⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 20 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Lincoln Red Imps FC face Larne in the UEFA Europa Conference League, kicking off Thursday 20 August 2026, 16:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Lincoln Red Imps FC won 1, Larne won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Lincoln Red Imps FC win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 2.1-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.30

78%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.08 – 0.78 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.7%	4.5%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
1	11.9%	9.3%	3.6%	0.9%	0.2%
2	12.4%	9.7%	3.8%	1.0%	0.2%
3	8.6%	6.7%	2.6%	0.7%	0.1%
4	4.5%	3.5%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 2-0

Lincoln Red Imps FC winDrawLarne win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 78%. On the match result, the model rates a Lincoln Red Imps FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points no (53%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.95 (+6.2% model value).

Best value

Over 2.5 at odds 1.95, 54% model probability, +6.2% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Lincoln Red Imps FC 48%Draw 30%Larne 22%

48%30%22%

48%

Lincoln Red Imps FC Win

54%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS no

+6.2%

Best value: Over 2.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Lincoln Red Imps FC and Larne. Wins shown from Lincoln Red Imps FC’s perspective: Lincoln Red Imps FC 1 · Larne 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2024-08-29	Larne	3 – 1	Lincoln Red Imps FC	L
2024-08-22	Lincoln Red Imps FC	2 – 1	Larne	W

📈 Recent form

Lincoln Red Imps FC

Lincoln Red Imps FC come into this game with 0 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 6. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Omonia Nicosia.

LOmonia Nicosia 1-0 Lincoln Red Imps FCUEFA Europa League
DLincoln Red Imps FC 1-1 Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa League
DLincoln Red Imps FC 0-0 Mjallby AIFUEFA Champions League
LMjallby AIF 3-0 Lincoln Red Imps FCUEFA Champions League
DInter Club d'Escaldes 1-1 Lincoln Red Imps FCUEFA Champions League

Larne

Larne come into this game with 0 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 1 and conceding 10. They are unbeaten in 3. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at FK Crvena Zvezda.

DColeraine FC 0-0 LarnePremiership
DSaburtalo 1-1 LarneUEFA Europa League
DLarne 0-0 SaburtaloUEFA Europa League
LFK Crvena Zvezda 5-0 LarneUEFA Champions League
LLarne 0-4 FK Crvena ZvezdaUEFA Champions League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Lincoln Red Imps FC at 48% to win and Larne at 22%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Lincoln Red Imps FC win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	30%	@ 3.40	+0.3%
Lincoln Red Imps FC Win	48%	@ 2.00	-4.0%
Larne Win	22%	@ 3.60	-18.9%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lincoln Red Imps FC or Draw at 1.28 (75% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Lincoln Red Imps FC or Draw	75%	@ 1.28	-3.8%
Larne or Draw	50%	@ 1.77	-11.9%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-0.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	32%	@ 3.40	+9.3%
Over 2.5	54%	@ 1.95	+6.2%
Over 1.5	78%	@ 1.30	+1.3%
Under 3.5	68%	@ 1.30	-11.8%
Under 2.5	46%	@ 1.83	-16.7%
Under 1.5	22%	@ 3.35	-25.9%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	53%	@ 1.95	+4.0%
BTTS Yes	47%	@ 1.73	-19.3%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	61%
Dixon-Coles	Home	73%
GradientBoosting	Draw	36%

Two of our three models agree; the third sees it differently. A reasonable but not maximal signal.

Expected goals: 1.60 for the home side, 1.05 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (8%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with 78% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 2.5 goals at 1.95 (+6.2% value).

Who is the favourite for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne?

Our model makes a Lincoln Red Imps FC win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 2.1-0.8 scoreline for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne.

What is the predicted score for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.08 for Lincoln Red Imps FC and 0.78 for Larne. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Lincoln Red Imps FC and Larne play?

Kick-off is Thursday 20 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.