⚽ Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Friday 28 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.
Result: Bayern Munich 5-1 VfB Stuttgart
Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart finished 5-1. Bayern Munich won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Bayern Munich face VfB Stuttgart in the upcoming Bundesliga tips, kicking off Friday 28 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Bayern Munich won 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bayern Munich win the most likely result at 67%, projecting a 3.0-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| 4 | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is both teams to score at odds 1.49, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Bayern Munich win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 67%. Goals lean over 2.5 (83%), both teams to score points yes (74%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Bayern Munich and VfB Stuttgart. Wins shown from Bayern Munich’s perspective: Bayern Munich 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Bayern Munich | 5 – 1 | VfB Stuttgart | W |
| 2026-05-23 | Bayern Munich | 3 – 0 | VfB Stuttgart | W |
| 2026-04-19 | Bayern Munich | 4 – 2 | VfB Stuttgart | W |
| 2025-12-06 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 – 5 | Bayern Munich | W |
| 2025-02-28 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 – 3 | Bayern Munich | W |
📈 Recent form
Bayern Munich come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 18 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 7-0 at home to Union Berlin.
- WBayern Munich 7-0 Union BerlinBundesliga
- WSV Elversberg 1-2 Bayern MunichBundesliga
- WBayern Munich 5-0 Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League
- DFC Schalke 04 0-0 Bayern MunichBundesliga
- WVfL Osnabrück 1-4 Bayern MunichDFB Pokal
VfB Stuttgart come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to 1. FC Köln. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Borussia Dortmund.
- LVfB Stuttgart 0-1 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
- LHoffenheim 2-1 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
- WVfB Stuttgart 3-1 VikingUEFA Champions League
- WVfB Stuttgart 4-1 1. FC KölnBundesliga
- LBayern Munich 5-1 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 12 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- T. BuchmannKnee Injury
- S. GnabryMuscle Injury
- J. MusialaHealth problems
- J. ArevaloBack Injury
- L. AssignonShoulder Injury
- J. DiehlMuscle Injury
- L. JaquezMuscle Injury
- N. NarteyInjury
- L. SauerMuscle Injury
- D. SeimenThigh Injury
- D. ZagadouMuscle Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Bayern Munich at 67% to win and VfB Stuttgart at 15%, with the draw at 19%. Our model makes a Bayern Munich win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich Win | 67% | 76% | @ 1.22 |
| Draw | 19% | 13% | @ 7.00 |
| VfB Stuttgart Win | 15% | 10% | @ 9.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bayern Munich or Draw at 1.05 (86% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich or Draw | 86% | 90% | @ 1.05 |
| VfB Stuttgart or Draw | 34% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 3.0-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 83% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 91% | @ 1.03 |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | 79% | @ 1.19 |
| Over 3.5 | 66% | 61% | @ 1.56 |
| Under 3.5 | 34% | 39% | @ 2.40 |
| Under 2.5 | 17% | 21% | @ 4.40 |
| Under 1.5 | 6% | 9% | @ 10.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 74%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 74% | 62% | @ 1.49 |
| BTTS No | 26% | 38% | @ 2.48 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Bayern Munich or VfB Stuttgart is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich +0.5 | 86% | 88% | 1.07 |
| Bayern Munich +0.25 | 81% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Bayern Munich 0 | 76% | 86% | 1.11 |
| Bayern Munich -0.25 | 71% | 83% | 1.15 |
| VfB Stuttgart +2 | 69% | 49% | @ 1.94 |
| Bayern Munich -0.5 | 66% | 77% | 1.22 |
| VfB Stuttgart +1.75 | 64% | 45% | @ 2.13 |
| Bayern Munich -0.75 | 60% | 74% | 1.28 |
| VfB Stuttgart +1.5 | 59% | 40% | @ 2.33 |
| Bayern Munich -1 | 54% | 73% | 1.30 |
| VfB Stuttgart +1.25 | 52% | 35% | @ 2.75 |
| Bayern Munich -1.25 | 48% | 65% | 1.45 |
| VfB Stuttgart +1 | 46% | 27% | @ 3.51 |
| Bayern Munich -1.5 | 41% | 60% | 1.57 |
| VfB Stuttgart +0.75 | 40% | 26% | @ 3.63 |
| Bayern Munich -1.75 | 36% | 55% | 1.72 |
| VfB Stuttgart +0.5 | 34% | 23% | @ 4.00 |
| Bayern Munich -2 | 31% | 51% | 1.89 |
| VfB Stuttgart +0.25 | 29% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| VfB Stuttgart 0 | 24% | 14% | @ 6.60 |
| VfB Stuttgart -0.25 | 19% | 14% | @ 6.80 |
| VfB Stuttgart -0.5 | 14% | 12% | @ 7.50 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart?
Our model's main pick is both teams to score at odds 1.49, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 62%.
Who is the favourite for Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart?
Our model makes a Bayern Munich win the most likely result at 67%. It projects an expected 3.0-1.5 scoreline for Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart.
What is the predicted score for Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 3-1, based on expected goals of 3.02 for Bayern Munich and 1.50 for VfB Stuttgart. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Bayern Munich and VfB Stuttgart play?
Kick-off is Friday 28 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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