⚽ Ligue 1

Angers vs Lille Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Angers vs Lille in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Angers face Lille in the Ligue 1, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 13:00 UTC. In their last 4 meetings, Lille won 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Lille win the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 0.8-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Angers vs Lille with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.30

78%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.85 – 1.52 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	14.2%	10.8%	5.5%	2.1%
1	7.9%	12.1%	9.2%	4.7%	1.8%
2	3.4%	5.1%	3.9%	2.0%	0.8%
3	1.0%	1.5%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-1

Angers winDrawLille win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Angers vs Lille is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 78%. On the match result, the model rates a Lille win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean under 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points no (55%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.83 (+5.7% model value).

Best value

Under 2.5 at odds 1.83, 58% model probability, +5.7% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Angers 19%Draw 29%Lille 52%

19%29%52%

52%

Lille Win

58%

Under 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS no

+5.7%

Best value: Under 2.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Angers and Lille. Wins shown from Angers’s perspective: Lille 4.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-02-22	Angers	0 – 1	Lille	L
2025-11-02	Lille	1 – 0	Angers	L
2025-04-27	Angers	0 – 2	Lille	L
2024-08-24	Lille	2 – 0	Angers	L

📈 Recent form

Angers

Angers come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Les Herbiers. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at home to Le Mans.

WAngers 3-2 Paris FCFriendlies Clubs
WAngers 2-1 LorientFriendlies Clubs
LAngers 2-3 Le MansFriendlies Clubs
WAngers 2-1 CreteilFriendlies Clubs
WAngers 3-1 Les HerbiersFriendlies Clubs

Lille

Lille come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 8. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 6-3 at OH Leuven. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at home to Auxerre.

DEverton 1-1 LilleFriendlies Clubs
DHamburger SV 2-2 LilleFriendlies Clubs
WOH Leuven 3-6 LilleFriendlies Clubs
WLille 3-0 RAAL La LouvièreFriendlies Clubs
LLille 0-2 AuxerreLigue 1

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Angers

H. BelkeblaThigh Injury

Lille

B. AndreSuspended (cards)
M. Fernandez-PardoSuspended (cards)
H. IgamaneKnee Injury
T. NianzouInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Angers at 19% to win and Lille at 52%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Lille win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	29%	@ 3.65	+5.2%
Angers Win	19%	@ 4.85	-9.6%
Lille Win	52%	@ 1.69	-11.2%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Angers or Draw at 2.10 (45% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Angers or Draw	45%	@ 2.10	-5.7%
Lille or Draw	79%	@ 1.17	-7.8%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.8-1.5 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 2.5	58%	@ 1.83	+5.7%
Under 1.5	32%	@ 3.35	+5.5%
Under 3.5	78%	@ 1.30	+2.0%
Over 1.5	68%	@ 1.30	-11.0%
Over 2.5	42%	@ 1.95	-17.6%
Over 3.5	22%	@ 3.40	-26.9%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	55%	@ 1.85	+2.3%
BTTS Yes	45%	@ 1.85	-17.3%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Away	50%
Dixon-Coles	Away	56%
GradientBoosting	Away	52%

All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.

Expected goals: 0.97 for the home side, 1.73 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (16%), 0-2 (13%), 1-1 (12%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Angers vs Lille?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with 78% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 2.5 goals at 1.83 (+5.7% value).

Who is the favourite for Angers vs Lille?

Our model makes a Lille win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 0.8-1.5 scoreline for Angers vs Lille.

What is the predicted score for Angers vs Lille?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.85 for Angers and 1.52 for Lille. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Angers and Lille play?

Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.