Lillestrom
Egnatia Rrogozhinë⚽ UEFA Europa League
Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Result: Lillestrom 1-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Egnatia Rrogozhinë Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at 1.42, landed.
Lillestrom face Egnatia Rrogozhinë in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 63%, projecting a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 8.1% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Egnatia Rrogozhinë Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.42, with a 86% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 63%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (56%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Lillestrom and Egnatia Rrogozhinë. Wins shown from Lillestrom’s perspective: 2 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Lillestrom | 1 – 1 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | D |
| 2026-08-20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 0 – 0 | Lillestrom | D |
📈 Recent form
Lillestrom come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Aurskog Finstadbru. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Viking.
- LViking 3-0 LillestromEliteserien
- LLillestrom 1-2 TorreenseUEFA Europa League
- WLillestrom 2-0 ValerengaEliteserien
- WBrann 1-2 LillestromEliteserien
- WAurskog Finstadbru 0-3 LillestromNM Cupen
Egnatia Rrogozhinë come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Vora. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at AF Elbasani.
- WEgnatia Rrogozhinë 2-1 PartizaniSuperliga
- LAF Elbasani 2-1 Egnatia RrogozhinëSuperliga
- WEgnatia Rrogozhinë 2-1 Skenderbeu KorceSuperliga
- WVora 1-3 Egnatia RrogozhinëSuperliga
- DLillestrom 1-1 Egnatia RrogozhinëUEFA Europa League
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Lillestrom at 20% to win and Egnatia Rrogozhinë at 17%, with the draw at 63%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 63% | 23% | @ 4.10 |
| Lillestrom Win | 20% | 63% | @ 1.49 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë Win | 17% | 15% | @ 6.40 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lillestrom or Draw at 1.09 (64% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lillestrom or Draw | 64% | 85% | @ 1.09 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë or Draw | 62% | 37% | @ 2.43 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 76% | @ 1.21 |
| Under 3.5 | 69% | 69% | @ 1.34 |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 53% | @ 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 47% | @ 1.94 |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 31% | @ 2.95 |
| Under 1.5 | 23% | 24% | @ 3.85 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 49% | @ 1.87 |
| BTTS No | 44% | 51% | @ 1.80 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Lillestrom or Egnatia Rrogozhinë is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë +2 | 88% | 74% | @ 1.26 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë +1.75 | 86% | 66% | @ 1.42 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë +1.5 | 83% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë +1.25 | 78% | 55% | @ 1.74 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë +1 | 72% | 47% | @ 2.02 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë +0.75 | 67% | 40% | @ 2.35 |
| Lillestrom +0.5 | 64% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë +0.5 | 62% | 36% | @ 2.58 |
| Lillestrom +0.25 | 58% | 81% | 1.17 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë +0.25 | 55% | 29% | @ 3.29 |
| Lillestrom 0 | 51% | – | 1.18 |
| Lillestrom -0.25 | 45% | 71% | 1.32 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë -0.25 | 42% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| Lillestrom -0.5 | 38% | 64% | 1.47 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë -0.5 | 36% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Lillestrom -0.75 | 33% | 60% | 1.59 |
| Lillestrom -1 | 28% | 53% | 1.79 |
| Lillestrom -1.25 | 22% | 45% | 2.08 |
| Lillestrom -1.5 | 17% | 40% | 2.34 |
| Lillestrom -1.75 | 14% | 34% | 2.81 |
| Lillestrom -2 | 12% | 26% | 3.69 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Our model's main pick is Egnatia Rrogozhinë Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.42, with a 86% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.
Who is the favourite for Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 63%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë.
What is the predicted score for Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.64 for Lillestrom and 1.17 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Lillestrom and Egnatia Rrogozhinë play?
Kick-off is Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Sabah FAvs
Slavia PrahaUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct16:45
Lensvs
Sporting CPUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct16:45
Arsenalvs
LilleUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct19:00
Villarrealvs
NapoliUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct19:00
Vikingvs
Bayern MünchenUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct19:00
RB Leipzigvs
PSV EindhovenUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct19:00Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.