⚽ Brazilian Série A
Cruzeiro vs Flamengo Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Cruzeiro vs Flamengo in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Result: Cruzeiro 2-1 Flamengo
Cruzeiro vs Flamengo finished 2-1. Cruzeiro won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Cruzeiro face Flamengo in the upcoming Brazilian Série A tips, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Cruzeiro won 1, Flamengo won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Flamengo win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.2-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Cruzeiro vs Flamengo with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.5% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| 2 | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Cruzeiro vs Flamengo comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.26, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Flamengo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean under 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (53%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Cruzeiro and Flamengo. Wins shown from Cruzeiro’s perspective: Cruzeiro 1 · 1 drawn · Flamengo 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Cruzeiro | 2 – 1 | Flamengo | W |
| 2026-08-20 | Flamengo | 2 – 1 | Cruzeiro | L |
| 2026-08-13 | Cruzeiro | 1 – 1 | Flamengo | D |
| 2024-11-07 | Cruzeiro | 0 – 1 | Flamengo | L |
| 2024-06-30 | Flamengo | 2 – 1 | Cruzeiro | L |
📈 Recent form
Cruzeiro come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Vitória. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Santos.
- WVitória 1-3 CruzeiroBrazilian Série A
- LSantos 2-1 CruzeiroBrazilian Série A
- WCruzeiro 3-1 Athletico ParanaenseBrazilian Série A
- LAtlético Mineiro 2-1 CruzeiroCopa Do Brasil
- LVasco da Gama 3-1 CruzeiroBrazilian Série A
Flamengo come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Independiente del Valle. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WFlamengo 2-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
- DFlamengo 1-1 Independiente del ValleCONMEBOL Libertadores
- WFlamengo 2-1 CorinthiansBrazilian Série A
- WIndependiente del Valle 0-2 FlamengoCONMEBOL Libertadores
- WRemo 0-1 FlamengoBrazilian Série A
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- Gabriel PecBroken Leg
- Jonathan JesusSuspended (cards)
- L. SinisterraMuscle Injury
- Alex SandroCalf Injury
- EvertonIllness
- Leo PereiraRest
- VitaoMuscle Injury
- N. de la CruzMuscle Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Cruzeiro at 31% to win and Flamengo at 38%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Flamengo win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo Win | 38% | 40% | @ 2.32 |
| Cruzeiro Win | 31% | 31% | @ 3.05 |
| Draw | 30% | 29% | @ 3.20 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Flamengo or Draw at 1.36 (67% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo or Draw | 67% | 69% | @ 1.36 |
| Cruzeiro or Draw | 60% | 60% | @ 1.58 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.4 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 52% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 74% | 75% | @ 1.26 |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 71% | @ 1.32 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 54% | @ 1.74 |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 46% | @ 2.04 |
| Under 1.5 | 27% | 29% | @ 3.25 |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 25% | @ 3.70 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 53% | @ 1.76 |
| BTTS No | 47% | 47% | @ 1.95 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Cruzeiro or Flamengo is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo +1.5 | 86% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Cruzeiro +1.75 | 84% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Flamengo +1.25 | 81% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Cruzeiro +1.5 | 81% | 79% | 1.20 |
| Flamengo +1 | 76% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Cruzeiro +1.25 | 76% | 76% | 1.25 |
| Flamengo +0.75 | 72% | 76% | 1.25 |
| Cruzeiro +1 | 70% | 74% | 1.29 |
| Flamengo +0.5 | 67% | – | 1.37 |
| Cruzeiro +0.75 | 65% | 65% | 1.47 |
| Flamengo +0.25 | 60% | 65% | 1.46 |
| Cruzeiro +0.5 | 60% | 58% | 1.62 |
| Flamengo 0 | 54% | 58% | 1.63 |
| Cruzeiro +0.25 | 53% | 51% | @ 1.91 |
| Flamengo -0.25 | 47% | 49% | 1.96 |
| Cruzeiro 0 | 46% | 42% | @ 2.27 |
| Flamengo -0.5 | 40% | 42% | 2.23 |
| Cruzeiro -0.25 | 40% | 35% | @ 2.75 |
| Flamengo -0.75 | 35% | 35% | 2.71 |
| Flamengo -1 | 30% | 26% | @ 3.60 |
| Cruzeiro -0.75 | 28% | 24% | @ 4.03 |
| Flamengo -1.25 | 24% | 24% | 4.00 |
| Cruzeiro -1 | 24% | 16% | @ 5.90 |
| Flamengo -1.5 | 19% | 21% | 4.40 |
| Cruzeiro -1.25 | 19% | 15% | @ 6.40 |
| Flamengo -1.75 | 16% | 16% | 5.90 |
| Cruzeiro -1.5 | 14% | 14% | 6.80 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?
Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.26, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?
Our model makes a Flamengo win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.4 scoreline for Cruzeiro vs Flamengo.
What is the predicted score for Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.20 for Cruzeiro and 1.39 for Flamengo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Cruzeiro and Flamengo play?
Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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