KuPS

Thu 27 Aug1-0Finished

Shamrock Rovers

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 27 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: KuPS 1-0 Shamrock Rovers

KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers finished 1-0. KuPS won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

KuPS face Shamrock Rovers in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 27 August 2026, 15:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, KuPS won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a KuPS win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.5-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Shamrock Rovers +1.5 @ 1.25

82%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.47 – 1.15 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.3%	8.4%	4.8%	1.8%	0.5%
1	10.7%	12.3%	7.1%	2.7%	0.8%
2	7.9%	9.0%	5.2%	2.0%	0.6%
3	3.9%	4.4%	2.5%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.4%	1.6%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

KuPS winDrawShamrock Rovers win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Shamrock Rovers with a +1.5 start at odds 1.25, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a KuPS win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (51%).

📊 Key numbers

KuPS 38%Draw 31%Shamrock Rovers 31%

38%31%31%

38%

KuPS Win

51%

Under 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between KuPS and Shamrock Rovers. Wins shown from KuPS’s perspective: KuPS 1 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-27	KuPS	1 – 0	Shamrock Rovers	W
2026-08-20	Shamrock Rovers	1 – 1	KuPS	D

📈 Recent form

KuPS

KuPS come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at VPS. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Inter Turku.

WVPS 0-2 KuPSVeikkausliiga
DKuPS 0-0 HJK HelsinkiVeikkausliiga
DGnistan 1-1 KuPSVeikkausliiga
LInter Turku 1-0 KuPSVeikkausliiga
WKuPS 1-0 Shamrock RoversUEFA Europa Conference

Shamrock Rovers

Shamrock Rovers come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Waterford. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at St Patrick's Athl..

WShamrock Rovers 3-2 WaterfordPremier Division
LSt Patrick's Athl. 2-0 Shamrock RoversPremier Division
DShamrock Rovers 0-0 ShelbournePremier Division
DDerry City 3-3 Shamrock RoversPremier Division
LKuPS 1-0 Shamrock RoversUEFA Europa Conference

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices KuPS at 38% to win and Shamrock Rovers at 31%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a KuPS win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
KuPS Win	38%	47%	@ 1.98
Shamrock Rovers Win	31%	24%	@ 3.90
Draw	31%	29%	@ 3.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is KuPS or Draw at 1.21 (66% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
KuPS or Draw	66%	76%	@ 1.21
Shamrock Rovers or Draw	60%	53%	@ 1.73

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	74%	67%	@ 1.37
Under 3.5	73%	78%	@ 1.18
Under 2.5	51%	58%	@ 1.57
Over 2.5	49%	42%	@ 2.20
Over 3.5	27%	22%	@ 4.20
Under 1.5	26%	33%	@ 2.80

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	51%	47%	@ 1.95
BTTS No	49%	53%	@ 1.73

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when KuPS or Shamrock Rovers is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Shamrock Rovers +2	87%	86%	1.10
KuPS +1.5	86%	86%	1.10
Shamrock Rovers +1.75	84%	79%	@ 1.19
Shamrock Rovers +1.5	82%	74%	@ 1.25
KuPS +1.25	81%	86%	1.11
Shamrock Rovers +1.25	76%	70%	@ 1.33
KuPS +1	76%	84%	1.12
KuPS +0.75	71%	82%	1.16
Shamrock Rovers +1	71%	66%	@ 1.42
KuPS +0.5	66%	76%	1.24
Shamrock Rovers +0.75	65%	57%	@ 1.65
Shamrock Rovers +0.5	60%	51%	@ 1.83
KuPS +0.25	60%	73%	1.30
Shamrock Rovers +0.25	53%	43%	@ 2.20
KuPS 0	53%	–	1.44
KuPS -0.25	47%	57%	1.66
Shamrock Rovers -0.25	40%	27%	@ 3.44
KuPS -0.5	40%	49%	1.93
KuPS -0.75	35%	43%	2.23
Shamrock Rovers -0.5	34%	24%	@ 3.90
KuPS -1	29%	34%	2.79
Shamrock Rovers -0.75	29%	18%	@ 5.25
KuPS -1.25	24%	30%	3.18
Shamrock Rovers -1	24%	16%	@ 6.00
Shamrock Rovers -1.25	19%	14%	@ 6.60
KuPS -1.5	18%	26%	3.55
KuPS -1.75	16%	21%	4.50
Shamrock Rovers -1.5	14%	14%	7.00
KuPS -2	13%	14%	7.00

📈 How the market moved

KuPS 48%Draw 29%Shamrock Rovers 23%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers?

Our model's main pick is Shamrock Rovers with a +1.5 start at odds 1.25, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers?

Our model makes a KuPS win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.1 scoreline for KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers.

What is the predicted score for KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.47 for KuPS and 1.15 for Shamrock Rovers. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do KuPS and Shamrock Rovers play?

Kick-off is Thursday 27 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.