vs
⚽ Major League Soccer
Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Result: Orlando City SC 2-1 Real Salt Lake
Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake finished 2-1. Orlando City SC won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Real Salt Lake Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at 1.32, landed.
Orlando City SC face Real Salt Lake in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Orlando City SC won 1, Real Salt Lake won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.6-2.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| 2 | 3.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Real Salt Lake Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at odds 1.32, the selection our model is most confident in at 86%. On the match result, the model rates a Real Salt Lake win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (69%), both teams to score points yes (65%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Real Salt Lake with a +0.25 start at odds 2.12 (+26.4% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Orlando City SC and Real Salt Lake. Wins shown from Orlando City SC’s perspective: Orlando City SC 1 · Real Salt Lake 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Orlando City SC | 2 – 1 | Real Salt Lake | W |
| 2023-07-09 | Real Salt Lake | 4 – 0 | Orlando City SC | L |
📈 Recent form
Orlando City SC come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Real Salt Lake. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Chicago Fire.
- WOrlando City SC 2-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- LOrlando City SC 1-2 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- DOrlando City SC 1-1 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- DOrlando City SC 2-2 Atletico San LuisLeagues Cup
- LOrlando City SC 1-2 LeonLeagues Cup
Real Salt Lake come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to FC Juarez. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Orlando City SC.
- LOrlando City SC 2-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- LReal Salt Lake 3-4 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- DReal Salt Lake 1-1 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- WReal Salt Lake 3-0 FC JuarezLeagues Cup
- DMinnesota United FC 1-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- N. MillerKnee Injury
- B. OjedaFoot Injury
- M. OjedaThigh Injury
- B. RheinMuscle Injury
- G. DillonFoot Injury
- E. EneliKnee Injury
- A. PiolAchilles Tendon Injury
- Z. BoothHamstring Injury
- J. GladGroin Injury
- M. GuilavoguiHead Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Orlando City SC at 34% to win and Real Salt Lake at 39%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 27% | @ 3.90 | +5.5% |
| Real Salt Lake Win | 39% | @ 2.52 | -0.8% |
| Orlando City SC Win | 34% | @ 2.40 | -19.4% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Real Salt Lake or Draw at 1.55 (66% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake or Draw | 66% | @ 1.55 | +2.4% |
| Orlando City SC or Draw | 60% | @ 1.50 | -9.6% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-2.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 69% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 87% | @ 1.11 | -3.5% |
| Under 3.5 | 53% | @ 1.83 | -3.8% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | @ 1.38 | -5.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 31% | @ 3.00 | -6.5% |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | @ 1.95 | -7.6% |
| Under 1.5 | 13% | @ 6.25 | -18.3% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 35% | @ 3.00 | +4.2% |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | @ 1.33 | -13.2% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Orlando City SC or Real Salt Lake is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake -1 | 29% | @ 5.75 | +66.7% |
| Real Salt Lake -1.25 | 24% | @ 5.90 | +39.5% |
| Real Salt Lake -0.25 | 46% | @ 2.91 | +34.7% |
| Real Salt Lake -0.75 | 34% | @ 3.90 | +34.0% |
| Real Salt Lake -0.5 | 40% | @ 3.19 | +26.7% |
| Real Salt Lake +0.25 | 60% | @ 2.12 | +26.4% |
| Real Salt Lake +0.75 | 71% | @ 1.70 | +20.2% |
| Real Salt Lake +0.5 | 66% | @ 1.81 | +19.9% |
| Real Salt Lake +1.25 | 81% | @ 1.41 | +13.3% |
| Real Salt Lake +1 | 76% | @ 1.50 | +13.3% |
| Real Salt Lake +1.5 | 86% | @ 1.32 | +13.2% |
| Real Salt Lake +1.75 | 88% | @ 1.24 | +9.1% |
| Real Salt Lake +2 | 90% | @ 1.14 | +3.0% |
| Real Salt Lake -1.75 | 15% | 6.25 | -3.9% |
| Orlando City SC +1.75 | 85% | 1.12 | -5.2% |
| Orlando City SC +1.5 | 82% | 1.11 | -8.9% |
| Orlando City SC +1.25 | 76% | 1.13 | -13.7% |
| Orlando City SC +0.75 | 66% | 1.24 | -18.6% |
| Orlando City SC +1 | 71% | 1.14 | -19.1% |
| Orlando City SC +0.5 | 60% | 1.33 | -19.8% |
| Orlando City SC +0.25 | 54% | 1.41 | -24.3% |
| Orlando City SC 0 | 47% | 1.59 | -25.0% |
| Orlando City SC -0.25 | 40% | 1.74 | -29.7% |
| Orlando City SC -0.5 | 34% | 1.98 | -32.8% |
| Orlando City SC -1 | 24% | 2.64 | -36.1% |
| Orlando City SC -0.75 | 29% | 2.19 | -36.4% |
| Orlando City SC -1.25 | 19% | 2.93 | -43.4% |
| Orlando City SC -2 | 10% | 5.75 | -44.6% |
| Orlando City SC -1.75 | 12% | 3.90 | -53.0% |
| Orlando City SC -1.5 | 14% | 3.23 | -53.3% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake?
Our main pick is Real Salt Lake Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at odds 1.32, with 86% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Real Salt Lake with a +0.25 start at 2.12 (+26.4% value).
Who is the favourite for Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake?
Our model makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.6-2.0 scoreline for Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake.
What is the predicted score for Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.58 for Orlando City SC and 1.97 for Real Salt Lake. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Orlando City SC and Real Salt Lake play?
Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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