⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 20 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Shamrock Rovers face KuPS in the UEFA Europa Conference League, kicking off Thursday 20 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.1-0.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.33

89%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.05 – 0.73 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	16.9%	12.3%	4.5%	1.1%	0.2%
1	17.7%	12.9%	4.7%	1.1%	0.2%
2	9.3%	6.8%	2.5%	0.6%	0.1%
3	3.3%	2.4%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
4	0.9%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Shamrock Rovers winDrawKuPS win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, the selection our model is most confident in at 89%. On the match result, the model rates a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean under 2.5 (74%), both teams to score points no (67%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.85 (+36.2% model value).

Best value

Under 2.5 at odds 1.85, 74% model probability, +36.2% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Shamrock Rovers 46%Draw 32%KuPS 22%

46%32%22%

46%

Shamrock Rovers Win

74%

Under 2.5 goals

67%

BTTS no

+36.2%

Best value: Under 2.5

📈 Recent form

Shamrock Rovers

Shamrock Rovers come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Egnatia Rrogozhinë. Their only defeat in that run was 1-5 at Egnatia Rrogozhinë.

DSt Patrick's Athl. 2-2 Shamrock RoversFAI Cup
LEgnatia Rrogozhinë 5-1 Shamrock RoversUEFA Europa League
WShamrock Rovers 3-2 DundalkPremier Division
WShamrock Rovers 3-1 Egnatia RrogozhinëUEFA Europa League
DDrogheda United 0-0 Shamrock RoversPremier Division

KuPS

KuPS come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Lahti. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Universitatea Craiova.

WLahti 1-2 KuPSVeikkausliiga
LUniversitatea Craiova 2-1 KuPSUEFA Europa League
DKuPS 1-1 Turku PSVeikkausliiga
DKuPS 1-1 Universitatea CraiovaUEFA Europa League
WGnistan 0-1 KuPSVeikkausliiga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Shamrock Rovers at 46% to win and KuPS at 22%, with the draw at 32%. Our model makes a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	32%	@ 3.55	+13.4%
Shamrock Rovers Win	46%	@ 1.97	-10.3%
KuPS Win	22%	@ 3.60	-18.9%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Shamrock Rovers or Draw at 1.28 (74% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Shamrock Rovers or Draw	74%	@ 1.28	-5.2%
KuPS or Draw	51%	@ 1.80	-8.0%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-0.7 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 74% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	47%	@ 3.50	+64.1%
Under 2.5	74%	@ 1.85	+36.2%
Under 3.5	89%	@ 1.33	+19.0%
Over 1.5	53%	@ 1.28	-32.0%
Over 2.5	26%	@ 1.90	-49.8%
Over 3.5	11%	@ 3.30	-65.2%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 67%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	67%	@ 1.95	+31.1%
BTTS Yes	33%	@ 1.73	-43.3%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	49%
Dixon-Coles	Home	37%
GradientBoosting	Home	47%

All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.

Expected goals: 1.57 for the home side, 1.07 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (14%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with 89% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 2.5 goals at 1.85 (+36.2% value).

Who is the favourite for Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS?

Our model makes a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.1-0.7 scoreline for Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS.

What is the predicted score for Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.05 for Shamrock Rovers and 0.73 for KuPS. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Shamrock Rovers and KuPS play?

Kick-off is Thursday 20 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.