Sat 29 Aug2-1Finished

⚽ Ligue 1

Strasbourg vs Lens Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Strasbourg vs Lens in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 15:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Strasbourg 2-1 Lens

Strasbourg vs Lens finished 2-1. Strasbourg won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Strasbourg face Lens in the upcoming Ligue 1 tips, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 15:15 UTC. Recent form: Strasbourg have 2 wins from their last 5, while Lens have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Strasbourg won 2, Lens won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Lens win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.4-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Strasbourg vs Lens with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Strasbourg +1.5 @ 1.27

81%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.38 – 1.67 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.7%	7.9%	6.6%	3.7%	1.5%
1	6.5%	10.9%	9.1%	5.1%	2.1%
2	4.5%	7.5%	6.3%	3.5%	1.5%
3	2.1%	3.5%	2.9%	1.6%	0.7%
4	0.7%	1.2%	1.0%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Strasbourg winDrawLens win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Strasbourg vs Lens comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Strasbourg with a +1.5 start at odds 1.27, with a 81% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Lens win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (60%).

📊 Key numbers

Strasbourg 33%Draw 26%Lens 41%

33%26%41%

41%

Lens Win

59%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Strasbourg and Lens. Wins shown from Strasbourg’s perspective: Strasbourg 2 · 2 drawn · Lens 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-29	Strasbourg	2 – 1	Lens	W
2026-02-27	Strasbourg	1 – 1	Lens	D
2025-11-22	Lens	1 – 0	Strasbourg	L
2025-02-16	Lens	0 – 2	Strasbourg	W
2024-10-06	Strasbourg	2 – 2	Lens	D

📈 Recent form

Strasbourg

Strasbourg come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 6-2 at Estac Troyes. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Paris FC.

LParis FC 2-1 StrasbourgLigue 1
DStrasbourg 1-1 MonacoLigue 1
WEstac Troyes 2-6 StrasbourgLigue 1
WStrasbourg 2-1 LensLigue 1
LMarseille 4-0 StrasbourgLigue 1

Lens

Lens come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at Slavia Praha. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Monaco.

LMonaco 2-1 LensLigue 1
DLe Mans 2-2 LensLigue 1
WSlavia Praha 2-3 LensUEFA Champions League
LLens 0-1 LorientLigue 1
LStrasbourg 2-1 LensLigue 1

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 12 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Strasbourg

B. ChilwellHamstring Injury
I. DoukoureInjury
S. El MourabetSuspended (red card)
M. GodoMuscle Injury
M. OyedeleInjury
J. PanichelliKnee Injury

Lens

S. AbdulhamidContusion
K. AntonioSuspended (red card)
S. BaidooKnee Injury
J. ChavezThigh Injury
O. EdouardPersonal Reasons
J. GraditThigh Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Strasbourg at 33% to win and Lens at 41%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Lens win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lens Win	41%	47%	@ 2.00
Strasbourg Win	33%	27%	@ 3.50
Draw	26%	27%	@ 3.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lens or Draw at 1.28 (67% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lens or Draw	67%	73%	@ 1.28
Strasbourg or Draw	59%	53%	@ 1.77

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	81%	79%	@ 1.19
Under 3.5	64%	64%	@ 1.46
Over 2.5	59%	57%	@ 1.65
Under 2.5	41%	43%	@ 2.18
Over 3.5	36%	36%	@ 2.65
Under 1.5	19%	21%	@ 4.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	60%	60%	@ 1.55
BTTS No	40%	40%	@ 2.32

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Strasbourg or Lens is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Strasbourg +2	87%	86%	1.11
Lens +1.5	86%	86%	1.10
Strasbourg +1.75	84%	79%	1.19
Lens +1.25	81%	86%	1.10
Strasbourg +1.5	81%	–	@ 1.27
Lens +1	76%	85%	1.12
Strasbourg +1.25	76%	72%	@ 1.33
Lens +0.75	72%	–	1.22
Strasbourg +1	70%	68%	1.42
Lens +0.5	67%	–	1.30
Strasbourg +0.75	65%	59%	@ 1.61
Lens +0.25	60%	69%	1.38
Strasbourg +0.5	59%	53%	@ 1.80
Lens 0	54%	63%	1.50
Strasbourg +0.25	53%	46%	@ 2.08
Lens -0.25	47%	54%	1.77
Strasbourg 0	46%	37%	@ 2.57
Lens -0.5	41%	47%	1.99
Strasbourg -0.25	40%	31%	@ 3.10
Lens -0.75	35%	41%	2.35
Lens -1	30%	32%	2.94
Lens -1.25	24%	28%	3.36
Strasbourg -1	24%	15%	@ 6.25
Strasbourg -1.25	19%	14%	@ 6.80
Lens -1.75	16%	21%	4.50
Strasbourg -1.5	14%	14%	7.00
Lens -2	13%	14%	6.60

📈 How the market moved

Strasbourg 27%Draw 27%Lens 46%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Strasbourg vs Lens?

Our model's main pick is Strasbourg with a +1.5 start at odds 1.27, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 79%.

Who is the favourite for Strasbourg vs Lens?

Our model makes a Lens win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.7 scoreline for Strasbourg vs Lens.

What is the predicted score for Strasbourg vs Lens?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.38 for Strasbourg and 1.67 for Lens. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Strasbourg and Lens play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 15:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.