Sat 22 Aug0-0Finished

⚽ Ligue 1

Estac Troyes vs Paris FC Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Estac Troyes vs Paris FC in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Estac Troyes 0-0 Paris FC

Estac Troyes vs Paris FC finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Estac Troyes face Paris FC in the upcoming Ligue 1 tips, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Paris FC win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.4-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Estac Troyes vs Paris FC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Paris FC +0.75 @ 1.25

78%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.41 – 1.17 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.6%	8.9%	5.2%	2.0%	0.6%
1	10.7%	12.5%	7.3%	2.9%	0.8%
2	7.5%	8.8%	5.2%	2.0%	0.6%
3	3.5%	4.1%	2.4%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.2%	1.5%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Estac Troyes winDrawParis FC win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Estac Troyes vs Paris FC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Paris FC with a +0.75 start at odds 1.25, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Paris FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean under 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Estac Troyes 19%Draw 38%Paris FC 42%

19%38%42%

42%

Paris FC Win

52%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Estac Troyes

Estac Troyes come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Lorient. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Angers.

LAngers 2-0 Estac TroyesLigue 1
LLille 2-0 Estac TroyesLigue 1
LEstac Troyes 2-6 StrasbourgLigue 1
WLorient 1-2 Estac TroyesLigue 1
DEstac Troyes 0-0 Paris FCLigue 1

Paris FC

Paris FC come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Nice.

WParis FC 2-1 StrasbourgLigue 1
DParis FC 0-0 LyonLigue 1
WMarseille 2-3 Paris FCLigue 1
WParis FC 3-0 NiceLigue 1
DEstac Troyes 0-0 Paris FCLigue 1

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Estac Troyes

I. BouraInjury
A. FatahHamstring Injury

Paris FC

J. IkoneHamstring Injury
E. MbembaNot in squad
N. SanguiInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Estac Troyes at 19% to win and Paris FC at 42%, with the draw at 38%. Our model makes a Paris FC win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Paris FC Win	42%	42%	@ 2.23
Draw	38%	28%	@ 3.30
Estac Troyes Win	19%	30%	@ 3.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Paris FC or Draw at 1.35 (74% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Paris FC or Draw	74%	70%	@ 1.35
Estac Troyes or Draw	51%	58%	@ 1.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	74%	65%	@ 1.45
Over 1.5	73%	79%	@ 1.20
Under 2.5	52%	45%	@ 2.12
Over 2.5	48%	55%	@ 1.70
Under 1.5	27%	21%	@ 4.40
Over 3.5	26%	35%	@ 2.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	52%	60%	@ 1.54
BTTS No	48%	40%	@ 2.35

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Estac Troyes or Paris FC is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Paris FC +1.5	90%	86%	@ 1.11
Paris FC +1.25	86%	84%	1.12
Paris FC +1	82%	–	1.17
Estac Troyes +1.75	78%	83%	1.15
Paris FC +0.75	78%	76%	1.25
Estac Troyes +1.5	75%	76%	1.22
Paris FC +0.5	74%	–	@ 1.38
Estac Troyes +1.25	69%	75%	1.27
Paris FC +0.25	68%	66%	1.46
Estac Troyes +1	63%	71%	1.33
Paris FC 0	62%	58%	@ 1.64
Estac Troyes +0.75	57%	63%	1.52
Paris FC -0.25	55%	50%	@ 1.93
Estac Troyes +0.5	51%	57%	1.65
Paris FC -0.5	49%	43%	@ 2.19
Estac Troyes +0.25	45%	50%	1.95
Paris FC -0.75	43%	37%	@ 2.56
Estac Troyes 0	38%	42%	2.28
Paris FC -1	37%	29%	@ 3.33
Estac Troyes -0.25	32%	34%	2.77
Paris FC -1.25	31%	25%	@ 3.75
Paris FC -1.5	25%	24%	@ 3.95
Estac Troyes -0.75	22%	24%	4.04
Paris FC -1.75	22%	17%	@ 5.50
Estac Troyes -1.25	14%	16%	6.00
Estac Troyes -1.5	10%	14%	6.60

📈 How the market moved

Estac Troyes 30%Draw 28%Paris FC 42%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Estac Troyes vs Paris FC?

Our model's main pick is Paris FC with a +0.75 start at odds 1.25, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.

Who is the favourite for Estac Troyes vs Paris FC?

Our model makes a Paris FC win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline for Estac Troyes vs Paris FC.

What is the predicted score for Estac Troyes vs Paris FC?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.41 for Estac Troyes and 1.17 for Paris FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Estac Troyes and Paris FC play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.