Thu 20 Aug0-0Finished
Hapoel Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Result: Atalanta 0-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv

Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Atalanta face Hapoel Tel Aviv in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Atalanta won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 61%, projecting a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Hapoel Tel Aviv +2 @ 2.03
89%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.65 – 1.16 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 6.0% 7.0% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
1 9.9% 11.5% 6.7% 2.6% 0.7%
2 8.2% 9.5% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6%
3 4.5% 5.2% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3%
4 1.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
Atalanta winDrawHapoel Tel Aviv win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Hapoel Tel Aviv with a +2 start at odds 2.03, with a 89% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 61%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (55%).

📊 Key numbers

Atalanta 19%Draw 61%Hapoel Tel Aviv 20%
19%61%20%
61%
Draw
53%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Atalanta and Hapoel Tel Aviv. Wins shown from Atalanta’s perspective: Atalanta 1 · 1 drawn.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-08-27 Hapoel Tel Aviv 0 – 1 Atalanta W
2026-08-20 Atalanta 0 – 0 Hapoel Tel Aviv D

📈 Recent form

Atalanta

Atalanta come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Bologna. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Juventus.

  • LJuventus 2-0 AtalantaSerie A
  • LAtalanta 1-2 CagliariSerie A
  • LAS Roma 2-1 AtalantaSerie A
  • WAtalanta 1-0 BolognaSerie A
  • WHapoel Tel Aviv 0-1 AtalantaUEFA Europa Conference
Hapoel Tel Aviv

Hapoel Tel Aviv come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Hapoel Ramat Gan. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Maccabi Tel Aviv.

  • LMaccabi Tel Aviv 4-1 Hapoel Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
  • WHapoel Tel Aviv 4-0 Hapoel Ramat GanLigat Ha'al
  • WHapoel Tel Aviv 3-0 Beitar JerusalemLigat Ha'al
  • DHapoel Haifa 0-0 Hapoel Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
  • LHapoel Tel Aviv 0-1 AtalantaUEFA Europa Conference

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Atalanta at 19% to win and Hapoel Tel Aviv at 20%, with the draw at 61%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Draw 61% 12% @ 7.50
Hapoel Tel Aviv Win 20% 7% @ 13.00
Atalanta Win 19% 81% @ 1.14

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Hapoel Tel Aviv or Draw at 3.65 (64% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Hapoel Tel Aviv or Draw 64% 19% @ 3.65
Atalanta or Draw 63% 93% @ 1.03

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 77% 85% @ 1.08
Under 3.5 69% 50% @ 1.84
Over 2.5 53% 69% @ 1.32
Under 2.5 47% 31% @ 3.00
Over 3.5 31% 50% @ 1.83
Under 1.5 23% 15% @ 6.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 55% 49% @ 1.89
BTTS No 45% 51% @ 1.78

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Atalanta or Hapoel Tel Aviv is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Hapoel Tel Aviv +2 89% 47% @ 2.03
Hapoel Tel Aviv +1.75 87% 41% @ 2.29
Hapoel Tel Aviv +1.5 84% 37% @ 2.50
Hapoel Tel Aviv +1.25 79% 31% @ 3.07
Hapoel Tel Aviv +0.75 69% 21% @ 4.50
Hapoel Tel Aviv +0.25 57% 14% @ 6.80
Atalanta -0.25 43% 86% 1.10
Atalanta -0.5 36% – 1.16
Atalanta -0.75 31% 79% 1.19
Atalanta -1 26% – 1.25
Atalanta -1.25 21% 69% 1.35
Atalanta -1.5 16% 63% 1.48
Atalanta -1.75 13% 59% 1.61
Atalanta -2 11% 53% 1.77

📈 How the market moved

3%44%85%08/1808/1908/20

Atalanta 81%Draw 13%Hapoel Tel Aviv 7%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

Our model's main pick is Hapoel Tel Aviv with a +2 start at odds 2.03, with a 89% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 47%.

Who is the favourite for Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 61%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv.

What is the predicted score for Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.65 for Atalanta and 1.16 for Hapoel Tel Aviv. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Atalanta and Hapoel Tel Aviv play?

Kick-off is Thursday 20 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.