Sat 29 Aug3-0Finished

⚽ Bundesliga

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 13:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: RB Leipzig 3-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach finished 3-0. RB Leipzig won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

RB Leipzig face Borussia Mönchengladbach in the upcoming Bundesliga tips, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 13:30 UTC. Recent form: RB Leipzig have 3 wins from their last 5, while Borussia Mönchengladbach have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, RB Leipzig won 2, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a RB Leipzig win the most likely result at 56%, projecting a 2.1-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Borussia Mönchengladbach +2 @ 1.27

76%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.13 – 1.24 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.4%	4.3%	2.6%	1.1%	0.3%
1	7.3%	9.1%	5.6%	2.3%	0.7%
2	7.8%	9.7%	6.0%	2.5%	0.8%
3	5.5%	6.9%	4.3%	1.8%	0.5%
4	2.9%	3.7%	2.3%	0.9%	0.3%

Projected score: 2-1

RB Leipzig winDrawBorussia Mönchengladbach win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Borussia Mönchengladbach with a +2 start at odds 1.27, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a RB Leipzig win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 56%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (63%).

📊 Key numbers

RB Leipzig 56%Draw 26%Borussia Mönchengladbach 18%

56%26%18%

56%

RB Leipzig Win

65%

Over 2.5 goals

63%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between RB Leipzig and Borussia Mönchengladbach. Wins shown from RB Leipzig’s perspective: RB Leipzig 2 · 2 drawn · Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-29	RB Leipzig	3 – 0	Borussia Mönchengladbach	W
2026-04-11	RB Leipzig	1 – 0	Borussia Mönchengladbach	W
2025-11-28	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0 – 0	RB Leipzig	D
2025-03-29	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1 – 0	RB Leipzig	L
2024-11-09	RB Leipzig	0 – 0	Borussia Mönchengladbach	D

📈 Recent form

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Hamburger SV. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Bayer Leverkusen.

LBayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB LeipzigBundesliga
WRB Leipzig 5-0 Hamburger SVBundesliga
LComo 4-1 RB LeipzigUEFA Champions League
LWerder Bremen 3-1 RB LeipzigBundesliga
WRB Leipzig 3-0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 16. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at Schott Mainz. Their most recent defeat was 3-4 at home to FSV Mainz 05.

LBorussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
LSC Freiburg 5-0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
LBorussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 SV ElversbergBundesliga
LRB Leipzig 3-0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
WSchott Mainz 0-5 Borussia MönchengladbachDFB Pokal

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

RB Leipzig

C. BaumgartnerThigh Injury
O. NylandFoot Injury
A. OuedraogoShoulder Injury
Romulo CardosoKnee Injury

Borussia Mönchengladbach

J. CastropShoulder Injury
F. C. ChiarodiaMuscle Injury
T. CvancaraGroin Injury
Y. KonoplyaKnee Injury
Z. UnoMuscle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices RB Leipzig at 56% to win and Borussia Mönchengladbach at 18%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a RB Leipzig win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
RB Leipzig Win	56%	61%	@ 1.54
Draw	26%	22%	@ 4.30
Borussia Mönchengladbach Win	18%	18%	@ 5.30

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is RB Leipzig or Draw at 1.15 (81% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
RB Leipzig or Draw	81%	82%	@ 1.15
Borussia Mönchengladbach or Draw	42%	39%	@ 2.38

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	85%	84%	@ 1.12
Over 2.5	65%	64%	@ 1.47
Under 3.5	56%	56%	@ 1.68
Over 3.5	44%	44%	@ 2.18
Under 2.5	35%	36%	@ 2.65
Under 1.5	15%	16%	@ 5.80

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	63%	61%	@ 1.53
BTTS No	37%	39%	@ 2.38

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when RB Leipzig or Borussia Mönchengladbach is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
RB Leipzig +0.75	84%	85%	1.12
RB Leipzig +0.5	81%	80%	1.18
Borussia Mönchengladbach +2	76%	75%	1.27
RB Leipzig +0.25	75%	78%	1.21
Borussia Mönchengladbach +1.75	72%	68%	@ 1.41
RB Leipzig 0	69%	76%	1.26
Borussia Mönchengladbach +1.5	67%	61%	@ 1.54
RB Leipzig -0.25	63%	67%	1.43
Borussia Mönchengladbach +1.25	61%	57%	@ 1.67
RB Leipzig -0.5	58%	61%	1.55
Borussia Mönchengladbach +1	55%	51%	@ 1.90
RB Leipzig -0.75	52%	55%	1.72
Borussia Mönchengladbach +0.75	48%	45%	@ 2.15
RB Leipzig -1	45%	49%	1.94
Borussia Mönchengladbach +0.5	42%	39%	@ 2.39
RB Leipzig -1.25	39%	43%	2.23
Borussia Mönchengladbach +0.25	37%	33%	@ 2.87
RB Leipzig -1.5	33%	39%	2.42
Borussia Mönchengladbach 0	31%	24%	@ 3.90
RB Leipzig -1.75	28%	32%	2.94
Borussia Mönchengladbach -0.25	25%	22%	@ 4.25
RB Leipzig -2	24%	25%	3.83
Borussia Mönchengladbach -0.5	19%	20%	4.65
Borussia Mönchengladbach -0.75	16%	15%	@ 6.25

📈 How the market moved

RB Leipzig 60%Draw 21%Borussia Mönchengladbach 18%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

Our model's main pick is Borussia Mönchengladbach with a +2 start at odds 1.27, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

Our model makes a RB Leipzig win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 2.1-1.2 scoreline for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach.

What is the predicted score for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.13 for RB Leipzig and 1.24 for Borussia Mönchengladbach. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do RB Leipzig and Borussia Mönchengladbach play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 13:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.