Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers
Thu 20 Aug1-1Finished
KuPSKuPS

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 20 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Result: Shamrock Rovers 1-1 KuPS

Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Shamrock Rovers face KuPS in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 20 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, KuPS won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.1-0.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Under 3.5 @ 1.29
89%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.05 – 0.73 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 16.9% 12.3% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2%
1 17.7% 12.9% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2%
2 9.3% 6.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.3% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Projected score: 1-0
Shamrock Rovers winDrawKuPS win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.29, with a 89% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean under 2.5 (74%), both teams to score points no (67%).

📊 Key numbers

Shamrock Rovers 46%Draw 32%KuPS 22%
46%32%22%
46%
Shamrock Rovers Win
74%
Under 2.5 goals
67%
BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Shamrock Rovers and KuPS. Wins shown from Shamrock Rovers’s perspective: 1 drawn · KuPS 1.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-08-27 KuPS 1 – 0 Shamrock Rovers L
2026-08-20 Shamrock Rovers 1 – 1 KuPS D

📈 Recent form

Shamrock Rovers

Shamrock Rovers come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Waterford. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at St Patrick's Athl..

  • WShamrock Rovers 3-2 WaterfordPremier Division
  • LSt Patrick's Athl. 2-0 Shamrock RoversPremier Division
  • DShamrock Rovers 0-0 ShelbournePremier Division
  • DDerry City 3-3 Shamrock RoversPremier Division
  • LKuPS 1-0 Shamrock RoversUEFA Europa Conference
KuPS

KuPS come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at VPS. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Inter Turku.

  • WVPS 0-2 KuPSVeikkausliiga
  • DKuPS 0-0 HJK HelsinkiVeikkausliiga
  • DGnistan 1-1 KuPSVeikkausliiga
  • LInter Turku 1-0 KuPSVeikkausliiga
  • WKuPS 1-0 Shamrock RoversUEFA Europa Conference

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Shamrock Rovers at 46% to win and KuPS at 22%, with the draw at 32%. Our model makes a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Shamrock Rovers Win 46% 47% @ 1.96
Draw 32% 27% @ 3.40
KuPS Win 22% 26% @ 3.55

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Shamrock Rovers or Draw at 1.24 (74% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Shamrock Rovers or Draw 74% 74% @ 1.24
KuPS or Draw 51% 53% @ 1.72

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-0.7 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 74% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 89% 71% @ 1.29
Under 2.5 74% 51% @ 1.80
Over 1.5 53% 72% @ 1.27
Under 1.5 47% 28% @ 3.30
Over 2.5 26% 49% @ 1.87
Over 3.5 11% 29% @ 3.20

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 67%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS No 67% 47% @ 1.94
BTTS Yes 33% 53% @ 1.74

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.29, with a 89% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.

Who is the favourite for Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS?

Our model makes a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.1-0.7 scoreline for Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS.

What is the predicted score for Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.05 for Shamrock Rovers and 0.73 for KuPS. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Shamrock Rovers and KuPS play?

Kick-off is Thursday 20 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.