⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Tromso vs Brighton Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Tromso vs Brighton in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 20 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Tromso 0-0 Brighton

Tromso vs Brighton finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Tromso face Brighton in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 20 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 47%, projecting a 1.2-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Tromso vs Brighton with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.41

86%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.19 – 0.81 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.5%	11.0%	4.4%	1.2%	0.2%
1	16.1%	13.0%	5.3%	1.4%	0.3%
2	9.6%	7.8%	3.1%	0.8%	0.2%
3	3.8%	3.1%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%
4	1.1%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Tromso winDrawBrighton win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Tromso vs Brighton is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.41, the selection our model is most confident in at 86%. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 47%. Goals lean under 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points no (61%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Tromso with a +0.25 start at odds 2.87 (+47.1% model value).

Best value

Tromso +0.25 at odds 2.87, 51% model probability, +47.1% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Tromso 21%Draw 47%Brighton 32%

21%47%32%

47%

Draw

68%

Under 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS no

+47.1%

Best value: Tromso +0.25

📈 Recent form

Tromso

Tromso come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at CFR 1907 Cluj. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Molde.

DTromso 0-0 BrightonUEFA Europa Conference
LMolde 3-2 TromsoEliteserien
WTromso 2-1 CFR 1907 ClujUEFA Europa Conference
WCFR 1907 Cluj 0-5 TromsoUEFA Europa Conference
WAalesund 2-6 TromsoEliteserien

Brighton

Brighton come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to AS Roma. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at home to Manchester United.

DTromso 0-0 BrightonUEFA Europa Conference
WBrighton 1-0 BolognaFriendlies Clubs
WBrighton 3-0 AS RomaFriendlies Clubs
WBrighton 4-3 StrasbourgFriendlies Clubs
LBrighton 0-3 Manchester UnitedPremier League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Tromso at 21% to win and Brighton at 32%, with the draw at 47%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	47%	@ 3.92	+83.6%
Tromso Win	21%	@ 5.17	+10.5%
Brighton Win	32%	@ 1.57	-50.1%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Tromso or Draw at 2.26 (58% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Tromso or Draw	58%	@ 2.26	+31.0%
Brighton or Draw	68%	@ 1.15	-21.8%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 68% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	41%	@ 4.07	+65.1%
Under 2.5	68%	@ 2.08	+40.4%
Under 3.5	86%	@ 1.41	+21.0%
Over 1.5	59%	@ 1.21	-28.1%
Over 2.5	32%	@ 1.71	-44.8%
Over 3.5	14%	@ 2.74	-60.9%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	61%	@ 1.96	+20.0%
BTTS Yes	39%	@ 1.74	-32.6%

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Tromso or Brighton is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Tromso -0.75	27%	@ 7.00	+89.4%
Tromso 0	45%	@ 4.15	+86.0%
Tromso -0.25	38%	@ 4.65	+77.9%
Tromso +0.25	51%	@ 2.87	+47.1%
Tromso +0.5	58%	@ 2.33	+34.7%
Tromso +0.75	63%	@ 2.08	+31.9%
Tromso +1	69%	@ 1.81	+24.8%
Tromso +1.25	74%	@ 1.60	+19.5%
Tromso +1.5	80%	@ 1.48	+18.2%
Tromso +1.75	83%	@ 1.35	+12.6%
Tromso +2	86%	@ 1.24	+7.0%
Brighton +0.75	73%	1.10	-19.8%
Brighton +0.5	68%	1.15	-21.5%
Brighton +0.25	62%	1.18	-27.1%
Brighton -0.25	49%	1.40	-31.9%
Brighton 0	55%	1.22	-32.7%
Brighton -0.5	42%	1.56	-34.2%
Brighton -0.75	37%	1.74	-36.5%
Brighton -1	31%	1.99	-38.1%
Brighton -1.25	26%	2.31	-41.2%
Brighton -2	14%	3.90	-46.4%
Brighton -1.75	17%	3.11	-47.5%
Brighton -1.5	20%	2.53	-49.3%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tromso vs Brighton?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.41, with 86% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Tromso with a +0.25 start at 2.87 (+47.1% value).

Who is the favourite for Tromso vs Brighton?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.2-0.8 scoreline for Tromso vs Brighton.

What is the predicted score for Tromso vs Brighton?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.19 for Tromso and 0.81 for Brighton. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Tromso and Brighton play?

Kick-off is Thursday 20 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.