⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League
Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Result: Gornik Zabrze 2-3 Monaco
Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco finished 2-3. Monaco won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Gornik Zabrze face Monaco in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Monaco won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 61%, projecting a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 11.7% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 8.1% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Gornik Zabrze with a +2 start at odds 1.26, with a 89% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 61%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (55%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Gornik Zabrze and Monaco. Wins shown from Gornik Zabrze’s perspective: Monaco 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Monaco | 4 – 1 | Gornik Zabrze | L |
| 2026-08-20 | Gornik Zabrze | 2 – 3 | Monaco | L |
📈 Recent form
Gornik Zabrze come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Korona Kielce.
- DMotor Lublin 0-0 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
- WKorona Kielce 0-2 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
- WGornik Zabrze 2-1 Lech PoznanEkstraklasa
- WCracovia Krakow 0-1 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
- WRaków Częstochowa 1-2 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
Monaco come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Gornik Zabrze. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WMonaco 2-1 LensLigue 1
- DStrasbourg 1-1 MonacoLigue 1
- WParis Saint-Germain 1-2 MonacoLigue 1
- WMonaco 2-0 MarseilleLigue 1
- WMonaco 4-1 Gornik ZabrzeUEFA Europa Conference
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Gornik Zabrze at 19% to win and Monaco at 20%, with the draw at 61%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 61% | 22% | @ 4.25 |
| Monaco Win | 20% | 60% | @ 1.56 |
| Gornik Zabrze Win | 19% | 17% | @ 5.40 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Monaco or Draw at 1.12 (64% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco or Draw | 64% | 83% | @ 1.12 |
| Gornik Zabrze or Draw | 62% | 40% | @ 2.28 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 75% | @ 1.22 |
| Under 3.5 | 70% | 67% | @ 1.37 |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 54% | @ 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 46% | @ 1.98 |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 33% | @ 2.75 |
| Under 1.5 | 24% | 25% | @ 3.70 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 52% | @ 1.77 |
| BTTS No | 45% | 48% | @ 1.91 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Gornik Zabrze or Monaco is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gornik Zabrze +2 | 89% | 75% | @ 1.26 |
| Gornik Zabrze +1.75 | 86% | 67% | @ 1.40 |
| Gornik Zabrze +1.5 | 83% | 61% | @ 1.52 |
| Gornik Zabrze +1.25 | 78% | 56% | @ 1.68 |
| Gornik Zabrze +1 | 73% | 50% | @ 1.89 |
| Monaco +0.75 | 69% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Gornik Zabrze +0.75 | 68% | 44% | @ 2.15 |
| Monaco +0.5 | 64% | – | 1.16 |
| Gornik Zabrze +0.5 | 62% | 39% | @ 2.38 |
| Monaco +0.25 | 57% | 80% | 1.18 |
| Gornik Zabrze +0.25 | 56% | 32% | @ 2.93 |
| Monaco 0 | 51% | 77% | 1.22 |
| Gornik Zabrze 0 | 49% | 23% | @ 4.15 |
| Monaco -0.25 | 44% | 68% | 1.39 |
| Gornik Zabrze -0.25 | 43% | 20% | @ 4.65 |
| Monaco -0.5 | 38% | 61% | 1.53 |
| Monaco -0.75 | 32% | 56% | 1.69 |
| Gornik Zabrze -0.75 | 31% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Monaco -1 | 27% | 50% | 1.90 |
| Monaco -1.25 | 22% | 44% | 2.17 |
| Monaco -1.5 | 17% | 39% | 2.42 |
| Monaco -1.75 | 14% | 33% | 2.89 |
| Monaco -2 | 11% | 25% | 3.70 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco?
Our model's main pick is Gornik Zabrze with a +2 start at odds 1.26, with a 89% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco?
Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 61%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco.
What is the predicted score for Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.62 for Gornik Zabrze and 1.16 for Monaco. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Gornik Zabrze and Monaco play?
Kick-off is Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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