⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 27 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Hapoel Tel Aviv face Atalanta in the UEFA Europa Conference League, kicking off Thursday 27 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 62%, projecting a 1.7-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.42

68%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.66 – 1.17 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.9%	6.9%	4.0%	1.6%	0.5%
1	9.8%	11.5%	6.7%	2.6%	0.8%
2	8.1%	9.5%	5.6%	2.2%	0.6%
3	4.5%	5.3%	3.1%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.9%	2.2%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Hapoel Tel Aviv winDrawAtalanta win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.42, the selection our model is most confident in at 68%. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 62%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (56%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Hapoel Tel Aviv or Draw at odds 2.40 (+51.2% model value).

Best value

Hapoel Tel Aviv or Draw at odds 2.40, 63% model probability, +51.2% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Hapoel Tel Aviv 19%Draw 62%Atalanta 19%

19%62%19%

62%

Draw

54%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

+51.2%

Best value: Hapoel Tel Aviv or Draw

📈 Recent form

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Hapoel Tel Aviv come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to GKS Katowice. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at GKS Katowice.

DAtalanta 0-0 Hapoel Tel AvivUEFA Europa Conference
WIroni Kiryat Shmona 1-2 Hapoel Tel AvivToto Cup Ligat Al
LGKS Katowice 2-1 Hapoel Tel AvivUEFA Europa Conference
WHapoel Tel Aviv 2-0 GKS KatowiceUEFA Europa Conference
DLudogorets 2-2 Hapoel Tel AvivUEFA Europa Conference

Atalanta

Atalanta come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at FC Schalke 04. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Feyenoord.

DAtalanta 0-0 Hapoel Tel AvivUEFA Europa Conference
WAtalanta 1-0 Athletic ClubFriendlies Clubs
WFC Schalke 04 0-3 AtalantaFriendlies Clubs
LFeyenoord 2-1 AtalantaFriendlies Clubs
DFiorentina 1-1 AtalantaSerie A

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Hapoel Tel Aviv at 19% to win and Atalanta at 19%, with the draw at 62%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	62%	@ 4.10	+152.6%
Hapoel Tel Aviv Win	19%	@ 5.80	+10.0%
Atalanta Win	19%	@ 1.53	-70.3%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Hapoel Tel Aviv or Draw at 2.40 (63% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Hapoel Tel Aviv or Draw	63%	@ 2.40	+51.2%
Atalanta or Draw	64%	@ 1.12	-28.9%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 3.5	68%	@ 1.42	-2.7%
Under 2.5	46%	@ 2.10	-2.9%
Over 1.5	77%	@ 1.22	-5.6%
Over 2.5	54%	@ 1.70	-8.6%
Under 1.5	23%	@ 4.00	-9.6%
Over 3.5	32%	@ 2.80	-11.9%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	56%	@ 1.75	-2.5%
BTTS No	44%	@ 1.93	-14.6%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.42, with 68% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Hapoel Tel Aviv or Draw at 2.40 (+51.2% value).

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 62%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta.

What is the predicted score for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.66 for Hapoel Tel Aviv and 1.17 for Atalanta. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Hapoel Tel Aviv and Atalanta play?

Kick-off is Thursday 27 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.