⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Gornik Zabrze face Monaco in the UEFA Europa Conference League, kicking off Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 61%, projecting a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.42

70%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.62 – 1.16 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.2%	7.2%	4.2%	1.6%	0.5%
1	10.1%	11.7%	6.8%	2.6%	0.8%
2	8.1%	9.4%	5.5%	2.1%	0.6%
3	4.4%	5.1%	3.0%	1.1%	0.3%
4	1.8%	2.1%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Gornik Zabrze winDrawMonaco win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.42, the selection our model is most confident in at 70%. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 61%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (55%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Gornik Zabrze or Draw at odds 2.40 (+50.0% model value).

Best value

Gornik Zabrze or Draw at odds 2.40, 62% model probability, +50.0% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Gornik Zabrze 19%Draw 61%Monaco 20%

19%61%20%

61%

Draw

53%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

+50.0%

Best value: Gornik Zabrze or Draw

📈 Recent form

Gornik Zabrze

Gornik Zabrze come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Radomiak Radom. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Ferencvarosi TC.

WGornik Zabrze 2-1 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
DGornik Zabrze 1-1 Ferencvarosi TCUEFA Europa League
WRadomiak Radom 1-3 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
LFerencvarosi TC 1-0 Gornik ZabrzeUEFA Europa League
DGornik Zabrze 1-1 FenerbahçeUEFA Champions League

Monaco

Monaco come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at Liverpool. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Coventry.

LCoventry 2-0 MonacoFriendlies Clubs
WLiverpool 2-3 MonacoFriendlies Clubs
WMonaco 1-0 GetafeFriendlies Clubs
DMonaco 2-2 Cercle BruggeFriendlies Clubs
LSporting CP 2-0 MonacoFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Gornik Zabrze at 19% to win and Monaco at 20%, with the draw at 61%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	61%	@ 4.20	+156.3%
Gornik Zabrze Win	19%	@ 5.70	+7.0%
Monaco Win	20%	@ 1.53	-69.1%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Gornik Zabrze or Draw at 2.40 (62% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Gornik Zabrze or Draw	62%	@ 2.40	+50.0%
Monaco or Draw	64%	@ 1.13	-27.8%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 2.5	47%	@ 2.10	-0.4%
Under 3.5	70%	@ 1.42	-1.1%
Under 1.5	24%	@ 4.20	-1.5%
Over 1.5	76%	@ 1.22	-6.6%
Over 2.5	53%	@ 1.73	-9.0%
Over 3.5	30%	@ 2.80	-15.0%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	55%	@ 1.77	-2.6%
BTTS No	45%	@ 1.91	-14.1%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	48%
GradientBoosting	Draw	73%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.28 for the home side, 1.31 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.42, with 70% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Gornik Zabrze or Draw at 2.40 (+50.0% value).

Who is the favourite for Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 61%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco.

What is the predicted score for Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.62 for Gornik Zabrze and 1.16 for Monaco. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Gornik Zabrze and Monaco play?

Kick-off is Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.