⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 27 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Maccabi Tel Aviv face FC Lugano in the UEFA Europa Conference League, kicking off Thursday 27 August 2026, 16:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Maccabi Tel Aviv win the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 2.2-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.25

90%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.20 – 1.64 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.1%	3.5%	2.9%	1.6%	0.6%
1	4.7%	7.8%	6.4%	3.5%	1.4%
2	5.2%	8.5%	7.0%	3.8%	1.6%
3	3.8%	6.3%	5.1%	2.8%	1.1%
4	2.1%	3.4%	2.8%	1.5%	0.6%

Projected score: 2-1

Maccabi Tel Aviv winDrawFC Lugano win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 90%. On the match result, the model rates a Maccabi Tel Aviv win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean over 2.5 (74%), both teams to score points yes (69%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.83 (+34.9% model value).

Best value

Over 2.5 at odds 1.83, 74% model probability, +34.9% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Maccabi Tel Aviv 50%Draw 24%FC Lugano 26%

50%24%26%

50%

Maccabi Tel Aviv Win

74%

Over 2.5 goals

69%

BTTS yes

+34.9%

Best value: Over 2.5

📈 Recent form

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Maccabi Tel Aviv come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at CSKA Sofia. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at FC Lugano.

LFC Lugano 2-1 Maccabi Tel AvivUEFA Europa Conference
WMaccabi Netanya 0-1 Maccabi Tel AvivToto Cup Ligat Al
WCSKA Sofia 1-3 Maccabi Tel AvivUEFA Europa League
LMaccabi Tel Aviv 0-3 CSKA SofiaUEFA Europa League
WMaccabi Tel Aviv 1-0 Sheriff TiraspolUEFA Europa League

FC Lugano

FC Lugano come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 21 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 10-1 at Vedeggio. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WFC Lugano 2-1 Maccabi Tel AvivUEFA Europa Conference
WVedeggio 1-10 FC LuganoSchweizer Cup
DNSI Runavik 2-2 FC LuganoUEFA Europa Conference
WFC Lugano 5-0 FC ZurichSuper League
WFC Lugano 2-0 NSI RunavikUEFA Europa Conference

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Maccabi Tel Aviv at 50% to win and FC Lugano at 26%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Maccabi Tel Aviv win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Maccabi Tel Aviv Win	50%	@ 2.56	+28.8%
Draw	24%	@ 3.45	-18.5%
FC Lugano Win	26%	@ 2.56	-33.3%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Maccabi Tel Aviv or Draw at 1.48 (75% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Maccabi Tel Aviv or Draw	75%	@ 1.48	+10.4%
FC Lugano or Draw	50%	@ 1.48	-25.3%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.2-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 74% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	54%	@ 3.10	+65.7%
Over 2.5	74%	@ 1.83	+34.9%
Over 1.5	90%	@ 1.25	+12.0%
Under 3.5	46%	@ 1.36	-36.7%
Under 2.5	26%	@ 1.95	-48.8%
Under 1.5	10%	@ 3.70	-61.5%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 69%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	69%	@ 1.62	+12.4%
BTTS No	31%	@ 2.10	-35.8%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with 90% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 2.5 goals at 1.83 (+34.9% value).

Who is the favourite for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano?

Our model makes a Maccabi Tel Aviv win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 2.2-1.6 scoreline for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano.

What is the predicted score for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.20 for Maccabi Tel Aviv and 1.64 for FC Lugano. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Maccabi Tel Aviv and FC Lugano play?

Kick-off is Thursday 27 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.