⚽ Major League Soccer
Inter Miami vs Toronto FC Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Inter Miami vs Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Result: Inter Miami 1-2 Toronto FC
Inter Miami vs Toronto FC finished 1-2. Toronto FC won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Inter Miami face Toronto FC in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Inter Miami won 4, Toronto FC won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Inter Miami win the most likely result at 70%, projecting a 2.4-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Inter Miami vs Toronto FC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 8.0% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Inter Miami vs Toronto FC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Inter Miami to win by 0+ goals at odds 1.26, with a 73% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Inter Miami win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 70%. Goals lean over 2.5 (70%), both teams to score points yes (62%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Inter Miami and Toronto FC. Wins shown from Inter Miami’s perspective: Inter Miami 4 · Toronto FC 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Inter Miami | 1 – 2 | Toronto FC | L |
| 2026-05-09 | Toronto FC | 2 – 4 | Inter Miami | W |
| 2024-10-05 | Toronto FC | 0 – 1 | Inter Miami | W |
| 2024-07-17 | Inter Miami | 3 – 1 | Toronto FC | W |
| 2023-09-20 | Inter Miami | 4 – 0 | Toronto FC | W |
📈 Recent form
Inter Miami come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Cruz Azul. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- DInter Miami 2-2 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- WInter Miami 2-0 Cruz AzulCampeones Cup
- DInter Miami 2-2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- DChicago Fire 1-1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- DInter Miami 2-2 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
Toronto FC come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Nashville SC. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at St. Louis City.
- LSt. Louis City 3-1 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
- LOrlando City SC 3-0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
- WToronto FC 2-1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- DToronto FC 4-4 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- DToronto FC 1-1 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- T. AllendeKnee Injury
- Y. BrightSuspended (red card)
- MicaelInjury
- S. MoralesMuscle Injury
- N. DorschFace Injury
- D. KerrLower-Body Injury
- J. OsorioKnee Injury
- N. PalacioLower-Body Injury
- W. ZimmermanSuspended (red card)
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Inter Miami at 70% to win and Toronto FC at 13%, with the draw at 17%. Our model makes an Inter Miami win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami Win | 70% | 70% | @ 1.33 |
| Draw | 17% | 17% | @ 5.60 |
| Toronto FC Win | 13% | 13% | @ 7.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Inter Miami or Draw at 1.09 (88% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami or Draw | 88% | 87% | @ 1.09 |
| Toronto FC or Draw | 31% | 30% | @ 3.20 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.4-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 70% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 90% | @ 1.05 |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 76% | @ 1.23 |
| Under 3.5 | 52% | 43% | @ 2.20 |
| Over 3.5 | 48% | 57% | @ 1.63 |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 24% | @ 3.95 |
| Under 1.5 | 13% | 10% | @ 9.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 65% | @ 1.41 |
| BTTS No | 38% | 35% | @ 2.65 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Inter Miami or Toronto FC is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami +0.5 | 88% | – | 1.09 |
| Inter Miami +0.25 | 83% | 84% | 1.12 |
| Inter Miami 0 | 78% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Inter Miami -0.25 | 73% | 75% | 1.26 |
| Inter Miami -0.5 | 69% | 71% | 1.33 |
| Toronto FC +2 | 66% | 60% | @ 1.59 |
| Inter Miami -0.75 | 63% | 68% | 1.40 |
| Toronto FC +1.75 | 61% | 54% | @ 1.78 |
| Inter Miami -1 | 57% | – | 1.52 |
| Toronto FC +1.5 | 56% | 49% | @ 1.92 |
| Inter Miami -1.25 | 50% | 57% | 1.68 |
| Toronto FC +1.25 | 50% | 43% | @ 2.21 |
| Inter Miami -1.5 | 44% | 51% | 1.85 |
| Inter Miami -1.75 | 39% | 46% | 2.06 |
| Toronto FC +0.75 | 37% | 32% | @ 2.94 |
| Inter Miami -2 | 34% | 40% | 2.38 |
| Toronto FC +0.5 | 31% | 29% | 3.19 |
| Toronto FC +0.25 | 27% | 25% | @ 3.81 |
| Toronto FC 0 | 22% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Toronto FC -0.25 | 17% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Inter Miami vs Toronto FC?
Our model's main pick is Inter Miami to win by 0+ goals at odds 1.26, with a 73% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for Inter Miami vs Toronto FC?
Our model makes an Inter Miami win the most likely result at 70%. It projects an expected 2.4-1.2 scoreline for Inter Miami vs Toronto FC.
What is the predicted score for Inter Miami vs Toronto FC?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.41 for Inter Miami and 1.18 for Toronto FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Inter Miami and Toronto FC play?
Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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