Sun 23 Aug0-2Finished

⚽ Ligue 1

Angers vs Lille Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Angers vs Lille in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Angers 0-2 Lille

Angers vs Lille finished 0-2. Lille won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Angers face Lille in the upcoming Ligue 1 tips, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 13:00 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Lille won 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Lille win the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 0.8-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Angers vs Lille with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.30

78%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.85 – 1.53 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	14.2%	10.8%	5.5%	2.1%
1	7.9%	12.0%	9.2%	4.7%	1.8%
2	3.3%	5.1%	3.9%	2.0%	0.8%
3	0.9%	1.4%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-1

Angers winDrawLille win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Angers vs Lille comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Lille win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean under 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points no (55%).

📊 Key numbers

Angers 19%Draw 29%Lille 52%

19%29%52%

52%

Lille Win

58%

Under 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Angers and Lille. Wins shown from Angers’s perspective: Lille 5.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-23	Angers	0 – 2	Lille	L
2026-02-22	Angers	0 – 1	Lille	L
2025-11-02	Lille	1 – 0	Angers	L
2025-04-27	Angers	0 – 2	Lille	L
2024-08-24	Lille	2 – 0	Angers	L

📈 Recent form

Angers

Angers come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Estac Troyes. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Rennes.

WAngers 2-0 Estac TroyesLigue 1
DLe Havre 0-0 AngersLigue 1
LAngers 1-2 RennesLigue 1
WAuxerre 1-3 AngersLigue 1
LAngers 0-2 LilleLigue 1

Lille

Lille come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Estac Troyes. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Nice.

LNice 2-1 LilleLigue 1
WLille 2-0 Estac TroyesLigue 1
LLille 2-3 Real BetisUEFA Champions League
WToulouse 0-1 LilleLigue 1
DLille 2-2 Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Angers

H. BelkeblaThigh Injury
L. MoutonKnee Injury

Lille

B. AndreSuspended (cards)
M. Fernandez-PardoSuspended (cards)
H. IgamaneKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Angers at 19% to win and Lille at 52%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Lille win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lille Win	52%	56%	@ 1.67
Draw	29%	26%	@ 3.60
Angers Win	19%	18%	@ 5.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lille or Draw at 1.15 (79% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lille or Draw	79%	82%	@ 1.15
Angers or Draw	45%	44%	@ 2.14

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.8-1.5 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	78%	72%	@ 1.30
Over 1.5	69%	73%	@ 1.29
Under 2.5	58%	51%	@ 1.84
Over 2.5	42%	49%	@ 1.95
Under 1.5	31%	27%	@ 3.50
Over 3.5	22%	28%	@ 3.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	55%	50%	@ 1.85
BTTS Yes	45%	50%	@ 1.87

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Angers or Lille is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lille +0.75	82%	86%	1.11
Lille +0.5	79%	80%	1.18
Angers +2	78%	82%	1.16
Angers +1.75	74%	75%	1.27
Lille +0.25	73%	78%	1.23
Angers +1.5	69%	68%	1.39
Lille 0	67%	74%	1.28
Angers +1.25	63%	64%	1.49
Lille -0.25	61%	64%	1.50
Angers +1	57%	59%	1.63
Lille -0.5	55%	56%	1.68
Angers +0.75	51%	50%	1.93
Lille -0.75	49%	50%	1.95
Angers +0.5	45%	44%	2.14
Lille -1	43%	41%	2.31
Angers +0.25	39%	36%	@ 2.63
Lille -1.25	37%	36%	2.67
Angers 0	33%	26%	@ 3.72
Lille -1.5	31%	32%	2.90
Angers -0.25	27%	22%	@ 4.30
Lille -1.75	26%	25%	3.73
Lille -2	22%	18%	@ 5.25
Angers -0.5	21%	20%	@ 4.80
Angers -0.75	18%	14%	@ 6.60

📈 How the market moved

Angers 19%Draw 26%Lille 56%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Angers vs Lille?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.

Who is the favourite for Angers vs Lille?

Our model makes a Lille win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 0.8-1.5 scoreline for Angers vs Lille.

What is the predicted score for Angers vs Lille?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.85 for Angers and 1.53 for Lille. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Angers and Lille play?

Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.