⚽ UEFA Europa League

Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Lillestrom face Egnatia Rrogozhinë in the UEFA Europa League, kicking off Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 63%, projecting a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.25

77%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.64 – 1.17 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.0%	7.0%	4.1%	1.6%	0.5%
1	9.9%	11.6%	6.8%	2.6%	0.8%
2	8.1%	9.5%	5.5%	2.2%	0.6%
3	4.4%	5.2%	3.0%	1.2%	0.3%
4	1.8%	2.1%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Lillestrom winDrawEgnatia Rrogozhinë win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 77%. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 63%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (56%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Egnatia Rrogozhinë or Draw at odds 2.45 (+51.9% model value).

Best value

Egnatia Rrogozhinë or Draw at odds 2.45, 62% model probability, +51.9% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Lillestrom 20%Draw 63%Egnatia Rrogozhinë 17%

20%63%17%

63%

Draw

53%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

+51.9%

Best value: Egnatia Rrogozhinë or Draw

📈 Recent form

Lillestrom

Lillestrom come into this game with 0 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Rosenborg.

DEgnatia Rrogozhinë 0-0 LillestromUEFA Europa League
DKFUM Oslo 1-1 LillestromEliteserien
LLillestrom 0-2 RosenborgEliteserien
LBodo/Glimt 4-0 LillestromEliteserien
LLillestrom 1-2 VikingEliteserien

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Egnatia Rrogozhinë come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Shamrock Rovers. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Shamrock Rovers.

DEgnatia Rrogozhinë 0-0 LillestromUEFA Europa League
WEgnatia Rrogozhinë 5-1 Shamrock RoversUEFA Europa League
LShamrock Rovers 3-1 Egnatia RrogozhinëUEFA Europa League
DCelje 1-1 Egnatia RrogozhinëUEFA Champions League
DEgnatia Rrogozhinë 3-3 CeljeUEFA Champions League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Lillestrom at 20% to win and Egnatia Rrogozhinë at 17%, with the draw at 63%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	63%	@ 4.10	+158.0%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Win	17%	@ 6.00	+4.1%
Lillestrom Win	20%	@ 1.52	-70.0%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Egnatia Rrogozhinë or Draw at 2.45 (62% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Egnatia Rrogozhinë or Draw	62%	@ 2.45	+51.9%
Lillestrom or Draw	64%	@ 1.12	-27.9%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	77%	@ 1.25	-3.7%
Over 2.5	53%	@ 1.80	-4.1%
Under 3.5	69%	@ 1.38	-4.8%
Under 2.5	47%	@ 2.00	-6.6%
Over 3.5	31%	@ 3.00	-6.9%
Under 1.5	23%	@ 3.80	-12.8%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	56%	@ 1.83	+1.5%
BTTS No	44%	@ 1.83	-18.5%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with 77% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Egnatia Rrogozhinë or Draw at 2.45 (+51.9% value).

Who is the favourite for Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 63%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë.

What is the predicted score for Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.64 for Lillestrom and 1.17 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Lillestrom and Egnatia Rrogozhinë play?

Kick-off is Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.