Sun 23 Aug1-0Finished

⚽ La Liga

Getafe vs Racing Santander Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Getafe vs Racing Santander in the La Liga. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Getafe 1-0 Racing Santander

Getafe vs Racing Santander finished 1-0. Getafe won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Getafe face Racing Santander in the upcoming La Liga tips, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 17:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Racing Santander win the most likely result at 43%, projecting a 1.1-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Getafe vs Racing Santander with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Racing Santander +1 @ 1.29

82%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.15 – 1.08 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.8%	11.6%	6.3%	2.3%	0.6%
1	12.4%	13.4%	7.2%	2.6%	0.7%
2	7.1%	7.7%	4.1%	1.5%	0.4%
3	2.7%	2.9%	1.6%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.8%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-1

Getafe winDrawRacing Santander win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Getafe vs Racing Santander comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Racing Santander with a +1 start at odds 1.29, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Racing Santander win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 43%. Goals lean under 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points no (55%).

📊 Key numbers

Getafe 22%Draw 36%Racing Santander 43%

22%36%43%

43%

Racing Santander Win

62%

Under 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Getafe

Getafe come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Málaga. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Real Betis.

WGetafe 1-0 MálagaLa Liga
LReal Betis 1-0 GetafeLa Liga
DGetafe 1-1 Deportivo La CoruñaLa Liga
DGetafe 1-1 Celta VigoLa Liga
LOsasuna 1-0 GetafeLa Liga

Racing Santander

Racing Santander come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 18. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Alavés. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Celta Vigo.

LCelta Vigo 5-0 Racing SantanderLa Liga
LBarcelona 7-2 Racing SantanderLa Liga
WRacing Santander 2-1 AlavésLa Liga
LRayo Vallecano 3-2 Racing SantanderLa Liga
WRacing Santander 3-2 ElcheLa Liga

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Getafe

JuanmiInjury
Kiko FemeniaSuspended (red card)
M. MartinThigh Injury
C. UcheKnee Injury

Racing Santander

G. GuliashviliLeg Injury
Pedro FelipeHamstring Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Getafe at 22% to win and Racing Santander at 43%, with the draw at 36%. Our model makes a Racing Santander win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Racing Santander Win	43%	24%	@ 3.90
Draw	36%	33%	@ 2.85
Getafe Win	22%	42%	@ 2.23

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Racing Santander or Draw at 1.64 (73% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Racing Santander or Draw	73%	58%	@ 1.64
Getafe or Draw	52%	76%	@ 1.24

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	81%	84%	@ 1.12
Over 1.5	65%	59%	@ 1.60
Under 2.5	62%	67%	@ 1.40
Over 2.5	38%	33%	@ 2.90
Under 1.5	35%	41%	@ 2.32
Over 3.5	19%	16%	@ 6.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	55%	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS Yes	45%	41%	@ 2.28

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Getafe or Racing Santander is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Racing Santander +1.75	92%	85%	@ 1.12
Racing Santander +1.5	90%	79%	@ 1.17
Racing Santander +1.25	86%	77%	@ 1.24
Racing Santander +1	82%	74%	@ 1.29
Racing Santander +0.75	78%	64%	@ 1.50
Racing Santander +0.5	73%	57%	@ 1.67
Racing Santander +0.25	67%	48%	@ 2.00
Racing Santander 0	61%	37%	@ 2.60
Getafe +0.75	58%	–	1.18
Racing Santander -0.25	54%	30%	@ 3.21
Getafe +0.5	52%	74%	1.27
Racing Santander -0.5	48%	26%	@ 3.69
Getafe +0.25	46%	70%	1.36
Getafe 0	39%	63%	1.50
Getafe -0.25	33%	52%	1.88
Getafe -0.5	27%	43%	2.18
Getafe -0.75	22%	36%	2.65
Getafe -1	18%	26%	3.61
Getafe -1.25	14%	23%	4.18
Getafe -1.5	10%	21%	4.53
Getafe -1.75	8%	15%	6.40

📈 How the market moved

Getafe 43%Draw 33%Racing Santander 24%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Getafe vs Racing Santander?

Our model's main pick is Racing Santander with a +1 start at odds 1.29, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for Getafe vs Racing Santander?

Our model makes a Racing Santander win the most likely result at 43%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.1 scoreline for Getafe vs Racing Santander.

What is the predicted score for Getafe vs Racing Santander?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.15 for Getafe and 1.08 for Racing Santander. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Getafe and Racing Santander play?

Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.