Raków Częstochowa
HNK Hajduk Split⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League
Raków Częstochowa vs HNK Hajduk Split Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Raków Częstochowa vs HNK Hajduk Split in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Result: Raków Częstochowa 2-2 HNK Hajduk Split
Raków Częstochowa vs HNK Hajduk Split finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Raków Częstochowa face HNK Hajduk Split in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Raków Częstochowa win the most likely result at 54%, projecting a 1.9-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Raków Częstochowa vs HNK Hajduk Split with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.0% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 10.3% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Raków Częstochowa vs HNK Hajduk Split comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Raków Częstochowa or Draw at odds 1.28, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Raków Częstochowa win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 54%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (51%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Raków Częstochowa and HNK Hajduk Split. Wins shown from Raków Częstochowa’s perspective: 2 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Raków Częstochowa | 2 – 2 | HNK Hajduk Split | D |
| 2026-08-20 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 – 2 | Raków Częstochowa | D |
📈 Recent form
Raków Częstochowa come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Motor Lublin. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Korona Kielce.
- LKorona Kielce 3-2 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
- LRaków Częstochowa 2-3 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
- WRaków Częstochowa 2-1 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
- LLech Poznan 1-0 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
- LRaków Częstochowa 1-2 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
HNK Hajduk Split come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Rudes. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WVardarac 0-2 HNK Hajduk SplitCup
- WRudes 0-4 HNK Hajduk SplitHNL
- DRaków Częstochowa 2-2 HNK Hajduk SplitUEFA Europa Conference
- WHNK Hajduk Split 4-0 NK OsijekHNL
- DHNK Hajduk Split 2-2 Raków CzęstochowaUEFA Europa Conference
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Raków Częstochowa at 54% to win and HNK Hajduk Split at 21%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Raków Częstochowa win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raków Częstochowa Win | 54% | 42% | @ 2.20 |
| Draw | 25% | 29% | @ 3.20 |
| HNK Hajduk Split Win | 21% | 29% | @ 3.25 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Raków Częstochowa or Draw at 1.28 (78% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raków Częstochowa or Draw | 78% | 71% | @ 1.28 |
| HNK Hajduk Split or Draw | 46% | 58% | @ 1.58 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 71% | @ 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 | 68% | 75% | @ 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 46% | @ 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 54% | @ 1.70 |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 25% | @ 3.65 |
| Under 1.5 | 22% | 29% | @ 3.15 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 52% | @ 1.77 |
| BTTS No | 49% | 48% | @ 1.90 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Raków Częstochowa or HNK Hajduk Split is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raków Częstochowa +1.25 | 89% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Raków Częstochowa +1 | 85% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Raków Częstochowa +0.75 | 82% | 77% | 1.22 |
| Raków Częstochowa +0.5 | 78% | 70% | @ 1.32 |
| HNK Hajduk Split +2 | 78% | 86% | 1.10 |
| HNK Hajduk Split +1.75 | 74% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Raków Częstochowa +0.25 | 72% | 66% | @ 1.41 |
| HNK Hajduk Split +1.5 | 70% | 76% | 1.22 |
| Raków Częstochowa 0 | 66% | 60% | @ 1.56 |
| HNK Hajduk Split +1.25 | 64% | – | 1.30 |
| Raków Częstochowa -0.25 | 60% | 51% | @ 1.85 |
| HNK Hajduk Split +1 | 58% | 71% | 1.31 |
| Raków Częstochowa -0.5 | 54% | 45% | @ 2.06 |
| HNK Hajduk Split +0.75 | 52% | 62% | 1.49 |
| Raków Częstochowa -0.75 | 48% | 38% | @ 2.48 |
| HNK Hajduk Split +0.5 | 46% | 55% | 1.71 |
| Raków Częstochowa -1 | 42% | 29% | @ 3.23 |
| HNK Hajduk Split +0.25 | 40% | 49% | 1.93 |
| HNK Hajduk Split 0 | 34% | 40% | 2.33 |
| Raków Częstochowa -1.5 | 30% | 24% | @ 3.95 |
| HNK Hajduk Split -0.25 | 28% | 34% | 2.75 |
| Raków Częstochowa -1.75 | 26% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Raków Częstochowa -2 | 22% | 14% | @ 6.80 |
| HNK Hajduk Split -0.5 | 22% | 30% | 3.12 |
| HNK Hajduk Split -0.75 | 18% | 23% | 4.15 |
| HNK Hajduk Split -1 | 15% | 15% | 6.25 |
| HNK Hajduk Split -1.25 | 11% | 14% | 6.80 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Our model's main pick is Raków Częstochowa or Draw at odds 1.28, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.
Who is the favourite for Raków Częstochowa vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Our model makes a Raków Częstochowa win the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.0 scoreline for Raków Częstochowa vs HNK Hajduk Split.
What is the predicted score for Raków Częstochowa vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.88 for Raków Częstochowa and 0.96 for HNK Hajduk Split. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Raków Częstochowa and HNK Hajduk Split play?
Kick-off is Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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