Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia
Thu 27 Aug4-2Finished

⚽ UEFA Europa League

Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Result: Omonia Nicosia 4-2 St. Truiden

Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden finished 4-2. Omonia Nicosia won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Omonia Nicosia face St. Truiden in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Omonia Nicosia won 1, St. Truiden won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 65%, projecting a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
St. Truiden +1.5 @ 1.26
83%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.64 – 1.17 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 6.0% 7.0% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
1 9.9% 11.6% 6.8% 2.6% 0.8%
2 8.1% 9.5% 5.5% 2.2% 0.6%
3 4.4% 5.2% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3%
4 1.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
Omonia Nicosia winDrawSt. Truiden win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is St. Truiden with a +1.5 start at odds 1.26, with a 83% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 65%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Omonia Nicosia 19%Draw 65%St. Truiden 16%
19%65%16%
65%
Draw
53%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Omonia Nicosia and St. Truiden. Wins shown from Omonia Nicosia’s perspective: Omonia Nicosia 1 · St. Truiden 1.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-08-27 Omonia Nicosia 4 – 2 St. Truiden W
2026-08-20 St. Truiden 1 – 0 Omonia Nicosia L

📈 Recent form

Omonia Nicosia

Omonia Nicosia come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Krasava Ypsonas. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Pafos.

  • WOmonia Nicosia 4-1 Krasava Ypsonas1. Division
  • WOmonia Nicosia 1-0 Celta VigoUEFA Europa League
  • DOmonia Nicosia 0-0 Apollon Limassol1. Division
  • WAris 1-4 Omonia Nicosia1. Division
  • LOmonia Nicosia 0-1 PafosSuper Cup
St. Truiden

St. Truiden come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to RAAL La Louvière. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to KVC Westerlo.

  • LSt. Truiden 0-2 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
  • LSK Beveren 2-0 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
  • WSt. Truiden 4-0 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
  • LSt. Truiden 0-3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
  • WAntwerp 1-4 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Omonia Nicosia at 19% to win and St. Truiden at 16%, with the draw at 65%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Draw 65% 27% @ 3.45
Omonia Nicosia Win 19% 50% @ 1.88
St. Truiden Win 16% 23% @ 4.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Omonia Nicosia or Draw at 1.19 (64% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Omonia Nicosia or Draw 64% 77% @ 1.19
St. Truiden or Draw 62% 50% @ 1.82

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 77% 70% @ 1.30
Under 3.5 69% 75% @ 1.23
Over 2.5 53% 46% @ 2.00
Under 2.5 47% 54% @ 1.70
Over 3.5 31% 25% @ 3.65
Under 1.5 23% 30% @ 3.10

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 56% 49% @ 1.86
BTTS No 44% 51% @ 1.81

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Omonia Nicosia or St. Truiden is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
St. Truiden +2 88% 86% 1.11
St. Truiden +1.75 86% 81% @ 1.17
St. Truiden +1.5 83% – @ 1.26
St. Truiden +1.25 78% 72% @ 1.31
St. Truiden +1 72% 68% @ 1.39
Omonia Nicosia +0.75 70% 79% 1.20
St. Truiden +0.75 67% 58% @ 1.62
Omonia Nicosia +0.5 64% 74% 1.27
St. Truiden +0.5 62% 51% @ 1.86
Omonia Nicosia +0.25 58% 70% 1.34
St. Truiden +0.25 55% 44% @ 2.16
Omonia Nicosia 0 51% 66% 1.44
St. Truiden 0 49% 34% @ 2.75
Omonia Nicosia -0.25 45% 56% 1.69
St. Truiden -0.25 42% 30% @ 3.19
Omonia Nicosia -0.5 38% 49% 1.91
St. Truiden -0.5 36% 26% @ 3.66
Omonia Nicosia -0.75 33% 42% 2.27
St. Truiden -0.75 30% 21% @ 4.40
Omonia Nicosia -1 28% 32% 2.97
Omonia Nicosia -1.25 22% 28% 3.42
Omonia Nicosia -1.75 14% 19% 5.00
Omonia Nicosia -2 12% 14% 6.60

📈 How the market moved

21%37%53%08/2408/2508/2608/27

Omonia Nicosia 49%Draw 27%St. Truiden 25%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden?

Our model's main pick is St. Truiden with a +1.5 start at odds 1.26, with a 83% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 79%.

Who is the favourite for Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 65%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden.

What is the predicted score for Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.64 for Omonia Nicosia and 1.17 for St. Truiden. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Omonia Nicosia and St. Truiden play?

Kick-off is Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.