⚽ Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 13:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

FSV Mainz 05 face SC Paderborn 07 in the Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 13:30 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.47

69%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.49 – 1.31 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	8.0%	5.2%	2.3%	0.7%
1	9.1%	11.9%	7.8%	3.4%	1.1%
2	6.8%	8.8%	5.8%	2.5%	0.8%
3	3.4%	4.4%	2.9%	1.3%	0.4%
4	1.2%	1.6%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

FSV Mainz 05 winDrawSC Paderborn 07 win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.47, the selection our model is most confident in at 69%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

53%

Over 2.5 goals

📈 Recent form

FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Holstein Kiel. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WFSV Mainz 05 2-1 BournemouthFriendlies Clubs
DUdinese 3-3 FSV Mainz 05Friendlies Clubs
WFSV Mainz 05 1-0 Shabab Al Ahli DubaiFriendlies Clubs
WFSV Mainz 05 3-0 Holstein KielFriendlies Clubs
WFSV Mainz 05 4-1 1. FC KaiserslauternFriendlies Clubs

SC Paderborn 07

SC Paderborn 07 come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at VfL Osnabrück.

DWerder Bremen 2-2 SC Paderborn 07Friendlies Clubs
WVfL Osnabrück 0-2 SC Paderborn 07Friendlies Clubs
WSC Paderborn 07 2-1 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
DVfL Wolfsburg 0-0 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga
WSV Darmstadt 98 0-2 SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 2.5	53%	@ 1.68	n/a
Under 2.5	47%	@ 2.19	n/a
Over 3.5	31%	@ 2.69	n/a
Under 3.5	69%	@ 1.47	n/a

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.47, with 69% model confidence.

What is the predicted score for FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.49 for FSV Mainz 05 and 1.31 for SC Paderborn 07. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FSV Mainz 05 and SC Paderborn 07 play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 13:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.