⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League
Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 27 August 2026, 16:45 UTC.
Result: Monaco 4-1 Gornik Zabrze
Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze finished 4-1. Monaco won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Monaco face Gornik Zabrze in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 27 August 2026, 16:45 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Monaco won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 67%, projecting a 1.7-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 8.1% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Gornik Zabrze with a +2 start at odds 1.46, with a 88% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 67%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (56%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Monaco and Gornik Zabrze. Wins shown from Monaco’s perspective: Monaco 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Monaco | 4 – 1 | Gornik Zabrze | W |
| 2026-08-20 | Gornik Zabrze | 2 – 3 | Monaco | W |
📈 Recent form
Monaco come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Gornik Zabrze. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WMonaco 2-1 LensLigue 1
- DStrasbourg 1-1 MonacoLigue 1
- WParis Saint-Germain 1-2 MonacoLigue 1
- WMonaco 2-0 MarseilleLigue 1
- WMonaco 4-1 Gornik ZabrzeUEFA Europa Conference
Gornik Zabrze come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Korona Kielce.
- DMotor Lublin 0-0 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
- WKorona Kielce 0-2 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
- WGornik Zabrze 2-1 Lech PoznanEkstraklasa
- WCracovia Krakow 0-1 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
- WRaków Częstochowa 1-2 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Monaco at 18% to win and Gornik Zabrze at 15%, with the draw at 67%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 67% | 20% | @ 4.80 |
| Monaco Win | 18% | 68% | @ 1.38 |
| Gornik Zabrze Win | 15% | 13% | @ 7.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Monaco or Draw at 1.06 (65% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco or Draw | 65% | 87% | @ 1.06 |
| Gornik Zabrze or Draw | 62% | 32% | @ 2.80 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 81% | @ 1.13 |
| Under 3.5 | 68% | 61% | @ 1.52 |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 61% | @ 1.52 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 39% | @ 2.35 |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 39% | @ 2.33 |
| Under 1.5 | 23% | 19% | @ 4.90 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 52% | @ 1.75 |
| BTTS No | 44% | 48% | @ 1.93 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Monaco or Gornik Zabrze is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gornik Zabrze +2 | 88% | 65% | @ 1.46 |
| Gornik Zabrze +1.75 | 85% | 57% | @ 1.66 |
| Gornik Zabrze +1.5 | 83% | 52% | @ 1.79 |
| Gornik Zabrze +1.25 | 77% | 46% | @ 2.06 |
| Gornik Zabrze +1 | 72% | 39% | @ 2.38 |
| Gornik Zabrze +0.75 | 67% | 35% | @ 2.72 |
| Monaco +0.5 | 65% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Gornik Zabrze +0.5 | 62% | 31% | @ 2.98 |
| Monaco +0.25 | 58% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Gornik Zabrze +0.25 | 55% | 24% | @ 3.90 |
| Monaco 0 | 52% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Gornik Zabrze 0 | 48% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Monaco -0.25 | 45% | 76% | 1.24 |
| Gornik Zabrze -0.25 | 42% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
| Monaco -0.5 | 38% | 69% | 1.36 |
| Gornik Zabrze -0.5 | 35% | 14% | @ 6.80 |
| Monaco -0.75 | 33% | 65% | 1.44 |
| Monaco -1 | 28% | 61% | 1.54 |
| Monaco -1.25 | 23% | 54% | 1.75 |
| Monaco -1.5 | 17% | 48% | 1.98 |
| Monaco -1.75 | 15% | 43% | 2.21 |
| Monaco -2 | 12% | 35% | 2.67 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze?
Our model's main pick is Gornik Zabrze with a +2 start at odds 1.46, with a 88% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 65%.
Who is the favourite for Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze?
Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 67%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline for Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze.
What is the predicted score for Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.66 for Monaco and 1.17 for Gornik Zabrze. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Monaco and Gornik Zabrze play?
Kick-off is Thursday 27 August 2026, 16:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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