Mon 24 Aug2-3Finished

⚽ Premier League

Fulham vs Chelsea Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Fulham vs Chelsea in the Premier League. Kick-off Monday 24 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Fulham 2-3 Chelsea

Fulham vs Chelsea finished 2-3. Chelsea won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, Fulham Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at 1.34, landed.

Fulham face Chelsea in the upcoming Premier League tips, kicking off Monday 24 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Fulham won 2, Chelsea won 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Fulham win the most likely result at 35%, projecting a 1.5-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Fulham vs Chelsea with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Fulham Asian Handicap +1.5 @ 1.34

84%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.46 – 1.47 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.3%	7.8%	5.8%	2.8%	1.0%
1	7.8%	11.5%	8.4%	4.1%	1.5%
2	5.7%	8.4%	6.1%	3.0%	1.1%
3	2.8%	4.1%	3.0%	1.5%	0.5%
4	1.0%	1.5%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Fulham winDrawChelsea win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Fulham vs Chelsea comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Fulham Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at odds 1.34, with a 84% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Fulham win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 35%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (60%).

📊 Key numbers

Fulham 35%Draw 30%Chelsea 35%

35%30%35%

35%

Fulham Win

56%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Fulham and Chelsea. Wins shown from Fulham’s perspective: Fulham 2 · Chelsea 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-24	Fulham	2 – 3	Chelsea	L
2026-01-07	Fulham	2 – 1	Chelsea	W
2025-08-30	Chelsea	2 – 0	Fulham	L
2025-04-20	Fulham	1 – 2	Chelsea	L
2024-12-26	Chelsea	1 – 2	Fulham	W

📈 Recent form

Fulham

Fulham come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at West Ham. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Crystal Palace.

DFulham 1-1 Manchester UnitedPremier League
WWest Ham 2-3 FulhamLeague Cup
DLiverpool 0-0 FulhamPremier League
LFulham 2-3 Crystal PalacePremier League
LSunderland 1-0 FulhamPremier League

Chelsea

Chelsea come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 6-3 at home to Leeds. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Brentford.

LBrentford 3-0 ChelseaPremier League
DChelsea 2-2 Hull CityPremier League
WChelsea 6-3 LeedsLeague Cup
LArsenal 2-1 ChelseaPremier League
WChelsea 4-3 BrightonPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Fulham

J. AndersenSuspended (red card)
T. CairneyKnee Injury

Chelsea

W. FofanaSuspended (red card)
J. HendersonWrist Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Fulham at 35% to win and Chelsea at 35%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Fulham win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Fulham Win	35%	23%	@ 4.10
Chelsea Win	35%	51%	@ 1.87
Draw	30%	26%	@ 3.65

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Fulham or Draw at 1.91 (63% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Fulham or Draw	63%	49%	@ 1.91
Chelsea or Draw	63%	77%	@ 1.23

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	79%	79%	@ 1.20
Under 3.5	66%	64%	@ 1.47
Over 2.5	56%	57%	@ 1.66
Under 2.5	44%	43%	@ 2.20
Over 3.5	34%	36%	@ 2.65
Under 1.5	21%	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	60%	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	40%	41%	@ 2.28

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Fulham or Chelsea is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Fulham +2	89%	83%	@ 1.15
Fulham +1.75	86%	75%	@ 1.25
Chelsea +1.5	84%	88%	1.04
Fulham +1.5	84%	70%	@ 1.34
Fulham +1.25	79%	66%	@ 1.43
Chelsea +1	74%	86%	1.10
Fulham +1	74%	61%	@ 1.55
Chelsea +0.75	68%	81%	1.17
Fulham +0.75	68%	54%	@ 1.78
Chelsea +0.5	63%	75%	1.25
Fulham +0.5	63%	48%	@ 1.99
Chelsea +0.25	57%	73%	1.31
Fulham +0.25	57%	41%	@ 2.35
Fulham 0	50%	31%	@ 3.06
Chelsea 0	50%	69%	1.39
Fulham -0.25	43%	27%	@ 3.52
Chelsea -0.25	43%	59%	1.61
Fulham -0.5	37%	25%	@ 3.83
Chelsea -0.5	37%	52%	1.83
Chelsea -0.75	32%	46%	2.08
Fulham -0.75	32%	19%	@ 5.00
Chelsea -1	27%	39%	2.46
Fulham -1	26%	14%	@ 7.00
Chelsea -1.25	21%	34%	2.83
Fulham -1.5	16%	12%	@ 7.50
Chelsea -1.5	16%	30%	3.17
Chelsea -1.75	14%	25%	3.80
Chelsea -2	11%	17%	5.50

📈 How the market moved

Fulham 24%Draw 25%Chelsea 52%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fulham vs Chelsea?

Our model's main pick is Fulham Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at odds 1.34, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Fulham vs Chelsea?

Our model makes a Fulham win the most likely result at 35%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.5 scoreline for Fulham vs Chelsea.

What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Chelsea?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.46 for Fulham and 1.47 for Chelsea. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Fulham and Chelsea play?

Kick-off is Monday 24 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.