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⚽ Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Genk Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Antwerp vs Genk in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Antwerp face Genk in the Jupiler Pro League, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Antwerp won 1, Genk won 1, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Genk win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.2-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Antwerp vs Genk with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.3% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| 2 | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Antwerp vs Genk is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Antwerp with a +1.25 start at odds 1.28, the selection our model is most confident in at 75%. On the match result, the model rates a Genk win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (53%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Antwerp with a +0.25 start at odds 2.00 (+3.5% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Antwerp and Genk. Wins shown from Antwerp’s perspective: Antwerp 1 · 3 drawn · Genk 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | Genk | 0 – 0 | Antwerp | D |
| 2026-04-03 | Antwerp | 1 – 2 | Genk | L |
| 2025-04-27 | Genk | 0 – 1 | Antwerp | W |
| 2025-04-23 | Antwerp | 1 – 1 | Genk | D |
| 2024-12-26 | Antwerp | 2 – 2 | Genk | D |
📈 Recent form
Antwerp come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Kortrijk. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Leyton Orient.
- WKortrijk 0-3 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
- WAntwerp 2-1 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
- LLeyton Orient 2-1 AntwerpFriendlies Clubs
- LMillwall 1-0 AntwerpFriendlies Clubs
- DAntwerp 1-1 K. Lierse S.K.Friendlies Clubs
Genk come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to FC OSS. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Zulte Waregem.
- WGenk 3-2 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
- LZulte Waregem 2-1 GenkJupiler Pro League
- WGenk 2-1 TwenteFriendlies Clubs
- WGenk 3-1 FC OSSFriendlies Clubs
- LBayer Leverkusen 4-0 GenkFriendlies Clubs
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Antwerp at 31% to win and Genk at 41%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Genk win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp Win | 31% | @ 3.22 | +0.5% |
| Draw | 28% | @ 3.37 | -5.5% |
| Genk Win | 41% | @ 2.15 | -12.4% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Antwerp or Draw at 1.67 (58% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp or Draw | 58% | @ 1.67 | -2.8% |
| Genk or Draw | 68% | @ 1.33 | -9.3% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.4 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 | 51% | @ 1.96 | +0.6% |
| Under 1.5 | 26% | @ 3.79 | -0.2% |
| Under 3.5 | 73% | @ 1.36 | -0.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | @ 1.25 | -7.8% |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | @ 1.84 | -10.5% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | @ 3.07 | -17.6% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 47% | @ 2.08 | -2.6% |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | @ 1.66 | -11.8% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Antwerp or Genk is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp -1 | 23% | @ 5.90 | +33.8% |
| Antwerp -1.25 | 18% | @ 6.40 | +15.1% |
| Antwerp -0.25 | 39% | @ 2.87 | +10.8% |
| Antwerp 0 | 45% | @ 2.38 | +7.7% |
| Antwerp +0.25 | 52% | @ 2.00 | +3.5% |
| Antwerp +0.5 | 58% | 1.70 | -0.9% |
| Genk -1 | 31% | 3.19 | -2.0% |
| Antwerp +0.75 | 64% | 1.53 | -2.1% |
| Antwerp +1.5 | 80% | 1.22 | -2.1% |
| Antwerp +1.75 | 83% | 1.16 | -3.3% |
| Antwerp +1.25 | 75% | 1.28 | -3.9% |
| Genk +1.5 | 87% | 1.10 | -4.6% |
| Antwerp +1 | 69% | 1.35 | -6.1% |
| Antwerp -1.5 | 13% | 7.00 | -6.9% |
| Genk +1.25 | 82% | 1.12 | -8.1% |
| Genk -1.25 | 25% | 3.63 | -8.3% |
| Genk +0.5 | 68% | 1.33 | -9.4% |
| Genk -0.75 | 36% | 2.48 | -10.0% |
| Genk +0.75 | 73% | 1.23 | -10.7% |
| Genk -0.25 | 48% | 1.85 | -10.7% |
| Genk -0.5 | 42% | 2.11 | -11.9% |
| Genk +0.25 | 61% | 1.43 | -12.5% |
| Genk +1 | 77% | 1.13 | -12.6% |
| Genk -1.75 | 17% | 5.25 | -12.7% |
| Genk 0 | 55% | 1.57 | -13.8% |
| Genk -1.5 | 20% | 3.90 | -23.1% |
🔬 How our AI model reached this pick
| Model | Match result | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Poisson | Home | 40% |
| Dixon-Coles | Away | 47% |
Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.
Expected goals: 1.20 for the home side, 1.40 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (12%).
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Antwerp vs Genk?
Our main pick is Antwerp with a +1.25 start at odds 1.28, with 75% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Antwerp with a +0.25 start at 2.00 (+3.5% value).
Who is the favourite for Antwerp vs Genk?
Our model makes a Genk win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.4 scoreline for Antwerp vs Genk.
What is the predicted score for Antwerp vs Genk?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.21 for Antwerp and 1.41 for Genk. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Antwerp and Genk play?
Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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