78% | 1.22 |
| Utrecht +0.25 | 64% | 58% | @ 1.65 |
| Sparta Rotterdam +0.75 | 61% | 70% | 1.35 |
| Utrecht 0 | 58% | 50% | @ 1.90 |
| Sparta Rotterdam +0.5 | 55% | 63% | 1.49 |
| Utrecht -0.25 | 51% | 42% | @ 2.29 |
| Sparta Rotterdam +0.25 | 49% | 58% | 1.64 |
| Utrecht -0.5 | 45% | 37% | @ 2.57 |
| Sparta Rotterdam 0 | 42% | 50% | 1.89 |
| Utrecht -0.75 | 39% | 30% | @ 3.19 |
| Sparta Rotterdam -0.25 | 36% | 42% | 2.26 |
| Utrecht -1 | 33% | 22% | @ 4.34 |
| Sparta Rotterdam -0.5 | 30% | 37% | 2.53 |
| Utrecht -1.25 | 28% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
| Sparta Rotterdam -0.75 | 25% | 30% | 3.13 |
| Utrecht -1.5 | 22% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| Sparta Rotterdam -1 | 21% | 23% | 4.22 |
| Utrecht -1.75 | 18% | 14% | @ 6.60 |
| Sparta Rotterdam -1.25 | 16% | 21% | 4.50 |
| Sparta Rotterdam -1.5 | 12% | 18% | 5.25 |
| Sparta Rotterdam -1.75 | 10% | 14% | 6.60 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht?
Our model's main pick is Utrecht with a +0.75 start at odds 1.36, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.
Who is the favourite for Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht?
Our model makes an Utrecht win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.6 scoreline for Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht.
What is the predicted score for Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.23 for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.64 for Utrecht. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Sparta Rotterdam and Utrecht play?
Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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