Thu 27 Aug5-3Finished

FC Sion

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Ajax vs FC Sion Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Ajax vs FC Sion in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 27 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Ajax 5-3 FC Sion

Ajax vs FC Sion finished 5-3. Ajax won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Ajax face FC Sion in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 27 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Ajax won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Ajax win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 2.1-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Ajax vs FC Sion with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.90

61%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.10 – 1.05 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.3%	4.5%	2.4%	0.8%	0.2%
1	9.0%	9.4%	5.0%	1.7%	0.5%
2	9.4%	9.9%	5.2%	1.8%	0.5%
3	6.6%	6.9%	3.6%	1.3%	0.3%
4	3.5%	3.6%	1.9%	0.7%	0.2%

Projected score: 2-1

Ajax winDrawFC Sion win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Ajax vs FC Sion comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.90, with a 61% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Ajax win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (57%).

📊 Key numbers

Ajax 46%Draw 25%FC Sion 29%

46%25%29%

46%

Ajax Win

61%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Ajax and FC Sion. Wins shown from Ajax’s perspective: Ajax 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-27	Ajax	5 – 3	FC Sion	W
2026-08-20	FC Sion	2 – 4	Ajax	W

📈 Recent form

Ajax

Ajax come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 17 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Willem II. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at home to PSV Eindhoven.

DAjax 2-2 ExcelsiorEredivisie
WAjax 5-1 Willem IIEredivisie
WFortuna Sittard 1-5 AjaxEredivisie
LAjax 1-3 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
WTelstar 0-4 AjaxEredivisie

FC Sion

FC Sion come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at Grasshoppers. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

DFC Sion 1-1 FC ZurichSuper League
WGrasshoppers 2-5 FC SionSuper League
WFC St. Gallen 0-3 FC SionSuper League
WFC Sion 3-2 FC ThunSuper League
WFC Basel 1893 1-2 FC SionSuper League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Ajax at 46% to win and FC Sion at 29%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes an Ajax win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Ajax Win	46%	72%	@ 1.30
FC Sion Win	29%	12%	@ 8.00
Draw	25%	17%	@ 5.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Ajax or Draw at 1.06 (72% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Ajax or Draw	72%	88%	@ 1.06
FC Sion or Draw	54%	28%	@ 3.10

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	82%	87%	@ 1.06
Under 3.5	61%	48%	@ 1.90
Over 2.5	61%	71%	@ 1.30
Under 2.5	39%	29%	@ 3.15
Over 3.5	39%	52%	@ 1.78
Under 1.5	18%	13%	@ 7.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	57%	59%	@ 1.55
BTTS No	43%	41%	@ 2.23

📈 How the market moved

Ajax 69%Draw 18%FC Sion 13%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ajax vs FC Sion?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.90, with a 61% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 48%.

Who is the favourite for Ajax vs FC Sion?

Our model makes an Ajax win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 2.1-1.1 scoreline for Ajax vs FC Sion.

What is the predicted score for Ajax vs FC Sion?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.10 for Ajax and 1.05 for FC Sion. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Ajax and FC Sion play?

Kick-off is Thursday 27 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.