⚽ Major League Soccer
New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Result: New York Red Bulls 1-1 Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
New York Red Bulls face Chicago Fire in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, New York Red Bulls won 1, Chicago Fire won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a New York Red Bulls win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.7-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 5.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| 2 | 4.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| 3 | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is New York Red Bulls with a +1.25 start at odds 1.26, with a 84% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a New York Red Bulls win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (67%), both teams to score points yes (66%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between New York Red Bulls and Chicago Fire. Wins shown from New York Red Bulls’s perspective: New York Red Bulls 1 · 2 drawn · Chicago Fire 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | New York Red Bulls | 1 – 1 | Chicago Fire | D |
| 2026-05-09 | Chicago Fire | 1 – 3 | New York Red Bulls | W |
| 2024-09-15 | Chicago Fire | 2 – 1 | New York Red Bulls | L |
| 2024-04-13 | New York Red Bulls | 0 – 0 | Chicago Fire | D |
| 2023-09-30 | New York Red Bulls | 0 – 1 | Chicago Fire | L |
📈 Recent form
New York Red Bulls come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at New York City FC. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Los Angeles FC.
- WNew York City FC 0-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- WColumbus Crew 0-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- LLos Angeles FC 2-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- DSeattle Sounders 0-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- LNew York Red Bulls 1-3 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
Chicago Fire come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 12. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Nashville SC.
- LNashville SC 3-0 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- LChicago Fire 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- DChicago Fire 1-1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- DToronto FC 4-4 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- DSeattle Sounders 2-2 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- A. MarcucciKnee Injury
- R. MosqueraThigh Injury
- A. FrancoKnee Injury
- M. MbokaziLower-Body Injury
- C. MuellerNot in squad
- S. OregelLower-Body Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices New York Red Bulls at 46% to win and Chicago Fire at 31%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a New York Red Bulls win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Red Bulls Win | 46% | 34% | @ 2.70 |
| Chicago Fire Win | 31% | 41% | @ 2.25 |
| Draw | 24% | 24% | @ 3.85 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is New York Red Bulls or Draw at 1.61 (70% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Red Bulls or Draw | 70% | 59% | @ 1.61 |
| Chicago Fire or Draw | 56% | 66% | @ 1.43 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 86% | @ 1.09 |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 69% | @ 1.37 |
| Under 3.5 | 55% | 52% | @ 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 | 45% | 48% | @ 1.97 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 31% | @ 3.00 |
| Under 1.5 | 14% | 14% | @ 6.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 69% | @ 1.34 |
| BTTS No | 34% | 31% | @ 3.00 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when New York Red Bulls or Chicago Fire is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Red Bulls +2 | 92% | 86% | @ 1.10 |
| New York Red Bulls +1.75 | 90% | 83% | @ 1.14 |
| New York Red Bulls +1.5 | 88% | – | @ 1.21 |
| New York Red Bulls +1.25 | 84% | 75% | @ 1.26 |
| Chicago Fire +1.75 | 82% | 84% | 1.12 |
| New York Red Bulls +1 | 79% | 73% | @ 1.29 |
| Chicago Fire +1.5 | 78% | – | 1.14 |
| New York Red Bulls +0.75 | 75% | 66% | @ 1.43 |
| Chicago Fire +1.25 | 73% | 78% | 1.21 |
| New York Red Bulls +0.5 | 70% | 59% | @ 1.60 |
| Chicago Fire +1 | 67% | 77% | 1.25 |
| New York Red Bulls +0.25 | 64% | 55% | @ 1.74 |
| Chicago Fire +0.75 | 61% | 70% | 1.36 |
| New York Red Bulls 0 | 57% | 47% | @ 2.04 |
| Chicago Fire +0.5 | 56% | 64% | 1.47 |
| New York Red Bulls -0.25 | 51% | 41% | @ 2.33 |
| Chicago Fire +0.25 | 49% | 59% | 1.62 |
| New York Red Bulls -0.5 | 44% | 36% | @ 2.60 |
| Chicago Fire 0 | 43% | 53% | 1.79 |
| New York Red Bulls -0.75 | 39% | 30% | @ 3.15 |
| Chicago Fire -0.25 | 36% | 45% | 2.12 |
| New York Red Bulls -1 | 33% | 23% | @ 4.05 |
| Chicago Fire -0.5 | 30% | 41% | 2.28 |
| New York Red Bulls -1.25 | 27% | 22% | @ 4.25 |
| Chicago Fire -0.75 | 25% | 34% | 2.83 |
| Chicago Fire -1 | 21% | 27% | 3.56 |
| New York Red Bulls -1.75 | 18% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
| Chicago Fire -1.25 | 16% | 25% | 3.85 |
| Chicago Fire -1.75 | 10% | 17% | 5.75 |
| Chicago Fire -2 | 8% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire?
Our model's main pick is New York Red Bulls with a +1.25 start at odds 1.26, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire?
Our model makes a New York Red Bulls win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.7 scoreline for New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire.
What is the predicted score for New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.74 for New York Red Bulls and 1.70 for Chicago Fire. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do New York Red Bulls and Chicago Fire play?
Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Lask Linzvs
LiverpoolUEFA Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct16:45
Feyenoordvs
ComoUEFA Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct16:45
Slovan Bratislavavs
VfB StuttgartUEFA Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct19:00
Shakhtar Donetskvs
AEK Athens FCUEFA Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct19:00
Manchester Cityvs
Paris Saint GermainUEFA Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct19:00
Bodo/Glimtvs
Borussia DortmundUEFA Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct19:00Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.