Sat 29 Aug3-2Finished

⚽ Bundesliga

1. FC Köln vs Hoffenheim Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for 1. FC Köln vs Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 13:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: 1. FC Köln 3-2 Hoffenheim

1. FC Köln vs Hoffenheim finished 3-2. 1. FC Köln won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

1. FC Köln face Hoffenheim in the upcoming Bundesliga tips, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 13:30 UTC. Recent form: 1. FC Köln have no wins from their last 5, while Hoffenheim have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, 1. FC Köln won 2, Hoffenheim won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Hoffenheim win the most likely result at 54%, projecting a 1.6-2.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for 1. FC Köln vs Hoffenheim with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Hoffenheim +0.75 @ 1.28

81%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.62 – 2.01 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.7%	5.3%	5.4%	3.6%	1.8%
1	4.3%	8.6%	8.7%	5.8%	2.9%
2	3.5%	7.0%	7.0%	4.7%	2.4%
3	1.9%	3.8%	3.8%	2.5%	1.3%
4	0.8%	1.5%	1.5%	1.0%	0.5%

Projected score: 1-2

1. FC Köln winDrawHoffenheim win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for 1. FC Köln vs Hoffenheim comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Hoffenheim with a +0.75 start at odds 1.28, with a 81% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Hoffenheim win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 54%. Goals lean over 2.5 (70%), both teams to score points yes (70%).

📊 Key numbers

1. FC Köln 24%Draw 22%Hoffenheim 54%

24%22%54%

54%

Hoffenheim Win

70%

Over 2.5 goals

70%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between 1. FC Köln and Hoffenheim. Wins shown from 1. FC Köln’s perspective: 1. FC Köln 2 · 2 drawn · Hoffenheim 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-29	1. FC Köln	3 – 2	Hoffenheim	W
2026-02-21	1. FC Köln	2 – 2	Hoffenheim	D
2025-10-03	Hoffenheim	0 – 1	1. FC Köln	W
2024-02-11	Hoffenheim	1 – 1	1. FC Köln	D
2023-09-16	1. FC Köln	1 – 3	Hoffenheim	L

📈 Recent form

1. FC Köln

1. FC Köln come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Hoffenheim. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Hamburger SV.

LHamburger SV 2-1 1. FC KölnBundesliga
D1. FC Köln 1-1 Werder BremenBundesliga
LVfB Stuttgart 4-1 1. FC KölnBundesliga
W1. FC Köln 3-2 HoffenheimBundesliga
WWürzburger Kickers 1-2 1. FC KölnDFB Pokal

Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to VfB Stuttgart. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at SC Paderborn 07.

LSC Paderborn 07 3-1 HoffenheimBundesliga
LOFI 2-0 HoffenheimUEFA Europa League
WHoffenheim 2-1 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
LHoffenheim 2-3 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
L1. FC Köln 3-2 HoffenheimBundesliga

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

1. FC Köln

T. HubersKnee Injury
S. SebulonsenMuscle Injury
L. WaldschmidtMuscle Injury

Hoffenheim

F. AsllaniInjury
T. LemperleSuspended (red card)
A. PrassMuscle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices 1. FC Köln at 24% to win and Hoffenheim at 54%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes a Hoffenheim win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Hoffenheim Win	54%	42%	@ 2.20
1. FC Köln Win	24%	32%	@ 2.90
Draw	22%	26%	@ 3.65

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Hoffenheim or Draw at 1.38 (77% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Hoffenheim or Draw	77%	68%	@ 1.38
1. FC Köln or Draw	47%	58%	@ 1.63

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-2.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 70% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	88%	82%	@ 1.15
Over 2.5	70%	61%	@ 1.54
Under 3.5	51%	60%	@ 1.58
Over 3.5	49%	40%	@ 2.35
Under 2.5	30%	39%	@ 2.45
Under 1.5	12%	18%	@ 5.20

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 70%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	70%	64%	@ 1.44
BTTS No	30%	36%	@ 2.60

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when 1. FC Köln or Hoffenheim is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Hoffenheim +1.5	92%	83%	@ 1.14
Hoffenheim +1.25	88%	83%	@ 1.15
Hoffenheim +1	84%	81%	1.17
Hoffenheim +0.75	81%	74%	@ 1.28
Hoffenheim +0.5	77%	67%	@ 1.40
1. FC Köln +1.75	76%	81%	1.17
1. FC Köln +1.5	72%	76%	1.23
Hoffenheim +0.25	71%	64%	@ 1.50
1. FC Köln +1.25	65%	74%	1.29
Hoffenheim 0	65%	57%	@ 1.66
1. FC Köln +1	59%	70%	1.35
Hoffenheim -0.25	59%	50%	@ 1.96
1. FC Köln +0.75	53%	63%	1.52
Hoffenheim -0.5	53%	43%	@ 2.18
1. FC Köln +0.5	47%	57%	1.65
Hoffenheim -0.75	47%	37%	@ 2.56
1. FC Köln +0.25	41%	50%	1.92
Hoffenheim -1	41%	30%	@ 3.20
1. FC Köln 0	35%	43%	2.22
Hoffenheim -1.25	35%	26%	@ 3.62
1. FC Köln -0.25	29%	36%	2.65
Hoffenheim -1.5	28%	24%	@ 3.83
Hoffenheim -1.75	24%	19%	@ 5.00
1. FC Köln -0.5	23%	33%	2.88
1. FC Köln -0.75	19%	26%	3.69
1. FC Köln -1	16%	19%	5.00
1. FC Köln -1.25	12%	17%	5.50
1. FC Köln -1.5	8%	17%	5.75

📈 How the market moved

1. FC Köln 32%Draw 26%Hoffenheim 42%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for 1. FC Köln vs Hoffenheim?

Our model's main pick is Hoffenheim with a +0.75 start at odds 1.28, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Köln vs Hoffenheim?

Our model makes a Hoffenheim win the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 1.6-2.0 scoreline for 1. FC Köln vs Hoffenheim.

What is the predicted score for 1. FC Köln vs Hoffenheim?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.62 for 1. FC Köln and 2.01 for Hoffenheim. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do 1. FC Köln and Hoffenheim play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 13:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.