Sat 29 Aug0-4Finished

⚽ Premiership

Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd in the Premiership. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Kilmarnock 0-4 Dundee Utd

Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd finished 0-4. Dundee Utd won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Kilmarnock face Dundee Utd in the Premiership, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Kilmarnock have 3 wins from their last 5, while Dundee Utd have no wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Kilmarnock won 1, Dundee Utd won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Kilmarnock win the most likely result at 72%, projecting a 2.8-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Kilmarnock or Draw @ 1.45

88%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.83 – 1.16 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.8%	2.1%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%
1	5.2%	6.1%	3.5%	1.4%	0.4%
2	7.4%	8.6%	5.0%	1.9%	0.6%
3	7.0%	8.1%	4.7%	1.8%	0.5%
4	4.9%	5.7%	3.3%	1.3%	0.4%

Projected score: 2-1

Kilmarnock winDrawDundee Utd win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Kilmarnock or Draw at odds 1.45, with a 88% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Kilmarnock win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 72%. Goals lean over 2.5 (76%), both teams to score points yes (64%).

📊 Key numbers

Kilmarnock 72%Draw 15%Dundee Utd 13%

72%15%13%

72%

Kilmarnock Win

76%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Kilmarnock and Dundee Utd. Wins shown from Kilmarnock’s perspective: Kilmarnock 1 · Dundee Utd 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-29	Kilmarnock	0 – 4	Dundee Utd	L
2026-05-02	Kilmarnock	3 – 0	Dundee Utd	W

📈 Recent form

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Hibernian. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to St Mirren.

DKilmarnock 1-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
WHibernian 0-1 KilmarnockPremiership
DKilmarnock 1-1 AberdeenLeague Cup
DAberdeen 0-0 KilmarnockPremiership
LKilmarnock 0-1 St MirrenPremiership

Dundee Utd

Dundee Utd come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Kilmarnock. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Motherwell.

WSt Mirren 0-3 Dundee UtdPremiership
DDundee Utd 1-1 FalkirkPremiership
LMotherwell 3-0 Dundee UtdPremiership
WKilmarnock 0-4 Dundee UtdPremiership
LDundee Utd 0-2 DundeePremiership

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Kilmarnock at 72% to win and Dundee Utd at 13%, with the draw at 15%. Our model makes a Kilmarnock win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Kilmarnock Win	72%	38%	@ 2.45
Draw	15%	27%	@ 3.35
Dundee Utd Win	13%	35%	@ 2.63

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Kilmarnock or Draw at 1.45 (88% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Kilmarnock or Draw	88%	65%	@ 1.45
Dundee Utd or Draw	30%	62%	@ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.8-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 76% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	91%	77%	@ 1.22
Over 2.5	76%	53%	@ 1.75
Over 3.5	56%	32%	@ 2.88
Under 3.5	44%	68%	@ 1.38
Under 2.5	24%	47%	@ 2.00
Under 1.5	9%	23%	@ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	64%	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	36%	41%	@ 2.23

📈 How the market moved

Kilmarnock 38%Draw 27%Dundee Utd 35%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd?

Our model's main pick is Kilmarnock or Draw at odds 1.45, with a 88% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 65%.

Who is the favourite for Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd?

Our model makes a Kilmarnock win the most likely result at 72%. It projects an expected 2.8-1.2 scoreline for Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd.

What is the predicted score for Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.83 for Kilmarnock and 1.16 for Dundee Utd. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Kilmarnock and Dundee Utd play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.