Sun 23 Aug1-2Finished

⚽ Serie A

Torino vs AC Milan Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Torino vs AC Milan in the Serie A. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Torino 1-2 AC Milan

Torino vs AC Milan finished 1-2. AC Milan won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Torino face AC Milan in the upcoming Serie A tips, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Torino won 1, AC Milan won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an AC Milan win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.1-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Torino vs AC Milan with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Torino +1.75 @ 1.25

79%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.10 – 1.57 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.9%	10.9%	8.5%	4.5%	1.8%
1	7.6%	12.0%	9.4%	4.9%	1.9%
2	4.2%	6.6%	5.2%	2.7%	1.1%
3	1.5%	2.4%	1.9%	1.0%	0.4%
4	0.4%	0.7%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Torino winDrawAC Milan win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Torino vs AC Milan comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Torino with a +1.75 start at odds 1.25, with a 79% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an AC Milan win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean under 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points yes (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Torino 26%Draw 28%AC Milan 46%

26%28%46%

46%

AC Milan Win

50%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Torino and AC Milan. Wins shown from Torino’s perspective: Torino 1 · 1 drawn · AC Milan 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-23	Torino	1 – 2	AC Milan	L
2026-03-21	AC Milan	3 – 2	Torino	L
2025-12-08	Torino	2 – 3	AC Milan	L
2025-02-22	Torino	2 – 1	AC Milan	W
2024-08-17	AC Milan	2 – 2	Torino	D

📈 Recent form

Torino

Torino come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Fiorentina. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to AS Roma.

DBologna 1-1 TorinoSerie A
LTorino 0-2 AS RomaSerie A
WFiorentina 1-2 TorinoSerie A
LTorino 0-1 MonzaCoppa Italia
LSassuolo 2-1 TorinoSerie A

AC Milan

AC Milan come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Lecce. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at home to Benfica.

WAC Milan 3-0 LecceSerie A
LAC Milan 0-2 BenficaUEFA Europa League
DLazio 2-2 AC MilanSerie A
DJuventus 1-1 AC MilanSerie A
WAC Milan 2-0 VeneziaSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Torino

F. AnjorinHip Injury
E. ComertSuspended (red card)
F. IsraelShoulder Injury
P. PellegriKnee Injury

AC Milan

Y. FofanaTransfer negotiations
S. GimenezAnkle Injury
R. LeaoMuscle Injury
C. NkunkuNot in squad
F. TomoriTransfer negotiations

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Torino at 26% to win and AC Milan at 46%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes an AC Milan win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
AC Milan Win	46%	52%	@ 1.78
Draw	28%	27%	@ 3.50
Torino Win	26%	21%	@ 4.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is AC Milan or Draw at 1.19 (73% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
AC Milan or Draw	73%	79%	@ 1.19
Torino or Draw	52%	48%	@ 1.98

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	74%	@ 1.27
Under 3.5	72%	71%	@ 1.33
Under 2.5	50%	50%	@ 1.88
Over 2.5	50%	50%	@ 1.91
Over 3.5	28%	29%	@ 3.30
Under 1.5	25%	26%	@ 3.65

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	52%	52%	@ 1.79
BTTS No	48%	48%	@ 1.96

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Torino or AC Milan is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Torino +2	83%	83%	1.15
Torino +1.75	79%	76%	1.25
AC Milan +0.75	77%	84%	1.13
Torino +1.5	76%	70%	@ 1.34
AC Milan +0.5	73%	–	1.21
Torino +1.25	70%	66%	@ 1.44
AC Milan +0.25	67%	76%	1.26
Torino +1	64%	61%	1.55
AC Milan 0	60%	72%	1.33
Torino +0.75	58%	53%	@ 1.81
AC Milan -0.25	54%	61%	1.55
Torino +0.5	52%	47%	@ 2.04
AC Milan -0.5	48%	53%	1.80
Torino +0.25	46%	39%	@ 2.45
AC Milan -0.75	42%	47%	2.06
Torino 0	40%	28%	@ 3.42
AC Milan -1	36%	39%	2.48
Torino -0.25	33%	24%	@ 3.92
AC Milan -1.25	30%	34%	2.82
AC Milan -1.5	24%	30%	3.19
Torino -0.75	23%	16%	@ 5.90
AC Milan -1.75	21%	24%	4.00
AC Milan -2	17%	17%	5.50

📈 How the market moved

Torino 21%Draw 26%AC Milan 53%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Torino vs AC Milan?

Our model's main pick is Torino with a +1.75 start at odds 1.25, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.

Who is the favourite for Torino vs AC Milan?

Our model makes an AC Milan win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.6 scoreline for Torino vs AC Milan.

What is the predicted score for Torino vs AC Milan?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.10 for Torino and 1.57 for AC Milan. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Torino and AC Milan play?

Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.