⚽ UEFA Europa League
Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 27 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.
Result: Anderlecht 3-0 Kairat Almaty
Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty finished 3-0. Anderlecht won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Anderlecht face Kairat Almaty in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 27 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Anderlecht won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Anderlecht win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 1.9-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 7.5% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Kairat Almaty with a +2 start at odds 1.37, with a 79% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Anderlecht win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean over 2.5 (63%), both teams to score points yes (62%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Anderlecht and Kairat Almaty. Wins shown from Anderlecht’s perspective: Anderlecht 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Anderlecht | 3 – 0 | Kairat Almaty | W |
| 2026-08-20 | Kairat Almaty | 0 – 3 | Anderlecht | W |
📈 Recent form
Anderlecht come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 2. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Zulte Waregem. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Lyon.
- WAnderlecht 3-0 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
- LAnderlecht 1-2 LyonUEFA Europa League
- WKV Mechelen 0-1 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- DAnderlecht 0-0 GenkJupiler Pro League
- WAnderlecht 1-0 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
Kairat Almaty come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Zhenys. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at FC Astana.
- LFC Astana 1-0 Kairat AlmatyPremier League
- LKairat Almaty 1-4 FK Tobol KostanayPremier League
- WKairat Almaty 3-0 ZhenysPremier League
- WKaspiy 0-3 Kairat AlmatyPremier League
- WYelimay Semey 0-2 Kairat AlmatyPremier League
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Anderlecht at 49% to win and Kairat Almaty at 18%, with the draw at 33%. Our model makes an Anderlecht win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht Win | 49% | 70% | @ 1.34 |
| Draw | 33% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| Kairat Almaty Win | 18% | 11% | @ 8.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Anderlecht or Draw at 1.05 (78% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht or Draw | 78% | 89% | @ 1.05 |
| Kairat Almaty or Draw | 47% | 30% | @ 2.95 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 63% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 78% | @ 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 56% | @ 1.65 |
| Under 3.5 | 60% | 66% | @ 1.40 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 34% | @ 2.70 |
| Under 2.5 | 37% | 44% | @ 2.07 |
| Under 1.5 | 17% | 22% | @ 4.20 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 46% | @ 1.98 |
| BTTS No | 38% | 54% | @ 1.70 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Anderlecht or Kairat Almaty is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht +0.75 | 81% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Kairat Almaty +2 | 79% | 69% | @ 1.37 |
| Anderlecht +0.5 | 78% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Kairat Almaty +1.75 | 75% | 61% | @ 1.54 |
| Anderlecht +0.25 | 72% | – | 1.17 |
| Kairat Almaty +1.5 | 71% | 54% | @ 1.74 |
| Anderlecht 0 | 66% | – | 1.17 |
| Kairat Almaty +1.25 | 65% | 49% | @ 1.95 |
| Anderlecht -0.25 | 60% | 74% | 1.27 |
| Kairat Almaty +1 | 59% | 42% | @ 2.23 |
| Anderlecht -0.5 | 53% | 68% | 1.37 |
| Kairat Almaty +0.75 | 53% | 36% | @ 2.60 |
| Anderlecht -0.75 | 47% | 64% | 1.49 |
| Kairat Almaty +0.5 | 47% | 32% | @ 2.93 |
| Anderlecht -1 | 41% | 58% | 1.64 |
| Kairat Almaty +0.25 | 41% | 26% | @ 3.61 |
| Anderlecht -1.25 | 35% | 51% | 1.87 |
| Anderlecht -1.5 | 29% | 46% | 2.02 |
| Anderlecht -1.75 | 25% | 39% | 2.42 |
| Kairat Almaty -0.5 | 22% | 15% | @ 6.40 |
| Anderlecht -2 | 21% | 31% | 3.05 |
| Kairat Almaty -0.75 | 19% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty?
Our model's main pick is Kairat Almaty with a +2 start at odds 1.37, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 69%.
Who is the favourite for Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty?
Our model makes an Anderlecht win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.3 scoreline for Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty.
What is the predicted score for Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.95 for Anderlecht and 1.28 for Kairat Almaty. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Anderlecht and Kairat Almaty play?
Kick-off is Thursday 27 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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