⚽ Major League Soccer
Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Result: Orlando City SC 2-1 Real Salt Lake
Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake finished 2-1. Orlando City SC won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Real Salt Lake Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at 1.32, landed.
Orlando City SC face Real Salt Lake in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Orlando City SC won 1, Real Salt Lake won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.6-2.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| 2 | 3.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Real Salt Lake Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at odds 1.32, with a 86% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Real Salt Lake win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (69%), both teams to score points yes (65%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Orlando City SC and Real Salt Lake. Wins shown from Orlando City SC’s perspective: Orlando City SC 1 · Real Salt Lake 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Orlando City SC | 2 – 1 | Real Salt Lake | W |
| 2023-07-09 | Real Salt Lake | 4 – 0 | Orlando City SC | L |
📈 Recent form
Orlando City SC come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Toronto FC. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-4 at New England Revolution.
- LNew England Revolution 4-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- LColumbus Crew 2-1 Orlando City SCUS Open Cup
- WOrlando City SC 3-0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
- WAtlanta United FC 2-3 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- WOrlando City SC 1-0 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
Real Salt Lake come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 10. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Vancouver Whitecaps.
- LReal Salt Lake 0-3 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- LReal Salt Lake 0-2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- LHouston Dynamo 2-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- DReal Salt Lake 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- LColorado Rapids 1-0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- N. MillerKnee Injury
- B. OjedaFoot Injury
- M. OjedaThigh Injury
- B. RheinMuscle Injury
- G. DillonFoot Injury
- E. EneliKnee Injury
- A. PiolAchilles Tendon Injury
- Z. BoothHamstring Injury
- J. GladGroin Injury
- M. GuilavoguiHead Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Orlando City SC at 34% to win and Real Salt Lake at 39%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake Win | 39% | 27% | @ 3.40 |
| Orlando City SC Win | 34% | 49% | @ 1.90 |
| Draw | 27% | 24% | @ 3.95 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Real Salt Lake or Draw at 1.86 (66% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake or Draw | 66% | 51% | @ 1.86 |
| Orlando City SC or Draw | 60% | 73% | @ 1.30 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-2.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 69% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 85% | @ 1.11 |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 68% | @ 1.38 |
| Under 3.5 | 53% | 53% | @ 1.78 |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 47% | @ 1.98 |
| Under 2.5 | 31% | 32% | @ 2.95 |
| Under 1.5 | 13% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 68% | @ 1.37 |
| BTTS No | 35% | 32% | @ 2.85 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Orlando City SC or Real Salt Lake is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake +2 | 90% | 83% | @ 1.14 |
| Real Salt Lake +1.75 | 88% | 76% | @ 1.24 |
| Real Salt Lake +1.5 | 86% | 71% | @ 1.32 |
| Orlando City SC +1.75 | 85% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Orlando City SC +1.5 | 82% | – | 1.11 |
| Real Salt Lake +1.25 | 81% | 68% | @ 1.41 |
| Orlando City SC +1.25 | 76% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Real Salt Lake +1 | 76% | 64% | @ 1.50 |
| Orlando City SC +1 | 71% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Real Salt Lake +0.75 | 71% | 56% | @ 1.70 |
| Real Salt Lake +0.5 | 66% | 52% | @ 1.81 |
| Orlando City SC +0.75 | 66% | 76% | 1.24 |
| Orlando City SC +0.5 | 60% | 71% | 1.33 |
| Real Salt Lake +0.25 | 60% | 45% | @ 2.12 |
| Orlando City SC +0.25 | 54% | 67% | 1.41 |
| Orlando City SC 0 | 47% | – | 1.59 |
| Real Salt Lake -0.25 | 46% | 33% | @ 2.91 |
| Orlando City SC -0.25 | 40% | 55% | 1.74 |
| Real Salt Lake -0.5 | 40% | 29% | @ 3.19 |
| Real Salt Lake -0.75 | 34% | 24% | @ 3.90 |
| Orlando City SC -0.5 | 34% | 48% | 1.98 |
| Orlando City SC -0.75 | 29% | 44% | 2.19 |
| Real Salt Lake -1 | 29% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Orlando City SC -1 | 24% | 36% | 2.64 |
| Real Salt Lake -1.25 | 24% | 16% | @ 5.90 |
| Orlando City SC -1.25 | 19% | 32% | 2.93 |
| Real Salt Lake -1.75 | 15% | 15% | 6.25 |
| Orlando City SC -1.5 | 14% | 29% | 3.23 |
| Orlando City SC -1.75 | 12% | 24% | 3.90 |
| Orlando City SC -2 | 10% | 17% | 5.75 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake?
Our model's main pick is Real Salt Lake Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at odds 1.32, with a 86% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.
Who is the favourite for Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake?
Our model makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.6-2.0 scoreline for Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake.
What is the predicted score for Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.58 for Orlando City SC and 1.97 for Real Salt Lake. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Orlando City SC and Real Salt Lake play?
Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Lask Linzvs
LiverpoolUEFA Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct16:45
Feyenoordvs
ComoUEFA Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct16:45
Slovan Bratislavavs
VfB StuttgartUEFA Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct19:00
Shakhtar Donetskvs
AEK Athens FCUEFA Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct19:00
Manchester Cityvs
Paris Saint GermainUEFA Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct19:00
Bodo/Glimtvs
Borussia DortmundUEFA Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct19:00Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.