⚽ Ligue 1
Paris Saint-Germain vs Rennes Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Paris Saint-Germain vs Rennes in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Result: Paris Saint-Germain 2-2 Rennes
Paris Saint-Germain vs Rennes finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Paris Saint-Germain face Rennes in the upcoming Ligue 1 tips, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Paris Saint-Germain won 3, Rennes won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Paris Saint-Germain win the most likely result at 61%, projecting a 2.4-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Paris Saint-Germain vs Rennes with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 7.8% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Paris Saint-Germain vs Rennes comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Paris Saint-Germain with a +2 start at odds 1.32, with a 96% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Paris Saint-Germain win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 61%. Goals lean over 2.5 (70%), both teams to score points yes (64%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Paris Saint-Germain and Rennes. Wins shown from Paris Saint-Germain’s perspective: Paris Saint-Germain 3 · 1 drawn · Rennes 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Paris Saint-Germain | 2 – 2 | Rennes | D |
| 2026-02-13 | Rennes | 3 – 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | L |
| 2025-12-06 | Paris Saint-Germain | 5 – 0 | Rennes | W |
| 2025-03-08 | Rennes | 1 – 4 | Paris Saint-Germain | W |
| 2024-09-27 | Paris Saint-Germain | 3 – 1 | Rennes | W |
📈 Recent form
Paris Saint-Germain come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 6-1 at home to Slovan Bratislava. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Monaco.
- WMarseille 1-2 Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1
- WBrest 0-1 Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1
- WParis Saint-Germain 6-1 Slovan BratislavaUEFA Champions League
- LParis Saint-Germain 1-2 MonacoLigue 1
- DLille 2-2 Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1
Rennes come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Marseille. Their only defeat in that run was 0-4 at Lyon.
- LLyon 4-0 RennesLigue 1
- DSturm Graz 0-0 RennesUEFA Europa League
- WRennes 1-0 MarseilleLigue 1
- WAngers 1-2 RennesLigue 1
- WRennes 3-2 Le MansLigue 1
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- B. BarcolaNot in squad
- I. MbayeNot in squad
- N. MendesSuspended (red card)
- M. CamaraSuspended (cards)
- S. FofanaNot in squad
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Paris Saint-Germain at 61% to win and Rennes at 17%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes a Paris Saint-Germain win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain Win | 61% | 17% | @ 5.60 |
| Draw | 21% | 20% | @ 4.60 |
| Rennes Win | 17% | 63% | @ 1.48 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Paris Saint-Germain or Draw at 2.55 (83% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain or Draw | 83% | 37% | @ 2.55 |
| Rennes or Draw | 39% | 83% | @ 1.13 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.4-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 70% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 85% | @ 1.11 |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 66% | @ 1.42 |
| Under 3.5 | 51% | 55% | @ 1.72 |
| Over 3.5 | 49% | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
| Under 1.5 | 12% | 15% | @ 6.10 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 36% | 39% | @ 2.38 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Paris Saint-Germain or Rennes is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain +2 | 96% | 72% | @ 1.32 |
| Paris Saint-Germain +1.75 | 96% | 65% | @ 1.48 |
| Paris Saint-Germain +1.5 | 94% | 58% | @ 1.61 |
| Paris Saint-Germain +1.25 | 92% | 54% | @ 1.78 |
| Paris Saint-Germain +1 | 89% | 47% | @ 2.04 |
| Paris Saint-Germain +0.75 | 86% | 42% | @ 2.29 |
| Paris Saint-Germain +0.5 | 83% | 37% | @ 2.52 |
| Paris Saint-Germain +0.25 | 78% | 31% | @ 3.11 |
| Paris Saint-Germain 0 | 72% | 22% | @ 4.29 |
| Paris Saint-Germain -0.25 | 66% | 20% | @ 4.65 |
| Paris Saint-Germain -0.5 | 61% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Paris Saint-Germain -0.75 | 55% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Rennes +0.75 | 45% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Rennes +0.5 | 39% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Rennes +0.25 | 34% | 80% | 1.18 |
| Rennes 0 | 28% | 78% | 1.23 |
| Rennes -0.25 | 22% | 69% | 1.38 |
| Rennes -0.5 | 17% | 63% | 1.50 |
| Rennes -0.75 | 14% | 58% | 1.64 |
| Rennes -1 | 11% | 53% | 1.84 |
| Rennes -1.25 | 8% | 46% | 2.08 |
| Rennes -1.5 | 6% | 42% | 2.26 |
| Rennes -1.75 | 4% | 35% | 2.70 |
| Rennes -2 | 4% | 28% | 3.45 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain vs Rennes?
Our model's main pick is Paris Saint-Germain with a +2 start at odds 1.32, with a 96% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.
Who is the favourite for Paris Saint-Germain vs Rennes?
Our model makes a Paris Saint-Germain win the most likely result at 61%. It projects an expected 2.4-1.2 scoreline for Paris Saint-Germain vs Rennes.
What is the predicted score for Paris Saint-Germain vs Rennes?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.43 for Paris Saint-Germain and 1.21 for Rennes. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Paris Saint-Germain and Rennes play?
Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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