vs
⚽ Ligue 1
Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29 Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29 in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Le Mans face Stade Brestois 29 in the Ligue 1, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Le Mans win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.7-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29 with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 7.5% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29 is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.27, the selection our model is most confident in at 80%. On the match result, the model rates a Le Mans win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points yes (59%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Le Mans to win by 0+ goals at odds 2.21 (+11.6% model value).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Le Mans come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Versailles. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Le Havre.
- LLe Mans 0-1 Le HavreFriendlies Clubs
- DLe Mans 1-1 UNFPFriendlies Clubs
- WAngers 2-3 Le MansFriendlies Clubs
- WLe Mans 1-0 NantesFriendlies Clubs
- WLe Mans 3-1 VersaillesFriendlies Clubs
Stade Brestois 29 come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Stade Briochin. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Nottingham Forest.
- LNottingham Forest 2-0 Stade Brestois 29Friendlies Clubs
- DStade Brestois 29 2-2 VeneziaFriendlies Clubs
- WStade Briochin 1-2 Stade Brestois 29Friendlies Clubs
- DStade Brestois 29 3-3 GuingampFriendlies Clubs
- LStade Brestois 29 0-2 Al WakrahFriendlies Clubs
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- H. VoyerSuspended (cards)
- B. ChardonnetCalf Injury
- H. MagnettiMuscle Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Le Mans at 39% to win and Stade Brestois 29 at 26%, with the draw at 35%. Our model makes a Le Mans win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 35% | @ 3.40 | +18.6% |
| Le Mans Win | 39% | @ 2.52 | -0.6% |
| Stade Brestois 29 Win | 26% | @ 2.71 | -30.5% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Le Mans or Draw at 1.44 (70% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Le Mans or Draw | 70% | @ 1.44 | +0.6% |
| Stade Brestois 29 or Draw | 56% | @ 1.52 | -14.7% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 34% | @ 3.15 | +8.1% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | @ 1.88 | +6.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | @ 1.27 | +0.8% |
| Under 3.5 | 66% | @ 1.37 | -10.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | @ 1.95 | -15.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 20% | @ 3.78 | -22.4% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 59% | @ 1.67 | -2.3% |
| BTTS No | 41% | @ 2.11 | -12.7% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Le Mans or Stade Brestois 29 is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Le Mans -1 | 33% | @ 4.22 | +37.6% |
| Le Mans -1.25 | 27% | @ 4.65 | +25.4% |
| Le Mans -1.75 | 18% | @ 6.80 | +22.7% |
| Le Mans -0.75 | 38% | @ 3.12 | +19.1% |
| Le Mans -1.5 | 21% | @ 5.25 | +11.9% |
| Le Mans -0.25 | 50% | @ 2.21 | +11.6% |
| Le Mans -0.5 | 44% | @ 2.46 | +7.9% |
| Le Mans 0 | 57% | @ 1.85 | +5.4% |
| Le Mans +0.5 | 70% | @ 1.46 | +2.2% |
| Le Mans +0.25 | 63% | @ 1.61 | +2.0% |
| Le Mans +1.5 | 88% | @ 1.15 | +1.0% |
| Le Mans +0.75 | 74% | 1.33 | -1.1% |
| Le Mans +1.75 | 90% | 1.10 | -1.1% |
| Le Mans +1.25 | 83% | 1.17 | -2.5% |
| Le Mans +1 | 79% | 1.21 | -5.0% |
| Stade Brestois 29 +1.5 | 79% | 1.16 | -8.7% |
| Stade Brestois 29 +1.75 | 82% | 1.10 | -9.8% |
| Stade Brestois 29 -0.75 | 26% | 3.38 | -13.5% |
| Stade Brestois 29 -0.25 | 37% | 2.36 | -13.6% |
| Stade Brestois 29 +1.25 | 73% | 1.18 | -13.8% |
| Stade Brestois 29 0 | 43% | 1.98 | -14.5% |
| Stade Brestois 29 +0.5 | 56% | 1.52 | -14.7% |
| Stade Brestois 29 +0.75 | 62% | 1.37 | -15.4% |
| Stade Brestois 29 +0.25 | 50% | 1.69 | -16.4% |
| Stade Brestois 29 +1 | 67% | 1.24 | -16.8% |
| Stade Brestois 29 -1.25 | 17% | 5.00 | -16.8% |
| Stade Brestois 29 -0.5 | 30% | 2.65 | -20.1% |
| Stade Brestois 29 -1.75 | 10% | 7.00 | -29.5% |
| Stade Brestois 29 -1.5 | 12% | 5.50 | -33.2% |
🔬 How our AI model reached this pick
| Model | Match result | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Poisson | Home | 48% |
| GradientBoosting | Draw | 39% |
Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.
Expected goals: 1.45 for the home side, 1.16 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%).
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29?
Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.27, with 80% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Le Mans to win by 0+ goals at 2.21 (+11.6% value).
Who is the favourite for Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29?
Our model makes a Le Mans win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.3 scoreline for Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29.
What is the predicted score for Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.70 for Le Mans and 1.26 for Stade Brestois 29. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Le Mans and Stade Brestois 29 play?
Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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AnnecyAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.