Lincoln Red Imps FC
Larne⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 20 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.
Result: Lincoln Red Imps FC 0-2 Larne
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne finished 0-2. Larne won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Lincoln Red Imps FC face Larne in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 20 August 2026, 16:00 UTC. In their last 4 meetings, Lincoln Red Imps FC won 2, Larne won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Lincoln Red Imps FC win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 2.1-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.9% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 12.4% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 8.6% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Lincoln Red Imps FC with a +0.75 start at odds 1.25, with a 79% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Lincoln Red Imps FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points no (53%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 4 meetings between Lincoln Red Imps FC and Larne. Wins shown from Lincoln Red Imps FC’s perspective: Lincoln Red Imps FC 2 · Larne 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Larne | 0 – 2 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | W |
| 2026-08-20 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 0 – 2 | Larne | L |
| 2024-08-29 | Larne | 3 – 1 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | L |
| 2024-08-22 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 – 1 | Larne | W |
📈 Recent form
Lincoln Red Imps FC come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Europa Point. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at home to Larne.
- DMons Calpe 1-1 Lincoln Red Imps FCPremier Division
- WLincoln Red Imps FC 4-0 Europa PointPremier Division
- WGlacis United 0-2 Lincoln Red Imps FCPremier Division
- WLarne 0-2 Lincoln Red Imps FCUEFA Europa Conference
- LLincoln Red Imps FC 0-2 LarneUEFA Europa Conference
Larne come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at Carrick Rangers. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WCarrick Rangers 2-5 LarnePremiership
- WLarne 2-0 Cliftonville FCPremiership
- WPortadown 0-2 LarnePremiership
- WLarne 1-0 BangorPremiership
- WLarne 2-1 GlentoranPremiership
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Lincoln Red Imps FC at 48% to win and Larne at 22%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Lincoln Red Imps FC win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln Red Imps FC Win | 48% | 46% | @ 2.02 |
| Draw | 30% | 28% | @ 3.30 |
| Larne Win | 22% | 27% | @ 3.45 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lincoln Red Imps FC or Draw at 1.25 (75% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln Red Imps FC or Draw | 75% | 73% | @ 1.25 |
| Larne or Draw | 50% | 54% | @ 1.68 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-0.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 73% | @ 1.26 |
| Under 3.5 | 68% | 70% | @ 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 50% | @ 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 50% | @ 1.82 |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 30% | @ 3.10 |
| Under 1.5 | 22% | 27% | @ 3.40 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 53%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 53% | 45% | @ 2.02 |
| BTTS Yes | 47% | 55% | @ 1.68 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Lincoln Red Imps FC or Larne is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln Red Imps FC +1.75 | 92% | 86% | @ 1.10 |
| Lincoln Red Imps FC +1.5 | 91% | – | 1.08 |
| Lincoln Red Imps FC +1.25 | 87% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Lincoln Red Imps FC +1 | 83% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Larne +2 | 81% | 86% | 1.11 |
| Lincoln Red Imps FC +0.75 | 79% | – | 1.25 |
| Larne +1.75 | 78% | 79% | 1.20 |
| Lincoln Red Imps FC +0.5 | 75% | 72% | 1.29 |
| Larne +1.5 | 74% | 74% | 1.26 |
| Lincoln Red Imps FC +0.25 | 69% | 70% | 1.33 |
| Larne +1.25 | 68% | 70% | 1.33 |
| Lincoln Red Imps FC 0 | 63% | 65% | 1.45 |
| Larne +1 | 62% | 66% | 1.42 |
| Lincoln Red Imps FC -0.25 | 56% | 56% | 1.69 |
| Larne +0.75 | 56% | 58% | 1.64 |
| Lincoln Red Imps FC -0.5 | 50% | 48% | 1.95 |
| Larne +0.5 | 50% | 52% | 1.81 |
| Lincoln Red Imps FC -0.75 | 44% | 42% | 2.23 |
| Larne +0.25 | 44% | 44% | 2.13 |
| Lincoln Red Imps FC -1 | 38% | 34% | @ 2.78 |
| Larne 0 | 37% | 35% | 2.64 |
| Lincoln Red Imps FC -1.25 | 32% | 30% | @ 3.15 |
| Larne -0.25 | 31% | 30% | 3.19 |
| Lincoln Red Imps FC -1.5 | 26% | 26% | 3.58 |
| Larne -0.5 | 25% | 28% | 3.36 |
| Lincoln Red Imps FC -1.75 | 22% | 21% | 4.40 |
| Lincoln Red Imps FC -2 | 19% | 14% | @ 6.60 |
| Larne -1 | 17% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Larne -1.25 | 13% | 14% | 7.00 |
| Larne -1.75 | 8% | 14% | 6.80 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne?
Our model's main pick is Lincoln Red Imps FC with a +0.75 start at odds 1.25, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 80%.
Who is the favourite for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne?
Our model makes a Lincoln Red Imps FC win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 2.1-0.8 scoreline for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne.
What is the predicted score for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.08 for Lincoln Red Imps FC and 0.78 for Larne. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Lincoln Red Imps FC and Larne play?
Kick-off is Thursday 20 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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