Sat 22 Aug2-2Finished

⚽ Ligue 1

Le Mans vs Brest Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Le Mans vs Brest in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Le Mans 2-2 Brest

Le Mans vs Brest finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Le Mans face Brest in the upcoming Ligue 1 tips, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Le Mans win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.7-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Le Mans vs Brest with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.25

80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.70 – 1.26 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.2%	6.5%	4.1%	1.7%	0.5%
1	8.8%	11.1%	7.0%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.5%	9.4%	5.9%	2.5%	0.8%
3	4.2%	5.3%	3.4%	1.4%	0.4%
4	1.8%	2.3%	1.4%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Le Mans winDrawBrest win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Le Mans vs Brest comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Le Mans win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points yes (59%).

📊 Key numbers

Le Mans 39%Draw 35%Brest 26%

39%35%26%

39%

Le Mans Win

57%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Le Mans

Le Mans come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 9. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Lorient. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Rennes.

WLe Mans 2-1 LorientLigue 1
DLe Mans 2-2 LensLigue 1
DNice 1-1 Le MansLigue 1
LRennes 3-2 Le MansLigue 1
DLe Mans 2-2 BrestLigue 1

Brest

Brest come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Le Havre. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Auxerre.

LAuxerre 2-1 BrestLigue 1
LBrest 0-1 Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1
WLe Havre 1-2 BrestLigue 1
DBrest 2-2 ToulouseLigue 1
DLe Mans 2-2 BrestLigue 1

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Le Mans

H. VoyerSuspended (cards)

Brest

B. ChardonnetCalf Injury
H. MagnettiMuscle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Le Mans at 39% to win and Brest at 26%, with the draw at 35%. Our model makes a Le Mans win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Le Mans Win	39%	38%	@ 2.48
Draw	35%	28%	@ 3.35
Brest Win	26%	35%	@ 2.70

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Le Mans or Draw at 1.43 (70% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Le Mans or Draw	70%	65%	@ 1.43
Brest or Draw	56%	62%	@ 1.52

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	80%	75%	@ 1.25
Under 3.5	66%	69%	@ 1.37
Over 2.5	57%	51%	@ 1.84
Under 2.5	43%	49%	@ 1.95
Over 3.5	34%	31%	@ 3.10
Under 1.5	20%	25%	@ 3.80

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	59%	57%	@ 1.64
BTTS No	41%	43%	@ 2.15

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Le Mans or Brest is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Le Mans +1.75	90%	86%	1.10
Le Mans +1.5	88%	83%	@ 1.15
Le Mans +1.25	83%	81%	1.17
Brest +1.75	82%	86%	1.10
Le Mans +1	79%	–	1.21
Brest +1.5	79%	82%	1.16
Le Mans +0.75	74%	72%	1.33
Brest +1.25	73%	80%	1.18
Le Mans +0.5	70%	64%	@ 1.46
Brest +1	67%	77%	1.24
Le Mans +0.25	63%	59%	@ 1.61
Brest +0.75	62%	69%	1.37
Le Mans 0	57%	52%	@ 1.85
Brest +0.5	56%	62%	1.52
Le Mans -0.25	50%	43%	@ 2.21
Brest +0.25	50%	57%	1.69
Le Mans -0.5	44%	38%	@ 2.46
Brest 0	43%	48%	1.98
Le Mans -0.75	38%	31%	@ 3.12
Brest -0.25	37%	41%	2.36
Le Mans -1	33%	23%	@ 4.22
Brest -0.5	30%	36%	2.65
Le Mans -1.25	27%	20%	@ 4.65
Brest -0.75	26%	28%	3.38
Le Mans -1.5	21%	18%	@ 5.25
Le Mans -1.75	18%	14%	@ 6.80
Brest -1.25	17%	19%	5.00
Brest -1.5	12%	17%	5.50
Brest -1.75	10%	14%	7.00

📈 How the market moved

Le Mans 37%Draw 28%Brest 35%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Le Mans vs Brest?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Le Mans vs Brest?

Our model makes a Le Mans win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.3 scoreline for Le Mans vs Brest.

What is the predicted score for Le Mans vs Brest?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.70 for Le Mans and 1.26 for Brest. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Le Mans and Brest play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.